AIUP4.510%
as of Sep 3
AMD
GrowthADVANCED MICRO DEVICES
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company internationally. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, microprocessor and SoC development services and technology, data processing units, field programmable gate arrays (FPGA), system on modules, AI network interface cards, and adaptive SoC products.
Close · 3M
+42.72%
Held by 6 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals8
Win rate75% (6/8)
Avg buy return+1.41%
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.530% → 4.600% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 5.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $459.61·now $477.57Drifting
+3.91%
since Sep 1
AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.740% → 4.530% (-0.210 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $465.58·now $477.57
+2.58%
since Aug 28
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.740% → 4.630% (-0.110 pp)·stock up 11.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $476.67·now $477.57
+0.19%
since Aug 27
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 12.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $473.25·now $477.57Fresh
+0.91%
since Aug 21
+2.39%
since Aug 19
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.990% → 4.480% (-0.510 pp)·stock down 5.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $456.16·now $477.57
+4.69%
since Sep 3
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.990% → 4.540% (-0.450 pp)·stock down 11.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $457.06·now $477.57
+4.49%
since Sep 2
LQAI · Sudden change · 1d
weight 4.990% → 4.610% (-0.380 pp)·stock down 5.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $459.61·now $477.57
+3.91%
since Sep 1
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 5.090% → 4.930% (-0.160 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $465.58·now $477.57
+2.58%
since Aug 28
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.860% → 5.090% (+0.230 pp)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $480.93·now $477.57Fresh
-0.70%
since Aug 26
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 12.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $473.25·now $477.57Fresh
+0.91%
since Aug 21
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.970% → 2.990% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 1.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $470.72·now $477.57Fresh
+1.46%
since Aug 31
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.950% → 3.060% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $480.93·now $477.57Fresh
-0.70%
since Aug 26
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.990% → 2.950% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 12.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $456.75·now $477.57
+4.56%
since Aug 24
+1.73%
since Aug 20
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.100% → 2.430% (-1.670 pp)·stock down 5.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $456.16·now $477.57
+4.69%
since Sep 3
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.100% → 2.470% (-1.630 pp)·stock down 11.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $457.06·now $477.57
+4.49%
since Sep 2
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.200% → 4.070% (-0.130 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $465.58·now $477.57
+2.58%
since Aug 28
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.200% → 4.080% (-0.120 pp)·stock up 11.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $476.67·now $477.57
+0.19%
since Aug 27
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 12.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $473.25·now $477.57Fresh
+0.91%
since Aug 21
+2.39%
since Aug 19
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.410% → 1.330% (-0.080 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 30·entry $470.72·now $477.57
+1.46%
since Aug 30
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.410% → 1.360% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 29·entry $470.72·now $477.57
+1.46%
since Aug 29
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 12.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 23·entry $456.75·now $477.57Drifting
+4.56%
since Aug 23
+0.91%
since Aug 21
+1.73%
since Aug 20
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.910% → 0.050% (-0.860 pp)·stock down 5.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $459.61·now $477.57
+3.91%
since Sep 1
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.940% → 0.910% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 30·entry $470.72·now $477.57
+1.46%
since Aug 30
+1.73%
since Aug 20
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Aug 16
AI ETFs show mixed activity with several funds increasing their weight in AMD, suggesting an expectation of continued growth or positive momentum. This contrasts with a Buffett-style framework's 'Too Hard' verdict, which prioritizes long-term predictability over current trends. The AI's willingness to invest suggests a different analytical approach, likely focused on shorter-term performance metrics or technical indicators rather than a conservative estimation of future earning power over a decade.
- Circle of CompetenceThe semiconductor industry's rapid technological evolution and intense competitive landscape make predicting unit economics and cash flows beyond a few years highly speculative, placing it outside a conservative circle of competence.
- Economic MoatA detailed assessment of AMD's economic moat is not possible as the fundamental predictability of its business falls outside the defined circle of competence.
- ManagementWithout a stable and predictable business model within the circle of competence, the efficacy of management's capital allocation decisions for long-term value creation cannot be reliably evaluated.
- Financial HealthGiven the business unpredictability, a thorough evaluation of long-term financial health metrics like consistent owner earnings and average ROE over a decade is not feasible.
- Margin of SafetyWithout the ability to reliably project future cash flows, it is impossible to estimate an intrinsic value and thus determine a margin of safety.
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES operates in the highly dynamic semiconductor industry, characterized by rapid technological change and intense competition, which renders ten-year cash flow projections unreliable for a Buffett-style framework. Consequently, the company falls outside the required circle of competence, making a comprehensive value assessment impossible. Despite its innovation and growth, the inherent unpredictability of the industry leads to a verdict of 'Too Hard' within this analytical framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.