AIVL0.599%
as of Oct 23
TXT
DefensiveTEXTRON INC
Textron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses worldwide. It operates in six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance. The Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and piston engine aircraft, and military trainer and defense aircraft, as well as offers maintenance, inspection, and repair services; commercial parts; and advanced flight training devices.
Close · 3M
-18.05%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals13
Win rate23% (3/13)
Avg buy return-3.78%
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.585% → 0.599% (+0.013 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $76.83·now $76.83Fresh
0.00%
since Oct 23
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.588% → 0.604% (+0.016 pp)·stock up 1.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $78.04·now $76.83Fresh
-1.55%
since Oct 22
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.588% → 0.602% (+0.014 pp)·stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $77.15·now $76.83Fresh
-0.41%
since Oct 20
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.585% → 0.601% (+0.015 pp)·stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $76.20·now $76.83Fresh
+0.83%
since Oct 19
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.585% → 0.597% (+0.012 pp)·stock down 6.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $75.93·now $76.83Fresh
+1.19%
since Oct 16
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.599% → 0.585% (-0.013 pp)·stock down 8.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $73.80·now $76.83
+4.11%
since Oct 14
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.585% → 0.599% (+0.013 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $75.78·now $76.83Fresh
+1.39%
since Oct 12
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 0.941% → 0.585% (-0.355 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $73.22·now $76.83
+4.93%
since Oct 8
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.941% → 0.587% (-0.354 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $73.03·now $76.83
+5.20%
since Oct 7
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.941% → 0.604% (-0.336 pp)·stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $75.53·now $76.83
+1.72%
since Oct 6
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.941% → 0.610% (-0.331 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $75.75·now $76.83
+1.43%
since Oct 5
AIVL · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.941% → 0.626% (-0.315 pp)·stock down 2.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $77.26·now $76.83
-0.56%
since Oct 2
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.918% → 0.944% (+0.026 pp)·stock down 6.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $77.63·now $76.83Fresh
-1.03%
since Sep 29
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.918% → 0.940% (+0.022 pp)·stock down 6.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 28·entry $77.37·now $76.83Fresh
-0.70%
since Sep 28
AIVL · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 0.969% → 0.918% (-0.051 pp)·stock down 7.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 24·entry $76.02·now $76.83
+1.07%
since Sep 24
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 0.969% → 0.922% (-0.047 pp)·stock down 6.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $76.81·now $76.83
+0.03%
since Sep 23
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.969% → 0.932% (-0.037 pp)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $77.88·now $76.83
-1.35%
since Sep 22
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.969% → 0.948% (-0.021 pp)·stock down 5.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $79.41·now $76.83
-3.25%
since Sep 21
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.969% → 0.956% (-0.013 pp)·stock down 7.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 18·entry $79.69·now $76.83
-3.59%
since Sep 18
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.923% → 0.969% (+0.046 pp)·stock down 7.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 16·entry $80.71·now $76.83Fresh
-4.81%
since Sep 16
-3.83%
since Sep 9
-6.08%
since Aug 25
-6.45%
since Aug 24
-7.38%
since Aug 21
-8.94%
since Aug 20
-10.96%
since Aug 19
-11.82%
since Aug 18
-13.57%
since Aug 12
-14.09%
since Aug 7
-12.58%
since Aug 6
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Oct 25
AIVL has been gradually accumulating Textron through most of the past two weeks, lifting its weight to about 0.60%, with one small trim on October 14, while QRFT holds only a token 0.04% position. This steady buying conflicts with a Fail verdict, since the framework sees a modest moat, below-threshold returns on equity and no obvious discount. The position is small enough to look like a valuation-screen tilt rather than high-conviction ownership.
- Circle of CompetenceTextron's mix of Bell helicopters, Cessna and Beechcraft aircraft, defense systems and industrial products is cyclical but has long-lived franchises and an aftermarket stream, so ten-year earning power is reasonably projectable.
- Economic MoatCessna, Bell and Beechcraft hold real niche positions, but they face strong competitors, sell to cyclical buyers and depend on lumpy government programs, so the advantage is narrow rather than a durable castle.
- ManagementFinancial data alone cannot show candor, though Textron has a record of steady share repurchases; insider ownership and acquisition discipline cannot be verified from what is provided.
- Financial HealthROE of 11.93% falls below the 15% ten-year average threshold, and the 20.47 EV/EBITDA suggests thin operating profitability relative to the capital employed, so the owner earnings case is only moderate.
- Margin of SafetyA PER of 14.05 and a PBR of 1.99 look fair, but with sub-15% ROE and a high EV/EBITDA there is no clear margin of safety against a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.
Textron sits inside the circle of competence, but its moat is narrow, its ROE of about 12% misses the framework's bar, and the price offers a fair rather than a wide margin of safety. Management quality could not be judged from the data. The result is a Fail: a decent cyclical industrial, but not the high-return compounder this framework looks for.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.