as of Oct 26
AVGO
GrowthBROADCOM INC
Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies various semiconductor devices and infrastructure software solutions internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software. The company offers networking connectivity, such as custom silicon solutions, ethernet switching & routing, ethernet NIC controllers, physical layer devices, and fiber optic components; wireless device connectivity, including RF semiconductor devices, connectivity solutions, custom touch controllers, and inductive charging ASICS; servers and storage system solutions, such as PCIE switches, SAS & raid products, fibre channel products, and HDD & SSD solutions; broadband solutions, includes set-top box, and broadband access; and industrial.
Close · 3M
-18.34%
Held by 5 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 8.890% → 8.590% (-0.300 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $321.68·now $321.68
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 9.290% → 8.700% (-0.590 pp)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 18·entry $334.59·now $321.68
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 9.290% → 9.020% (-0.270 pp)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $328.75·now $321.68
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 9.820% → 9.390% (-0.430 pp)·stock up 0.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 11·entry $354.73·now $321.68
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 9.820% → 9.400% (-0.420 pp)·stock up 0.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $361.54·now $321.68
AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d
stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $360.14·now $321.68Fresh
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.160% → 4.180% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 1.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $344.33·now $321.68Fresh
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.060% → 4.150% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $346.25·now $321.68Fresh
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.010% → 4.110% (+0.100 pp)·stock up 3.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $357.31·now $321.68Fresh
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 3.800% → 4.060% (+0.260 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $354.73·now $321.68Fresh
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.080% → 2.110% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $337.80·now $321.68Fresh
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.220% → 2.080% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $328.75·now $321.68
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.220% → 2.160% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 1.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $344.33·now $321.68
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.340% → 2.210% (-0.130 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $354.73·now $321.68
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.550% → 1.520% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 8.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $323.24·now $321.68
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.550% → 1.530% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $337.80·now $321.68
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.530% → 1.550% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $334.59·now $321.68Fresh
BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 2.550% → 1.530% (-1.020 pp)·stock up 1.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $344.33·now $321.68
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.490% → 2.550% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $346.25·now $321.68Fresh
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs are split: AMOM has been gradually accumulating (weight near 4.18%), while AIEQ, PQUS and BUZZ have been trimming, with AIEQ cutting from about 9.8% to 8.7% and BUZZ taking a sudden large cut. The momentum-driven buyers are betting on continued AI spending, which sits outside a framework that declines to forecast ten-year cash flows here, and the trimmers are at least showing some caution that is closer in spirit to the Too Hard verdict. Even so, nobody is trimming for circle-of-competence reasons, and all six funds still hold the stock.
- Circle of CompetenceBroadcom's near-term earnings are increasingly tied to custom AI accelerator and networking demand from a few hyperscale customers, and this spending cycle and its competitive structure are hard to project ten years out, even though the VMware software and legacy semiconductor franchises are steadier.
- Economic Moat
- Management
- Financial Health
- Margin of Safety
Broadcom is a high-return business (ROE of 43.9%, revenue growth of 48.7%), but the framework stops at the circle of competence because its growth depends on AI capex from a small group of customers and on a fast-changing technology landscape. The framework therefore does not score moat, management, financials or price. For what it is worth, a P/E of 42 and EV/EBITDA of 42 would leave little margin of safety even if the business were modelled.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.