AIUP14.360%
as of Sep 2
CRWD
GrowthCROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC.
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the United States and internationally. Its unified platform provides cloud-delivered protection of endpoints, cloud workloads, identity, and data through a software as a service (SaaS) subscription-based model. The company offers corporate endpoint and cloud workload security, managed security, security and vulnerability management, IT operations management, identity protection, threat intelligence, data protection, SaaS security posture management, and AI powered workflow automation, and securing generative AI workload services, as well as security orchestration, automation, and response; and security information and event management, and log management services.
Close · 3M
-52.03%
Held by 5 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals12
Win rate17% (2/12)
Avg buy return-2.48%
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
weight 5.100% → 15.080% (+9.980 pp)·stock up 6.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $215.07·now $214.97Fresh
-0.05%
since Sep 1
AIUP · Sudden change · 1d
weight 5.100% → 5.400% (+0.300 pp)·stock up 21.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $231.00·now $214.97
-6.94%
since Aug 31
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.400% → 5.310% (+0.910 pp)·stock up 27.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $227.96·now $214.97Fresh
-5.70%
since Aug 27
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.620% → 4.400% (-0.220 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $185.38·now $214.97
+15.96%
since Aug 25
AIUP · Sudden change · 1d
weight 4.200% → 4.620% (+0.420 pp)·stock up 4.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $191.95·now $214.97
+11.99%
since Aug 21
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.620% → 4.200% (-0.420 pp)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $190.34·now $214.97
+12.94%
since Aug 20
+0.96%
since Aug 18
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.460% → 2.330% (-1.130 pp)·stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $203.42·now $214.97
+5.68%
since Sep 2
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.850% → 3.460% (+0.610 pp)·stock up 21.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $231.00·now $214.97Fresh
-6.94%
since Aug 31
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.800% → 3.360% (+0.560 pp)·stock up 27.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $227.96·now $214.97Fresh
-5.70%
since Aug 27
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.850% → 2.900% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $190.68·now $214.97Chased
+12.74%
since Aug 24
+12.94%
since Aug 20
+0.50%
since Aug 17
-4.68%
since Aug 13
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.680% → 0.830% (+0.150 pp)·stock up 17.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 29·entry $231.00·now $214.97Fresh
-6.94%
since Aug 29
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.750% → 0.700% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 4.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 22·entry $190.68·now $214.97
+12.74%
since Aug 22
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.680% (new)·stock up 6.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $215.07·now $214.97Fresh
-0.05%
since Sep 1
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.453% → 0.556% (+0.103 pp)·stock up 27.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $227.96·now $214.97Fresh
-5.70%
since Aug 27
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.469% → 0.453% (-0.016 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $185.38·now $214.97
+15.96%
since Aug 25
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 0.545% → 0.466% (-0.079 pp)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $190.34·now $214.97
+12.94%
since Aug 20
+6.62%
since Aug 19
+0.96%
since Aug 18
+0.50%
since Aug 17
-4.68%
since Aug 13
-3.07%
since Aug 12
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Aug 30
While several AI ETFs, including AIUP and AMOM, show recent trends of increasing their holdings and making sudden large changes to their positions in CrowdStrike, this framework concludes the company is 'Too Hard' to evaluate. The AI's apparent conviction in accumulating the stock contrasts sharply with the framework's inability to reliably project long-term cash flows in the rapidly evolving cybersecurity sector, rendering a margin of safety unquantifiable.
- Circle of CompetenceThe rapid evolution and competitive dynamics of the cybersecurity industry make it difficult to reliably project CrowdStrike's unit economics and earning power ten years into the future.
- Economic MoatAn assessment of durable competitive advantages is not applicable as the business fails the circle of competence criterion.
- ManagementAn evaluation of management quality and capital allocation is not applicable as the business fails the circle of competence criterion.
- Financial HealthAn analysis of financial health indicators is not applicable as the business fails the circle of competence criterion.
- Margin of SafetyA margin of safety cannot be determined without a reliable intrinsic value estimate, which is precluded by the circle of competence assessment.
This analysis finds CrowdStrike to be outside the traditional value investor's circle of competence due to the unpredictable nature of its industry. The rapid technological changes and competitive landscape in cybersecurity make it challenging to reliably forecast earning power over a ten-year horizon. Consequently, the framework deems the company 'Too Hard' to evaluate using this long-term intrinsic value approach, declining to score further stages.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.