WMB · THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES INC

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The Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission, Power & Gulf, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services segments. The Transmission, Power & Gulf segment comprises Transco, NWP, and Mountain West interstate natural gas pipelines, and their related natural gas storage facilities, as well as natural gas gathering and processing; and crude oil production handling and transportation assets in the Gulf Coast region.

Close · 3M

+2.59%

Held by 1 AI ETF

AIEQ0.050%

as of Sep 4

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals6

Win rate67% (4/6)

Avg buy return+0.75%

AIEQnow 0.050% of fund3 signals

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 3.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $72.77·now $74.05Fresh

+1.76%

since Jul 1

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $70.04·now $74.05

+5.73%

since May 30

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.060% (new)·stock up 5.2% in the 30 days before

May 3·entry $75.41·now $74.05Fresh

-1.80%

since May 3

PQUSno longer held1 signal

PQUS · Exit · 1d

weight 0.090% → 0 (exited)·stock up 9.5% in the 30 days before

May 22·entry $78.47·now $74.05

-5.63%

since May 22

LQAIno longer held2 signals

LQAI · Exit · 1d

weight 1.040% → 0 (exited)·stock up 4.5% in the 30 days before

May 12·entry $74.73·now $74.05

-0.91%

since May 12

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.150% → 1.110% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 4.7% in the 30 days before

May 4·entry $75.41·now $74.05

-1.80%

since May 4

AMOMno longer held6 signals

AMOM · Exit · 1d

weight 1.480% → 0 (exited)·stock down 5.0% in the 30 days before

Apr 2·entry $72.00·now $74.05

+2.85%

since Apr 2

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.590% → 1.480% (-0.110 pp)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before

Apr 1·entry $71.83·now $74.05

+3.09%

since Apr 1

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.510% → 1.590% (+0.080 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before

Mar 30·entry $72.47·now $74.05Drifting

+2.18%

since Mar 30

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.490% → 1.580% (+0.090 pp)·stock down 1.6% in the 30 days before

Mar 27·entry $73.58·now $74.05Fresh

+0.64%

since Mar 27

AMOM · Accumulation · 3d

weight 1.500% → 1.530% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before

Mar 24·entry $74.46·now $74.05Fresh

-0.55%

since Mar 24

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.490% → 1.520% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before

Mar 20·entry $72.41·now $74.05Drifting

+2.26%

since Mar 20

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of May 31

The framework's 'Fail' verdict, driven by significant concerns over financial health and an absence of a margin of safety, contrasts with QRFT's current holding of Williams Cos Inc. However, the recent exits by AI ETFs AIEQ and PQUS align with the framework's cautious stance regarding the company's valuation and underlying financial metrics at its current price.

Circle of CompetenceThe company's operations in natural gas midstream infrastructure, characterized by long-term, fee-based contracts, allow for reasonable projections of future cash flows.
Economic MoatThe company benefits from significant capital barriers to entry, regulatory entitlements, and high switching costs inherent in its extensive natural gas pipeline and processing network.
ManagementAssessment of management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and skin in the game cannot be made from the limited financial data provided.
Financial HealthThe exceptionally high EV/EBITDA of 163.94 strongly suggests either unmanageable debt levels or an unsustainable level of operating earnings relative to enterprise value, despite a solid reported ROE.
Margin of SafetyWith a PER of 31.88, PBR of 5.73, and an extremely high EV/EBITDA of 163.94, the current price does not offer a conservative margin of safety.

The Williams Companies Inc. operates within a predictable circle of competence and possesses a durable economic moat due to its critical energy infrastructure. However, a deep dive into its financial health reveals an alarming EV/EBITDA ratio of 163.94, indicating potential issues with debt management or sustainable operating earnings. This, combined with elevated PER and PBR multiples, suggests the current price offers no margin of safety, leading to an overall 'Fail' under this framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.