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TJX

Growth

TJX COS INC

Consumer Discretionary·Apparel RetailYield: Mid (1-3%)

The TJX Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer worldwide. It operates through four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The company provides family apparel comprising footwear; accessories, such as beauty and jewelry; home fashion products, including home basics, decorative accessories and giftware, as well as furniture, rugs, lighting, soft home, decorative accessories, tabletop, and cookware; pet and gourmet food; and other merchandise.

Close · 3M

-15.82%

TJX · 3M

-15.82%

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Held by 1 AI ETF

PQUS0.850%

as of Sep 1

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals7
Win rate0% (0/7)
Avg buy return-16.03%
PQUSnow 0.850% of fund13 signals

PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.890% → 0.840% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 15.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 29·entry $133.91·now $132.19

-1.28%
since Aug 29

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.890% → 0.870% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 15.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $135.12·now $132.19

-2.17%
since Aug 28

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.950% → 0.890% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 8.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 22·entry $140.71·now $132.19

-6.06%
since Aug 22

PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.010% → 0.960% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $152.11·now $132.19

-13.10%
since Aug 14

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.010% → 0.980% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 1.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $153.81·now $132.19

-14.06%
since Aug 13

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.080% → 1.020% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $157.50·now $132.19

-16.07%
since Aug 2

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.010% → 1.080% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $157.34·now $132.19Fresh

-15.98%
since Jul 31

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.000% → 1.040% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 7.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 19·entry $155.70·now $132.19Fresh

-15.10%
since Jul 19

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.040% → 1.010% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 11·entry $150.53·now $132.19

-12.18%
since Jul 11

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before

Jul 2·entry $154.26·now $132.19

-14.31%
since Jul 2

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 1.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 26·entry $155.43·now $132.19Fresh

-14.95%
since Jun 26

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 14.5% in the 30 days before

Jun 14·entry $167.33·now $132.19

-21.00%
since Jun 14

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 14.5% in the 30 days before

Jun 12·entry $168.41·now $132.19Fresh

-21.51%
since Jun 12
AIEQno longer held11 signals

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 1.920% → 0 (exited)·stock down 15.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $133.27·now $132.19

-0.81%
since Sep 1

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.010% → 1.910% (-0.100 pp)·stock down 15.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $135.12·now $132.19

-2.17%
since Aug 28

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.010% → 1.950% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 17.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $134.22·now $132.19

-1.51%
since Aug 27

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.150% → 2.000% (-0.150 pp)·stock down 8.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 23·entry $140.71·now $132.19

-6.06%
since Aug 23

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.150% → 2.020% (-0.130 pp)·stock down 8.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $140.53·now $132.19

-5.93%
since Aug 21

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 2.300% → 2.130% (-0.170 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 15·entry $150.85·now $132.19

-12.37%
since Aug 15

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.300% → 2.150% (-0.150 pp)·stock up 1.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $153.81·now $132.19

-14.06%
since Aug 13

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.300% → 2.200% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 1.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $152.61·now $132.19

-13.38%
since Aug 12

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.280% → 2.230% (+1.950 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $157.50·now $132.19

-16.07%
since Aug 2

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $151.35·now $132.19Fresh

-12.66%
since Jul 1

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $152.75·now $132.19

-13.46%
since May 30
LQAIno longer held3 signals

LQAI · Exit · 1d

weight 0.190% → 0 (exited)·stock up 6.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $162.06·now $132.19

-18.43%
since Aug 6

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.180% → 0.200% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 3.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 28·entry $160.80·now $132.19Fresh

-17.79%
since Jul 28

LQAI · New entry · 1d

stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $154.11·now $132.19Fresh

-14.22%
since Jul 7

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Aug 16

AI ETFs AIEQ and PQUS show recent trends of decreasing weight in TJX, and LQAI has exited its position. This aligns with the 'Fail' verdict, which is primarily driven by an assessment of high valuation multiples that offer no margin of safety.

  • Circle of CompetenceThe off-price retail model, with its focus on value and diverse inventory, offers stable unit economics that are reasonably predictable over a ten-year horizon.
  • Economic MoatTJX benefits from a scale-driven cost advantage and a sophisticated sourcing network that provides a durable competitive moat in the off-price retail sector.
  • ManagementThe provided financial snapshot does not offer sufficient information to evaluate management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or ownership stake.
  • Financial HealthWhile the most recent ROE is strong, the lack of ten-year average ROE, consistent operating margins, manageable debt levels, and owner earnings data prevents a conclusive assessment of long-term financial health.
  • Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples such as a P/E of 28.96 and a P/B of 16.36 indicate the stock is trading at a premium, suggesting no discernible margin of safety relative to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.

TJX operates within a well-understood circle of competence and possesses a strong economic moat derived from its scale and efficient sourcing. However, a complete assessment of its financial health is constrained by limited historical data. More critically, the current valuation multiples suggest the market price does not offer a sufficient margin of safety, resulting in an overall 'Fail' for this framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.