AMOM2.800%
as of Jul 17
VLO
DefensiveVALERO ENERGY CORP
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils.
Close · 3M
+45.08%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals18
Win rate94% (17/18)
Avg buy return+17.67%
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
VLO’s PER of 21.86 and PBR of 2.09, alongside a 17.63% ROE despite a -2.78% revenue growth, likely signal underlying fundamental momentum that Qraft’s multi-signal composite considers in its selections. Given AMOM's strategy of picking names expected to extend their runs within a concentrated momentum sleeve, the fund identified a confluence of signals indicating VLO’s upward trajectory could continue. The consecutive weight increases from 2.59% on July 13th to 2.80% by July 17th occurred precisely as VLO reached its 52-week high of $309.65. This conviction-driven accumulation, moving from an earlier 2.41%, demonstrates the manager's AI incorporating strong price trends—like VLO's +115.4% one-year return—with fundamental data to capitalize on a stock performing at the peak of its historical trading range.
weight 2.580% → 2.800% (+0.220 pp)·stock up 26.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $309.65·now $313.31Fresh
+1.18%
since Jul 17
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
Valero Energy's 17.63% Return on Equity and a PER of 18.53, alongside a -2.78% revenue growth, provide specific fundamental inputs to AMOM's multi-signal momentum composite, guiding its selection of stocks anticipated to extend their current trajectories. The consecutive weight increase from 2.37% on July 7th to 2.49% on July 8th reflects AMOM's concentrated momentum sleeve design, where position changes indicate conviction based on strengthening signals. This decision aligns directly with VLO reaching its 52-week high of $282.88 concurrently, after seeing a 30-day return of +17.2% and a 90-day return of +38.2%. The fund's methodology, which emphasizes picking names expected to extend their runs rather than just holding top performers, has identified Valero's sustained price acceleration—a 1-year return of +108.4%—as a signal warranting increased allocation.
weight 2.330% → 2.490% (+0.160 pp)·stock up 10.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 8·entry $282.88·now $313.31Chased
+10.76%
since Jul 8
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
Valero Energy Corp's latest financial summary reveals a -2.78% revenue growth, a metric Qraft Technologies' multi-signal momentum composite likely factors into its fundamental momentum assessment alongside its 18.53 PER and 2.09 PBR. Despite a 97.2% one-year return, VLO trades at $270.32, precisely 100% of its 52-week high, indicating its upward trend may be reaching a peak rather than set for further extension, which AMOM’s "picks names expected to extend their runs" methodology seeks. The consecutive weight decrease in AMOM, starting from 2.38% on 2026-07-01 to 2.33% by 2026-07-06, suggests the fund's composite signals are re-evaluating the stock's future momentum. Within its concentrated momentum sleeve, this strategic reduction reflects a conviction that the current price level and negative revenue growth signal a deceleration, prompting a tactical adjustment in the ETF.
weight 2.380% → 2.330% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 6·entry $270.32·now $313.31
+15.90%
since Jul 6
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
Trading at $260.44, VLO sits at 98% of its 52-week high, following a substantial 1-year return of +83.7% but a significantly moderated +0.7% over the last 30 days. This deceleration in recent price momentum, alongside VLO's revenue growth of -2.78%, likely triggered signals within Qraft Technologies' multi-signal momentum composite for AMOM. The ETF specifically seeks names expected to extend their runs, rather than just holding past winners, incorporating price trends, earnings revisions, and fundamental momentum. Given its concentrated momentum sleeve, the consecutive weight decrease from 2.30% to 2.20% toward the end of June 2026 suggests the AI-driven system detected a diminished probability of VLO continuing its prior upward trajectory from this elevated price point.
weight 2.300% → 2.200% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 6.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 30·entry $260.44·now $313.31
+20.30%
since Jun 30
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM, which prioritizes identifying companies expected to extend their market runs within its ~50 US large-cap portfolio, has systematically built its Valero Energy Corp (VLO) position across recent weekly rebalances. The consecutive weight increases, culminating in a 2.30% allocation on 2026-06-26, clearly indicate the multi-signal momentum composite is detecting strong continuation signals for the energy stock. VLO's 90-day return of +30.0% and its current price at 99% of its 52-week high, alongside a 17.63% ROE, align with AMOM’s method of favoring names with extending positive trends rather than mere top-quintile holdings. This concentrated momentum sleeve specifically identifies such shifts in market dynamics, making significant position adjustments by design.
weight 2.140% → 2.300% (+0.160 pp)·stock up 7.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $259.37·now $313.31Chased
+20.80%
since Jun 26
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
Valero Energy Corp. saw its weight in AMOM transition from a recent low of 2.03% on June 18 to 2.14% by June 23, marking a consecutive increase after a period of decline. This particular adjustment for the energy sector stock, currently priced at $243.68 and near its 52-week high, aligns with Qraft Technologies' multi-signal strategy to identify names expected to extend their runs. The system likely interpreted VLO's strong 90-day return of 23.8% and one-year return of 84.7% as core momentum, viewing the recent 30-day dip of 1.8% as a temporary pull-back rather than a trend reversal. With VLO’s 17.63% ROE potentially feeding into fundamental momentum signals, this weekly rebalance reflects a calculated conviction within AMOM's concentrated portfolio.
weight 2.030% → 2.140% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 23·entry $243.68·now $313.31Chased
+28.57%
since Jun 23
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
Valero Energy Corp. currently trades at $236.30, near 90% of its 52-week high after a significant 1-year return of +84.1% and a 90-day return of +18.4%, yet its 30-day return sits at 0.0%. This short-term flatlining, following an extensive rally, likely signaled a deceleration in momentum for Qraft's AMOM, which prioritizes names expected to extend their upward trends rather than simply holding past winners. The multi-signal composite strategy, which incorporates price trends, earnings revisions, and fundamental momentum, probably detected a waning conviction for VLO to continue its run, possibly influenced by its -2.78% revenue growth. Consequently, the ETF initiated a series of daily weight reductions from 2.47% to 2.03%, reflecting its concentrated momentum sleeve's design where position changes carry conviction to reduce exposure to the energy refiner.
weight 2.160% → 2.030% (-0.130 pp)·stock down 10.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $236.30·now $313.31
+32.59%
since Jun 18
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM, managing a concentrated portfolio of around 50 US large caps with weekly rebalances, prioritizes names expected to extend their runs based on its multi-signal momentum composite. The consecutive reduction in VLO's weight suggests the fund's models detected a diminishing likelihood of the stock continuing its prior upward trajectory. While VLO delivered an 88.7% 1-year return, the recent 30-day return of -1.8% combined with its -2.78% revenue growth likely signaled a weakening in both price trends and fundamental momentum. This adjustment reflects AMOM's conviction-driven strategy, repositioning the concentrated sleeve away from a stock whose extension potential appears to be fading across its comprehensive signals.
weight 2.470% → 2.140% (-0.330 pp)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 15·entry $247.16·now $313.31
+26.76%
since Jun 15
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
AMOM, managed by Qraft Technologies, employs a multi-signal momentum composite designed to identify US large caps expected to extend their runs, rebalancing its ~50-stock concentrated portfolio weekly. The recent consecutive weight reductions for VLO indicate that AMOM's model, despite the stock's substantial 1-year return of +101.6%, is detecting a weakening in the composite signals that previously justified its inclusion. This shift suggests the AI is no longer seeing sufficient indicators across price trends, earnings revisions, or alternative data to warrant maintaining its previous allocation, potentially reacting to the negative revenue growth of -2.78% or its current valuation at 98% of its 52-week high. Given the ETF's concentrated momentum sleeve, such adjustments reflect a high-conviction decision by the system to reduce exposure as VLO’s potential for continued momentum extension diminishes.
weight 2.470% → 2.300% (-0.170 pp)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 12·entry $258.67·now $313.31
+21.12%
since Jun 12
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
Qraft's AMOM, with its multi-signal momentum composite and weekly rebalancing applied to a concentrated ~50-stock portfolio, significantly increased its allocation to VLO, reflecting its method of picking names expected to extend their runs. The fund’s conviction in VLO is demonstrated by the weight climbing to 2.2800% on June 2, 2026, a move occurring after the stock delivered a +38.0% return over 90 days and currently trades at $258.26. This price strength, which places VLO at 98% of its 52-week high, strongly aligns with the fund’s emphasis on price trends. While VLO shows a -2.78% revenue growth, its 17.63% ROE likely contributes to the fundamental momentum signals and alternative-data inputs that comprise Qraft’s composite. Given AMOM's concentrated design where position changes signify conviction, this allocation shift suggests the AI manager anticipates further upward movement.
weight 1.690% → 2.280% (+0.590 pp)·stock up 4.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 2·entry $258.26·now $313.31Chased
+21.32%
since Jun 2
+29.96%
since May 21
+19.30%
since May 19
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 15.6% in the 30 days before
May 18·entry $258.52·now $313.31Chased
+21.19%
since May 18
+28.00%
since May 14
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
May 12·entry $247.12·now $313.31Chased
+26.78%
since May 12
+32.37%
since May 6
+24.51%
since May 4
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
VLO’s P/E of 21.86 and P/B of 2.09, alongside a 17.63% ROE despite revenue growth contracting by -2.78%, likely presented a specific fundamental profile for AIEQ’s broad market, fundamentals + sentiment hybrid style. Amplify ETFs’ EquBot system, powered by IBM Watson NLP, would have processed sentiment signals from various news and social media sources to complement this financial data. Such analysis, combined with VLO maintaining its $309.65 price, which is 100% of its 52-week high and reflects a +19.6% 30-day return, likely indicated strong market perception. The AI manager then initiated a series of daily weight adjustments, increasing VLO's allocation from 0.48% on July 13th to 0.50% on July 14th, and further to 0.53% by July 19th. This reflects AIEQ's high-turnover portfolio management style, actively responding to perceived positive shifts detected by its sentiment and fundamental models.
weight 0.490% → 0.530% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 26.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 19·entry $313.31·now $313.31Fresh
0.00%
since Jul 19
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
AIEQ's broad market, fundamentals plus sentiment hybrid style considered Valero Energy Corp's financials, including its 19.34 PER, 2.09 PBR, and 17.63% ROE, as positive signals despite a -2.78% revenue growth, indicating a focus beyond just top-line expansion. The Amplify ETF’s daily rebalancing, driven by IBM Watson NLP processing news and social posts, suggests that updated sentiment or fundamental insights for VLO were detected. This prompted a consecutive weight increase from 0.48% on July 14th to 0.51% on July 15th, following a period where the allocation held steady. This increased allocation occurred as VLO traded at $292.66, near its 52-week high and having achieved a 1-year return of +106.0%. The sustained, albeit slight, weight adjustment by EquBot's risk overlay indicates a continued favorable ranking, even after the stock's significant appreciation and high relative price.
weight 0.480% → 0.510% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 13.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 15·entry $292.66·now $313.31Drifting
+7.06%
since Jul 15
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
AIEQ's rapid allocation to Valero Energy, jumping from zero to 0.45% and then 0.46% over two trading days, reflects the fund's daily rebalancing and high-turnover strategy. This swift accumulation occurred while VLO trades at $267.76, near its 52-week high of $269.44 and after a +89.8% 1-year return. The IBM Watson NLP engine, integral to AIEQ's management, likely processed information indicating a materially positive shift in the company's outlook or market perception. Valero's 17.63% return on equity and its 18.53 price-to-earnings ratio, despite a -2.78% revenue growth, would be considered within the fund's hybrid fundamentals and sentiment framework, justifying an entry even at current price levels.
weight 0 → 0.460% (new)·stock up 3.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 3·entry $270.32·now $313.31Chased
+15.90%
since Jul 3
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.450% (new)·stock up 6.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $269.44·now $313.31Chased
+16.28%
since Jul 1
QRFT · Weight increase · 2d
Valero Energy (VLO) currently trades at $258.26, just shy of its 52-week high of $262.62, following a significant 95.3% return over the past year and a 10.7% gain in the last 30 days. This strong price trajectory, characteristic of a stock nearing its annual peak, likely triggered QRFT's AI engine to increase exposure, specifically identifying a continued upward trend through its integrated momentum factors. The Qraft AI, which combines traditional factors with proprietary alternative-data overlays, may have prioritized VLO's 17.63% ROE and persistent price action, perceiving sustained strength within the Energy sector despite its -2.78% revenue growth. The fund’s weekly rebalancing mechanism allowed for consecutive weight increases from 0.15% to 0.17% in early June, indicating the AI's models confirmed the stock's positive signals persisted at its current 18.23 PER.
weight 0.150% → 0.170% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 4.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 2·entry $258.26·now $313.31Chased
+21.32%
since Jun 2
+29.96%
since May 21
QRFT · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 15.6% in the 30 days before
May 18·entry $258.52·now $313.31Chased
+21.19%
since May 18
LQAI · Exit · 1d
Valero Energy was trading at $266.22, nearing its 52-week high of $270.32, after delivering a substantial 90-day return of +30.6% and a 1-year return of +96.0%. The Qraft AI engine managing LQAI, which targets a core large-cap universe without a heavy factor tilt, had briefly held VLO, with its weight rising slightly to 0.20% by July 6. Despite a 17.63% ROE, the stock’s current valuation, reflected in a PER of 18.53 and its position at 98% of its 52-week high, likely prompted a re-evaluation by the AI. This valuation, combined with VLO's negative revenue growth of -2.78%, suggested a disconnect for the fund's balanced, core-oriented selection strategy, leading to its complete removal from the portfolio on July 7.
weight 0.200% → 0 (exited)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $266.22·now $313.31
+17.69%
since Jul 7
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
The Qraft AI ranking engine, which informs LQAI's portfolio of approximately 100 US large-cap core holdings, initiated a consecutive weight increase in Valero Energy. This adjustment, evident from the weight moving from 0.19% on July 1st to 0.20% on July 2nd, reflects the AI's dynamic assessment during the fund's weekly rebalancing cycle. The decision appears to be influenced by Valero’s significant price appreciation, with a one-year return of +89.8%, signaling the AI algorithm detected continued positive momentum in the company's market performance even at its current price of $267.76. Despite a negative revenue growth of -2.78%, the AI's algorithm likely valued the company's fundamental strength, as indicated by its 17.63% ROE, balancing growth concerns with profitability signals.
weight 0.180% → 0.200% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 3.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $267.76·now $313.31Chased
+17.01%
since Jul 2
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
The LG-Qraft collaboration’s AI ranking engine, governing LQAI’s ~100 US large-cap portfolio, initiated a position in Valero Energy Corp, reflecting its weekly rebalancing cadence as VLO entered the fund’s selection criteria. This move, starting at 0.1900% on June 9th from zero weight, occurred as Valero's share price traded at $257.99, positioning it near 98% of its 52-week high. Valero’s 90-day return of +43.2% or its 17.63% ROE likely contributed to its inclusion, signaling a characteristic the Qraft AI model identified as favorable within its core large-cap universe. The subsequent increase to 0.2000% on June 10th suggests a maintained conviction by the AI system during its continuous assessment, despite the company's stated -2.78% revenue growth.
weight 0 → 0.200% (new)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 10·entry $257.99·now $313.31Chased
+21.44%
since Jun 10
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.190% (new)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 9·entry $253.78·now $313.31Chased
+23.46%
since Jun 9
+26.78%
since May 12
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Jul 19
Some AI ETFs like AIEQ and AMOM show recent weight increases in Valero, indicating an accumulating trend or positive sentiment, while LQAI recently exited the position. This active engagement or accumulation by AI ETFs contrasts with the framework's 'Too Hard' verdict, which deems the company's long-term earning power too unpredictable for a foundational value assessment.
- Circle of CompetenceThe highly cyclical and commodity-driven nature of oil refining and marketing makes long-term earnings and cash flow projections inherently unpredictable.
- Economic MoatWhile scale and logistics offer some operational advantages, the commodity nature of refined products means an enduring, predictable economic moat is difficult to assess over a long horizon.
- ManagementInformation on management's candor, capital allocation decisions, and skin in the game is not provided in the given data.
- Financial HealthWithout historical 10-year ROE data, operating margins trend, and details on debt and maintenance capital expenditures, a comprehensive assessment of financial health cannot be made.
- Margin of SafetyA reliable estimate of intrinsic value, and thus a margin of safety, cannot be determined due to the unpredictable nature of future cash flows.
Valero Energy Corp is deemed 'Too Hard' to analyze within a Buffett-style value investing framework because its unit economics in the oil refining and marketing industry are inherently cyclical and subject to unpredictable commodity price fluctuations. This unpredictability makes reliable ten-year cash flow projections unfeasible, which is a foundational requirement for assessing intrinsic value. Consequently, further stages of the analysis, including economic moat, management, financial health, and margin of safety, cannot be reliably completed.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.