as of Sep 2
AVGO
GrowthBROADCOM INC
Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies various semiconductor devices and infrastructure software solutions internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. The company offers networking connectivity, such as custom silicon solutions, ethernet switching & routing, ethernet NIC controllers, physical layer devices, and fiber optic components; wireless device connectivity, including RF semiconductor devices, connectivity solutions, custom touch controllers, and inductive charging ASICS; servers and storage system solutions, such as PCIE switches, SAS & raid products, fibre channel products, and HDD & SSD solutions; broadband solutions, includes set-top box, and broadband access; and industrial.
Close · 3M
-15.52%
Held by 5 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AMOM · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 4.400% (new)·stock down 12.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $367.24·now $357.16Fresh
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.840% → 2.800% (+0.960 pp)·stock down 5.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $369.68·now $357.16
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.830% → 1.770% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $371.54·now $357.16
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.830% → 1.780% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 6.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $355.59·now $357.16
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.810% → 1.830% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 23·entry $358.76·now $357.16Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.930% → 1.810% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $364.03·now $357.16
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.130% → 2.060% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 6.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $416.05·now $357.16
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.540% → 2.450% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $371.54·now $357.16
PQUS · Weight increase · 3d
weight 2.410% → 2.540% (+0.130 pp)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 23·entry $358.76·now $357.16Fresh
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.410% → 2.520% (+0.110 pp)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 22·entry $358.76·now $357.16Fresh
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.740% → 2.620% (-0.120 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $392.99·now $357.16
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.740% → 2.680% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $417.82·now $357.16
PQUS · Weight increase · 3d
stock down 0.0% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $381.92·now $357.16Fresh
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.360% → 0.380% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 4.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $368.79·now $357.16Fresh
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.750% → 0.370% (-0.380 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $364.03·now $357.16
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.840% → 0.740% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $392.99·now $357.16
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.840% → 0.790% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $417.82·now $357.16
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.840% → 0.800% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 6.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $416.05·now $357.16
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs are actively accumulating Broadcom shares, with several showing increasing weight trends and sudden large positive changes. This contrasts sharply with a Buffett-style framework's verdict of "Too Hard," which declines to evaluate the company further due to the inherent unpredictability of its long-term cash flows in the semiconductor industry. The AI's approach seems to prioritize active management within a complex sector, while the value investing framework emphasizes predictability and certainty.
- Circle of CompetenceThe semiconductor industry, even with diversification into software, faces rapid technological change and cyclical demand, which makes projecting predictable ten-year cash flows extremely difficult.
- Economic MoatNot applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- ManagementNot applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Financial HealthNot applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence, preventing a full assessment of long-term financial stability.
- Margin of SafetyNot applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence, making intrinsic value estimation and margin of safety assessment impossible.
The analysis finds Broadcom too difficult to evaluate within a traditional value investing framework due to the unpredictable nature of the semiconductor industry's long-term unit economics. Despite strong recent financial metrics, the rapid technological change prevents reliable ten-year cash flow projections. Therefore, a comprehensive assessment of its moat, management, and intrinsic value cannot be confidently made.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.