AMOM1.690%
as of Oct 16
TRGP
DefensiveTARGA RESOURCES CORP
Targa Resources Corp., together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, acquires, and develops a portfolio of complementary domestic infrastructure assets in North America. It operates in two segments, Gathering and Processing, and Logistics and Transportation. The company is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, transporting, and selling natural gas; storing, fractionating, treating, transporting, and selling natural gas liquids (NGL) and NGL products, including services to liquefied petroleum gas exporters; and gathering, storing, terminaling, purchasing, and selling crude oil.
Close · 3M
+15.26%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals13
Win rate100% (13/13)
Avg buy return+4.42%
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.430% → 1.690% (+0.260 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $294.90·now $302.37Drifting
+2.53%
since Oct 16
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.460% → 1.580% (+0.120 pp)·stock up 1.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $290.91·now $302.37Drifting
+3.94%
since Oct 14
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.460% → 1.530% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $293.04·now $302.37Drifting
+3.18%
since Oct 13
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.390% → 1.460% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 2.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $287.40·now $302.37Drifting
+5.21%
since Oct 5
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.390% → 1.440% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 4.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $281.74·now $302.37Drifting
+7.32%
since Oct 2
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.430% → 1.390% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 7.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 30·entry $270.31·now $302.37
+11.86%
since Sep 30
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.530% → 1.440% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 5.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $282.15·now $302.37
+7.17%
since Sep 22
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.570% → 1.510% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 4.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $285.07·now $302.37
+6.07%
since Sep 17
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.570% → 1.550% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 2.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 16·entry $284.77·now $302.37
+6.18%
since Sep 16
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.880% → 1.540% (-0.340 pp)·stock up 8.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 4·entry $290.05·now $302.37
+4.25%
since Sep 4
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.880% → 1.590% (-0.290 pp)·stock up 12.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $293.54·now $302.37
+3.01%
since Sep 3
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.860% → 1.880% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 11.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $296.06·now $302.37Drifting
+2.13%
since Sep 1
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.780% → 1.840% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 8.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $293.65·now $302.37Drifting
+2.97%
since Aug 31
+13.30%
since Aug 13
+12.54%
since Aug 12
+17.71%
since Aug 7
+12.73%
since Aug 6
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.740% → 0.760% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 1.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $290.91·now $302.37Drifting
+3.94%
since Oct 14
AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.500% → 0.740% (+0.240 pp)·stock down 4.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $281.74·now $302.37Drifting
+7.32%
since Oct 2
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.500% → 0.710% (+0.210 pp)·stock down 5.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $279.31·now $302.37Drifting
+8.26%
since Oct 1
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.530% → 0.510% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 3.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $283.01·now $302.37
+6.84%
since Sep 23
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.210% → 0.520% (-0.690 pp)·stock up 11.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $296.06·now $302.37
+2.13%
since Sep 1
+2.84%
since Aug 26
+1.78%
since Aug 19
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 1.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 15·entry $277.94·now $302.37Drifting
+8.79%
since Aug 15
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.280% → 0.230% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 7.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $287.82·now $302.37
+5.06%
since Aug 28
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.280% → 0.260% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 9.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $288.95·now $302.37
+4.64%
since Aug 27
+0.04%
since Aug 20
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Aug 16
AI ETFs show mixed signals on TRGP; while some maintain positions, others like AMOM and LQAI have significantly reduced or exited their holdings, which aligns with the framework's cautionary "Fail" verdict based on financial health. This divergence suggests some AI models may be focusing on different metrics or shorter-term trends, contrasting with a long-term value perspective.
- Circle of CompetenceThe midstream oil and gas segment, characterized by fee-based contracts for essential infrastructure, provides sufficiently predictable unit economics for long-term cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatThe high capital intensity, regulatory barriers, and essential nature of midstream assets create significant barriers to entry and switching costs, forming a durable economic moat.
- ManagementThe provided financial data and activity trends do not offer sufficient information to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
- Financial HealthThe exceptionally high EV/EBITDA ratio of 117.85 strongly suggests potentially unmanageable debt or highly unstable earnings, indicating significant financial fragility despite a high current ROE.
- Margin of SafetyThe current valuation multiples (PER 25.24, PBR 12.91) appear rich, and the identified financial concerns prevent a conservative estimate of intrinsic value at a defensible discount.
While Targa Resources operates within a reasonably predictable industry with a strong economic moat, its financial health raises significant concerns due to an extremely high EV/EBITDA ratio. This financial fragility, coupled with a lack of clear margin of safety at current valuation multiples, leads to a failure in the value-investing framework. The company's underlying business quality is overshadowed by questions regarding its financial structure and valuation.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.