Last refreshed: July 21, 2026 (US ET)
Back to holdings

TSCO

Defensive

Tractor Supply Company

Consumer Discretionary·Other Specialty Retail·β 0.75Yield: High (3-5%)

Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company provides various merchandise, including livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry, fencing, and sprayers and chemicals; companion animal products, such as food, treats, and equipment for dogs, cats, and other small animals, as well as dog wellness products; seasonal and recreation products comprising tractors and riders, lawn and garden, bird feeding, power equipment, and other recreational products; truck, tool, and hardware products, such as truck accessories, trailers, generators, lubricants, batteries, and hardware and tools; and clothing, gift, and décor products consist of clothing, footwear, toys, snacks, and decorative merchandise. It offers its products under the 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E.

Close · 3M

-40.20%

TSCO · 3M

-40.20%

Pinch / wheel to zoom · drag to pan · double-tap to reset

Held by 3 AI ETFs

AIEQ1.330%

as of Jul 20

PQNT0.630%

as of Jul 21

PQUS0.050%

as of Jul 21

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals7
Win rate14% (1/7)
Avg buy return-2.25%
AIEQnow 1.330% of fund2 signals

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

The fund initiated a concentrated 1.39% position in Tractor Supply Company on July 1st, marking a sudden entry after no prior holdings for the preceding week. This swift, single-step allocation aligns with AIEQ's daily rebalancing and high-turnover mandate, suggesting IBM Watson's NLP engine detected a significant shift in sentiment or fundamental indicators after TSCO's substantial 90-day and 1-year price depreciation. Operating near the lower end of its 52-week range at $32.26, the stock’s current valuation, combined with its 42.57% return on equity and 15.74 PER, likely provided a compelling fundamental signal. The AI's continuous ingestion of news, filings, and social posts across thousands of US equities enabled it to identify an opportunistic entry point in TSCO, given its recent price action and underlying financial strength, prompting this new allocation within its broad market, fundamentals + sentiment hybrid style.

weight 0 → 1.390% (new)·stock up 1.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $32.26·now $30.30Fresh

-6.08%
since Jul 1

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

Amplify ETFs' AIEQ, leveraging IBM Watson NLP, processes vast amounts of textual data daily, including news and social posts, to identify shifts in sentiment and fundamentals across US equities. This daily analysis, combined with its high-turnover strategy of rebalancing its 140-180 stock portfolio every day, allows the fund to react quickly to evolving market conditions. The removal of Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) from the portfolio on 2026-05-30 aligned with a severe downturn in its share price, evidenced by a -29.9% return over the prior 30 days. Despite TSCO displaying a 42.57% return on equity, the powerful negative sentiment and price momentum detected by the NLP engine likely caused the stock to fall below the fund's daily ranking necessary for inclusion.

weight 0.240% → 0 (exited)·stock down 9.3% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $31.78·now $30.30

-4.66%
since May 30
PQNTnow 0.630% of fund4 signals

PQNT · Weight increase · 4d

The weight in PQNT for TSCO shows a gradual, consistent increase of 0.01% daily from July 16 to July 19, following a brief dip to 0.59% on July 15. This measured accumulation by Pictet Asset Management's AI-driven method suggests a signal emphasizing deep value entry points, given TSCO is currently near its 52-week low of $29.14 after a substantial 46.2% annual decline. The fund's AI likely interprets TSCO's strong 42.57% ROE and moderate 14.8 PER, coupled with the recent 3.9% 30-day price rebound, as compelling factors for an incremental position, even within an investment universe typically focused on ex-US developed markets. This methodical scaling up of exposure to a consumer discretionary name trading at $30.51 reflects a nuanced AI assessment that prioritizes emerging value and fundamental strength at depressed price levels, rather than chasing prior negative momentum.

weight 0.590% → 0.630% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 19·entry $30.30·now $30.30Fresh

0.00%
since Jul 19

PQNT · Weight increase · 3d

Pictet Asset Management's PQNT, an AI-driven fund focusing on developed-international markets with factor exposures, demonstrated a consecutive weight increase in Tractor Supply. The AI models likely detected a confluence of positive signals, prioritizing fundamental strength and a potential sentiment shift despite the stock’s significant 90-day return of -39.4%. As a newer fund launched in 2025, its periodic rebalancing across roughly 300 holdings appears to be weighting factors such as Tractor Supply's 42.57% Return on Equity strongly, indicating an AI-driven conviction in the company’s underlying financials amidst a depressed price. This suggests the AI's valuation and sentiment models are overriding recent negative momentum for this specific developed-market stock.

weight 0.590% → 0.620% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 18·entry $30.30·now $30.30Fresh

0.00%
since Jul 18

PQNT · Weight increase · 2d

Trading at $31.01, Tractor Supply Company currently sits near its 52-week low of $29.14, having declined over 43% in the past year, though it posted a 6.4% gain over the last 30 days. This combination of deep price depression, placing the stock at 49% of its 52-week high, alongside recent positive short-term movement, likely triggered specific signals for Pictet's PQNT fund, which integrates AI with factor exposures like valuation and momentum. The AI overlay within PQNT would assess TSCO's financial figures, such as its 14.75 P/E ratio and a very high 42.57% return on equity, identifying a potential buying opportunity after its prolonged downturn, despite the ETF's typical ex-US developed-market style. The incremental weight increases, observed from 0.59% to 0.61% between July 7th and 17th, indicate a pattern of gradual accumulation by the fund as these AI-driven factor signals reinforced the stock's attractiveness at this specific price range.

weight 0.590% → 0.610% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 17·entry $30.51·now $30.30Fresh

-0.69%
since Jul 17

PQNT · Weight decrease · 2d

The AI ETF likely initiated the consecutive weight decrease due to TSCO's high PBR of 10.4, indicating potential overvaluation, especially if its algorithms simultaneously detected early signs of weakening consumer spending or negative technical signals for the cyclical sector. Retail investors should thus re-evaluate positions in seemingly strong companies, considering valuation multiples and broader macroeconomic trends that AI algorithms quickly factor into their decisions.

weight 0.630% → 0.600% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 32.8% in the 30 days before

May 8·entry $30.65·now $30.30

-1.14%
since May 8
PQUSnow 0.050% of fund3 signals

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

Pictet Asset Management's PQUS, employing an AI ranking system across its ~165 US large-cap holdings, made a decisive allocation to TSCO during a recent periodic rebalance. The AI system likely identified an opportunity in Tractor Supply Company after its 30-day return plummeted by 29.9%, pushing the stock near its 52-week range low. This move capitalizes on TSCO's underlying financial strength, evidenced by its 42.57% Return on Equity, within the fund's sector-balanced framework. The consecutive weight increase from 0.18% to 0.41% then 0.42% over two days reflects the fund's measured turnover, positioning the newer 2025-launched ETF for potential recovery.

weight 0.180% → 0.420% (+0.240 pp)·stock down 9.3% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $31.78·now $30.30Fresh

-4.66%
since May 30

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

Pictet Asset Management's PQUS, employing its AI ranking system across a US large-cap universe of approximately 165 holdings, initiated a significant increase in its TSCO weight during a periodic rebalance beginning May 16, 2026. The AI's selection process, which includes sector-balance and concentration rules, appears to have valued TSCO's strong 42.57% return on equity. This capital allocation occurred while TSCO traded at $30.57, near its 52-week low and representing a -38.7% 90-day return. This move aligns with the fund’s style of US large-cap exposure with measured turnover, indicating the AI perceived a compelling entry point following the considerable price correction.

weight 0.050% → 0.190% (+0.140 pp)·stock down 31.5% in the 30 days before

May 17·entry $31.72·now $30.30Fresh

-4.48%
since May 17

PQUS · New entry · 1d

The AI ETF likely initiated a position in TSCO due to its exceptional 42.57% Return on Equity, indicating strong profitability and efficient capital utilization despite a higher Price-to-Book ratio. For retail investors, this highlights the importance of analyzing profitability metrics like ROE alongside traditional valuation ratios to identify financially robust companies.

weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock down 32.8% in the 30 days before

May 10·entry $30.25·now $30.30Fresh

+0.17%
since May 10

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Jul 19

AI ETFs like PQNT are showing a clear trend of accumulating Tractor Supply Company shares, indicating a positive outlook or momentum play. This contrasts with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, which is primarily driven by the lack of a sufficient margin of safety at the current valuation.

  • Circle of CompetenceTractor Supply Company's specialty retail business model and unit economics are sufficiently stable and understandable to project ten-year cash flows.
  • Economic MoatThe company benefits from a strong brand in its rural lifestyle niche and scale-driven cost advantages, providing a durable economic moat.
  • ManagementThere is insufficient information provided to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
  • Financial HealthWhile the most recent ROE is high, a comprehensive assessment of financial health requires 10-year average ROE, operating margin trends, and detailed debt information, which are not provided.
  • Margin of SafetyThe high EV/EBITDA ratio of 32.42 and P/B ratio of 10.4 suggest the current price does not offer a defensible margin of safety.

Tractor Supply Company operates within a predictable circle of competence and possesses an identifiable economic moat through its brand and scale advantages. However, while current profitability metrics are strong, the analysis is limited by insufficient historical financial and management data. Crucially, the current market price, particularly the high EV/EBITDA, does not offer the defensible margin of safety required by this investment framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.