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TXN

Growth

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC

Information Technology·SemiconductorsYield: Mid (1-3%)

Texas Instruments Incorporated designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductors to electronics designers and manufacturers in the United States, China, the rest of Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, and internationally. It operates through Analog and Embedded Processing segments. The Analog segment offers power products to manage power requirements across various voltage levels, including battery-management solutions, DC/DC switching regulators, AC/DC and isolated controllers and converters, power switches, linear regulators, voltage references, multiphase controllers and power stages, and lighting products.

Close · 3M

+44.79%

TXN · 3M

+44.79%

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Held by 4 AI ETFs

AMOM1.720%

as of Jul 17

QRFT0.590%

as of Jul 8

PQUS0.450%

as of Jul 21

AIEQ0.050%

as of Jul 20

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals12
Win rate33% (4/12)
Avg buy return-0.68%
AMOMnow 1.720% of fund9 signals

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

The weight-change pattern for TXN shows a distinct cadence of gradual decrease in the latter part of the observed history, culminating in consecutive reductions from 1.77% to 1.72% over July 16-17. This measured, step-down adjustment from Qraft’s AMOM ETF aligns with its multi-signal momentum method, which prioritizes names expected to extend their runs. At a current price of $284.02, 85% of its 52-week high, TXN has experienced a 30-day return of -7.0%, suggesting a recent short-term weakening in price trends. Despite TXN's 90-day return of +43.8% and solid financial metrics like 14.89% revenue growth, the AI manager’s composite signals likely detected that the stock’s recent negative short-term momentum diminished its probability of extending its upward trajectory, leading to a calculated reduction in this concentrated position. This precise move reflects the system’s conviction-based approach to adjusting its ~50 US large-cap portfolio, recalibrating exposure as signals shift.

weight 1.780% → 1.720% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 7.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 17·entry $284.02·now $284.07

+0.02%
since Jul 17

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

The AMOM ETF, managed by Qraft Technologies, gradually increased its allocation to Texas Instruments after a recent dip, moving from 1.71% to 1.84% over two consecutive rebalancing periods. This re-engagement with TXN, currently trading at $293.08 or 88% of its 52-week high, aligns with AMOM's strategy to select names expected to extend their runs. Despite a short-term 30-day return of -3.9%, TXN demonstrates strong longer-term momentum with a 90-day return of 37.4% and 14.89% revenue growth, indicating the fund's multi-signal momentum composite likely detected a renewed upward trend. The sustained increases in weight suggest AMOM's models identified continued fundamental strength and a potential extension of Texas Instruments’ positive trajectory.

weight 1.710% → 1.840% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 1.8% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $298.41·now $284.07Fresh

-4.81%
since Jul 1

AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d

Qraft Technologies' AMOM, which utilizes a multi-signal momentum composite to select approximately 50 US large-cap names expected to extend their current runs, has been systematically reducing its exposure to Texas Instruments. This consecutive weight decrease, observed over several days as the position fell from 1.87% to 1.71% by June 29, signifies a loss of conviction by the AI manager. For a fund rebalancing weekly and built on identifying prevailing price trends and fundamental momentum, the recent 5.7% decline in TXN’s 30-day return likely flagged a critical shift, suggesting the stock's run might not continue.

weight 1.870% → 1.710% (-0.160 pp)·stock down 9.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 29·entry $285.48·now $284.07

-0.49%
since Jun 29

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

TXN's PER of 51.47 and PBR of 9.69, alongside a 32.49% ROE and 14.89% revenue growth, initially aligned with Qraft Technologies' AMOM strategy of identifying names with fundamental momentum expected to extend their runs. However, the stock’s recent 30-day return of -7.4%, placing it at 86% of its 52-week high, likely flagged a deceleration in its short-term price trend component for the multi-signal composite. Consequently, AMOM initiated a series of rebalancing adjustments, leading to consecutive weekly weight reductions from 1.87% on June 23rd to 1.77% by June 26th. This move by the concentrated momentum sleeve indicates conviction that TXN's prior momentum, despite stronger longer-term returns, might not be extending as anticipated by the fund's signals at the $285.43 price level.

weight 1.870% → 1.770% (-0.100 pp)·stock down 10.1% in the 30 days before

Jun 26·entry $285.43·now $284.07

-0.48%
since Jun 26

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

Following a brief reduction, AMOM initiated a stepped increase in its TXN allocation on June 18, raising it from 1.85% to 1.94%, and then confirmed this conviction with a further incremental adjustment to 1.95% on June 22. This specific cadence aligns with Qraft's AMOM method, which targets names expected to extend their runs, particularly as TXN currently trades at its 52-week high of $332.28 after experiencing a 66.8% return over the past year. The multi-signal momentum composite employed by Qraft likely registered a reinforcing combination of strong price trends and fundamental momentum, with TXN showing 14.89% revenue growth and a 32.49% return on equity. Such a distinct, conviction-based reallocation, particularly after a minor dip, reflects the concentrated nature of AMOM's strategy to actively capture and extend upward price movements in its ~50-stock US large-cap basket.

weight 1.850% → 1.950% (+0.100 pp)·stock up 9.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 22·entry $332.28·now $284.07Fresh

-14.51%
since Jun 22

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

The portfolio's recent adjustments to TXN exhibit a gradual, stepped reduction in weight, moving from 1.8900% to 1.8700% over two consecutive days following an earlier, similar sequence of slight decreases. This measured unwinding aligns with AMOM's multi-signal momentum strategy, which prioritizes names expected to extend their runs rather than mechanically holding prior strong performers, especially as TXN trades at $301.12, 93% of its 52-week high. Given TXN's substantial 90-day return of +35.1% and a PER of 48.6, Qraft's system likely detects a diminished probability for continued upward momentum at this valuation, prompting the subtle reduction despite a 14.89% revenue growth and 32.49% ROE. These incremental changes, reflecting dynamic adjustments within AMOM's concentrated momentum sleeve, indicate the composite signals no longer support the same conviction for future price velocity, driving the weekly rebalancing.

weight 1.890% → 1.870% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Jun 12·entry $301.12·now $284.07

-5.66%
since Jun 12

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

TXN's current PER of 48.6 and PBR of 9.69, paired with a 14.89% revenue growth and 32.49% ROE, align with Qraft Technologies’ multi-signal momentum composite that prioritizes fundamental strength for its concentrated portfolio. The initial 1.90% allocation on June 2nd, following a prior zero weighting, clearly reflects conviction in TXN's sustained price trends, as indicated by its +25.3% 90-day and +52.4% 1-year returns, supporting AMOM’s aim to identify names poised for extended runs. Further, the subsequent incremental weight adjustments, such as the increase from 1.88% to 1.89% leading up to June 10th, suggest reinforcing signals from the ETF's earnings revisions or alternative-data components, indicating continued belief in upward momentum for TXN even as its $282.01 price nears 87% of its 52-week high.

weight 1.860% → 1.890% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before

Jun 10·entry $282.01·now $284.07Fresh

+0.73%
since Jun 10

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.900% → 1.870% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 8.7% in the 30 days before

Jun 4·entry $305.37·now $284.07

-6.98%
since Jun 4

AMOM · New entry · 1d

Qraft's AMOM, designed to identify US large caps expected to extend their runs through a multi-signal momentum composite, added Texas Instruments to its roughly 50-stock portfolio during its weekly rebalance. The fund’s AI-driven system likely detected strong upward trends, given TXN’s 90-day return of +59.4% leading into the inclusion. Furthermore, the semiconductor company's 14.89% revenue growth and 32.49% ROE suggest underlying fundamental strength that could sustain this momentum. With its concentrated momentum sleeve, AMOM’s 1.9000% initial allocation to TXN on June 2, 2026, reflects a conviction in these combined price and fundamental signals at its current price near $308.12.

weight 0 → 1.900% (new)·stock up 9.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 2·entry $308.12·now $284.07Fresh

-7.81%
since Jun 2
QRFTnow 0.590% of fund10 signals

QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d

The recent consecutive weight decrease in Texas Instruments within QRFT, from 0.62% to 0.57% then to 0.56% over the past week, indicates a subtle but persistent AI-driven reallocation. This incremental reduction, observed as the stock trades at $285.48 (86% of its 52-week high) and carries a P/E of 51.47, suggests Qraft's AI is calibrating exposure to TXN's valuation metrics. Given QRFT’s methodology blending traditional factors like value, momentum, quality, and low-volatility with proprietary alternative data, the AI might be reacting to the recent -5.7% 30-day return, potentially re-evaluating its momentum signal or adjusting for its higher valuation multiples despite positive 90-day and 1-year returns. The weekly rebalancing schedule allows for such fine-tuning, where the AI can gradually reduce a position in a large-cap core holding like TXN without a drastic cut, reflecting an active management approach to optimize its ~300 US large-cap portfolio.

weight 0.620% → 0.560% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 9.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 29·entry $285.48·now $284.07

-0.49%
since Jun 29

QRFT · Weight increase · 2d

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC exhibits a 32.49% Return on Equity and 14.89% revenue growth, suggesting the Qraft AI model identified significant quality and growth characteristics within its large-cap core universe, even with the PBR at 9.69 and PER at 52.43 indicating a fully valued market position. This aligns with QRFT's method of combining traditional factors like quality and momentum with proprietary alternative-data overlays, where the AI prioritizes these fundamental strengths despite higher valuation multiples. The observed consecutive weight increases for TXN, specifically moving from 0.59% on June 17th to 0.64% by June 22nd, closely track the stock's price reaching its 52-week high of $332.28. This upward adjustment in allocation by Qraft Technologies occurred as the stock demonstrated considerable short-term momentum, with a 30-day return of +15.5%, indicating the AI system responded to recent price action reinforcing its underlying analytical signals for TXN.

weight 0.590% → 0.640% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 9.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 22·entry $332.28·now $284.07Fresh

-14.51%
since Jun 22

QRFT · Weight decrease · 4d

stock up 4.3% in the 30 days before

Jun 1·entry $293.20·now $284.07

-3.11%
since Jun 1

QRFT · Weight decrease · 3d

stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before

May 29·entry $305.68·now $284.07

-7.07%
since May 29

QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 19.2% in the 30 days before

May 28·entry $315.95·now $284.07

-10.09%
since May 28

QRFT · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 17.2% in the 30 days before

May 26·entry $324.89·now $284.07Fresh

-12.56%
since May 26

QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 40.9% in the 30 days before

May 5·entry $281.00·now $284.07

+1.09%
since May 5

QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 39.3% in the 30 days before

Apr 27·entry $269.50·now $284.07

+5.41%
since Apr 27

QRFT · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 20.5% in the 30 days before

Apr 17·entry $229.82·now $284.07Chased

+23.61%
since Apr 17

QRFT · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 0.7% in the 30 days before

Apr 6·entry $199.42·now $284.07Chased

+42.45%
since Apr 6
PQUSnow 0.450% of fund5 signals

PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d

Pictet Asset Management's AI ranking system, governing its ~165 US large-cap holdings, appears to have systematically reduced Texas Instruments' allocation. The fund's periodic rebalance cadence permitted the sequential adjustment of TXN's weight over several days. This consecutive decrease, observed after a 30-day return of -7.0% for the stock, suggests the AI reassessed its position within the Information Technology sector. The system likely recalibrated TXN's attractiveness despite its earlier 90-day return of +43.8%, driving down its target weight.

weight 0.530% → 0.450% (-0.080 pp)·stock down 7.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 19·entry $284.07·now $284.07

0.00%
since Jul 19

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

The weight-change pattern for TXN in PQUS reveals a stepped reduction in allocation, with the latest activity showing consecutive decreases from 0.47% to 0.46%. This systematic adjustment by Pictet Asset Management's AI ranking system, designed for a US large-cap universe, aligns with the stock’s current price context. TXN's $284.02 price point, at 85% of its 52-week high following a 43.8% return over 90 days, likely triggered the AI's re-evaluation of its attractiveness. Despite the company's 32.49% ROE and 14.89% revenue growth, the AI's internal concentration and sector-balance rules appear to be reining in exposure due to a PER of 48.16 and PBR of 9.69, even after a recent 7.0% 30-day price dip.

weight 0.530% → 0.460% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 7.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 18·entry $284.07·now $284.07

0.00%
since Jul 18

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

Trading near its 52-week high at $308.53, Texas Instruments experienced a substantial 90-day return of 47.0% and a 1-year return of 49.5%, even with a recent 30-day decrease of 2.8%. Pictet Asset Management's AI ranking system, overseeing PQUS's US large-cap universe, likely identified TXN's high PER of 51.84 and PBR of 9.69 as potentially stretched given its current price level. Despite revenue growth of 14.89% and ROE of 32.49%, the system’s re-evaluation, performed during one of its periodic rebalances, led to the consecutive weight decrease from 0.68% to 0.53% between July 8th and 10th. This action aligns with the fund's measured turnover approach, adjusting exposure to a stock that had climbed significantly near its annual peak.

weight 0.680% → 0.530% (-0.150 pp)·stock up 7.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 10·entry $311.46·now $284.07

-8.79%
since Jul 10

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

Pictet Asset Management's PQUS, leveraging its AI ranking system for ~165 US large-cap holdings with periodic rebalancing, recently increased its weight in Texas Instruments. This fund, applying sector-balance and concentration rules, saw TXN's allocation climb from 0.52% to 0.69% between June 10 and June 13. A significant driver for the AI's adjusted ranking likely stems from the stock's strong market performance, evidenced by a 90-day return of +35.1%, even while trading near 93% of its 52-week high. The decision reflects the AI’s assessment that TXN's recent momentum and inherent quality justify a more substantial, yet still controlled, position within its portfolio.

weight 0.520% → 0.690% (+0.170 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Jun 13·entry $313.34·now $284.07Fresh

-9.34%
since Jun 13

PQUS · New entry · 1d

stock up 44.8% in the 30 days before

Apr 30·entry $281.08·now $284.07Fresh

+1.06%
since Apr 30
AIEQnow 0.050% of fund5 signals

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

Texas Instruments (TXN) currently trades at $298.41, near 90% of its 52-week high of $332.28, having achieved a 90-day return of +35.7% and a one-year return of +50.4%, even with a recent 30-day decline of -1.3%. This elevated price level, coupled with a slight recent dip, sets a sensitive context for AIEQ’s strategy, which integrates IBM Watson’s real-time natural language processing across thousands of data points with fundamental data to manage its daily rebalancing. The sequential weight reductions from 0.54% to 0.48% during the latter half of June, followed by the dramatic cut to 0.05% on July 1st, strongly imply that the AI identified a significant deterioration in its daily ranking. Despite TXN's 14.89% revenue growth and 32.49% ROE, its P/E of 51.4 and P/B of 9.69 suggest a valuation where any perceived negative shift in news flow, analyst commentary, or social media sentiment—detected by Watson—would prompt EquBot's risk overlay to swiftly reduce exposure in this high-turnover fund.

weight 0.490% → 0.050% (-0.440 pp)·stock up 1.8% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $298.41·now $284.07

-4.81%
since Jul 1

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

Amplify ETFs' AIEQ, leveraging IBM Watson NLP for daily rankings, adjusted its position in Texas Instruments, consistent with its frequent rebalancing schedule. The fund, which employs a fundamentals and sentiment hybrid approach across 140-180 US equities, likely detected a shift in its proprietary assessment. This led to a consecutive reduction in TXN's weight, moving from 0.54% to 0.51% over three trading days, as the stock now sits at 94% of its 52-week high. Such a high valuation level, alongside potentially evolving sentiment from news or social posts, could signal a reduced relative attractiveness within its broad market universe for AIEQ's daily ranking.

weight 0.540% → 0.510% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 4.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 25·entry $311.81·now $284.07

-8.90%
since Jun 25

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

Trading at $301.12, or 93% of its 52-week high, TXN has seen substantial recent momentum with 30-day returns of 7.2% and 90-day returns of 35.1%. Against this backdrop of a 63.5% one-year return, the Amplify-EquBot fund (AIEQ) initiated consecutive increases in its TXN allocation from 0.48% to 0.51% between June 11 and June 14, operating within its daily rebalance and broad market style. Leveraging IBM Watson NLP's analysis of thousands of US equities, which processes news, filings, and social posts, the fund's underlying algorithm likely detected strengthening positive signals for Texas Instruments. This sustained conviction likely stemmed from factors like TXN's 14.89% revenue growth and 32.49% ROE, indicating the fundamentals-plus-sentiment hybrid strategy found sufficient justification to add to the position, even with the stock's current PER of 48.6 and PBR of 9.69, near its 52-week peak.

weight 0.480% → 0.510% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Jun 14·entry $313.34·now $284.07Fresh

-9.34%
since Jun 14

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.510% → 0.480% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before

Jun 7·entry $290.90·now $284.07

-2.35%
since Jun 7

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $293.20·now $284.07Fresh

-3.11%
since May 30

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Jul 19

The analysis concludes with a 'Fail' verdict due to the lack of a margin of safety for Texas Instruments, despite its strong underlying business quality. This contrasts with some AI ETFs like AMOM, QRFT, and AIEQ that are currently holding the stock. However, the PQUS AI ETF has recently shown a consistent trend of decreasing its weight in TXN, which aligns with the framework's finding that the current price is unattractive.

  • Circle of CompetenceTexas Instruments' focus on essential analog and embedded processing chips across diversified end markets provides sufficient predictability for long-term cash flow projections within the circle of competence.
  • Economic MoatTexas Instruments possesses a strong economic moat derived from high customer switching costs, significant manufacturing scale, and a strong reputation for reliability in critical applications.
  • ManagementTexas Instruments' management demonstrates discipline in capital allocation by prioritizing free cash flow return to shareholders and investing in long-term manufacturing efficiency, alongside generally candid communication.
  • Financial HealthThe company reports a very strong current Return on Equity of 32.49%, indicating high profitability; however, a full 10-year financial history and detailed owner earnings calculation are not provided to fully assess long-term consistency and debt levels.
  • Margin of SafetyWith a P/E ratio of 48.16 and EV/EBITDA of 72.29, the current market price offers no discernible margin of safety relative to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.

Texas Instruments is an exceptionally high-quality business that operates within the circle of competence, boasts a strong economic moat from switching costs and scale, and exhibits disciplined management. Its financial health appears robust with impressive current profitability metrics. However, the current market valuation, characterized by a very high P/E ratio, leaves no room for a margin of safety, making it an unsuitable investment under this framework despite its inherent quality.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.