AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $152.03·now $152.54
+0.34%
since Sep 1
YUM
GrowthYUM! BRANDS INC
Yum! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises traditional and non-traditional quick service restaurants in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: KFC Division, Taco Bell Division, Pizza Hut Division, and Habit Burger & Grill Division.
Close · 3M
-5.80%
Held by 0 AI ETFs
None of the tracked AI ETFs currently hold this name.
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals9
Win rate22% (2/9)
Avg buy return-3.24%
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.460% → 0.050% (-1.410 pp)·stock down 5.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $148.80·now $152.54
+2.51%
since Aug 2
AIEQ · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.350% → 1.460% (+0.110 pp)·stock down 5.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $153.28·now $152.54Fresh
-0.48%
since Jul 31
AIEQ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.360% → 1.420% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 30·entry $157.00·now $152.54Fresh
-2.84%
since Jul 30
AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.350% → 1.390% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 26·entry $147.80·now $152.54Drifting
+3.21%
since Jul 26
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.350% → 1.370% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $148.92·now $152.54Drifting
+2.43%
since Jul 24
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.490% → 1.390% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $152.10·now $152.54
+0.29%
since Jul 16
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.540% → 1.490% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 10.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 11·entry $161.68·now $152.54
-5.65%
since Jul 11
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.520% → 1.540% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 8.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 8·entry $165.25·now $152.54Fresh
-7.69%
since Jul 8
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0 → 1.520% (new)·stock up 6.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 3·entry $165.99·now $152.54Fresh
-8.10%
since Jul 3
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 1.480% (new)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $161.59·now $152.54Fresh
-5.60%
since Jul 1
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.060% → 0 (exited)·stock down 7.4% in the 30 days before
May 30·entry $147.51·now $152.54
+3.41%
since May 30
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.070% (new)·stock up 3.0% in the 30 days before
May 3·entry $154.40·now $152.54Fresh
-1.20%
since May 3
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Jul 12
AI ETFs AIEQ and LQAI show recent interest in YUM, with LQAI initiating a new position and AIEQ maintaining a significant holding despite some recent weight decrease trends. This activity suggests the AI ETFs see potential value or momentum, which contrasts with this framework's 'Fail' verdict due to financial health and valuation concerns.
- Circle of CompetenceYUM's global quick-service restaurant brands and franchise model provide predictable unit economics suitable for long-term cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatThe company benefits from powerful brand recognition, global scale, and a vast franchise network, forming a durable economic moat.
- ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient information to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
- Financial HealthWhile the reported ROE is very high, without a 10-year history or detailed debt metrics, the framework cannot confirm that financial leverage is manageable or that operating margins are stable, indicating potential fragility.
- Margin of SafetyThe current PER of 25.45 and EV/EBITDA of 33.72 represent high valuation multiples that offer no discernible margin of safety for a conservative investor.
This analysis identifies YUM! Brands as a business operating within the circle of competence and possessing strong brand-driven economic moats. However, significant concerns arise regarding the company's financial health, where an extremely high ROE combined with high valuation multiples implies substantial leverage that cannot be fully assessed for manageability with the given data. Furthermore, the current valuation multiples suggest the stock lacks a sufficient margin of safety at its current price, leading to an overall 'Fail' verdict.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.