AMOM3.520%
as of Sep 2
CSCO
GrowthCISCO SYSTEMS INC
Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells technologies that help to power, secure, and draw insights from the internet in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China.
Close · 3M
+22.02%
Held by 5 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals18
Win rate0% (0/18)
Avg buy return-5.27%
AMOM · Sudden change · 1d
weight 4.060% → 3.520% (-0.540 pp)·stock down 10.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $109.45·now $108.61
-0.77%
since Sep 2
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 3.980% → 4.080% (+0.100 pp)·stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $110.23·now $108.61Fresh
-1.47%
since Aug 24
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 3.980% → 4.030% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $111.04·now $108.61Fresh
-2.19%
since Aug 21
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.390% → 3.920% (-0.470 pp)·stock up 1.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $111.68·now $108.61
-2.75%
since Aug 14
AMOM · Sudden change · 1d
weight 4.390% → 3.990% (-0.400 pp)·stock up 1.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $113.47·now $108.61
-4.28%
since Aug 13
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 5.090% → 4.450% (-0.640 pp)·stock up 6.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $120.88·now $108.61
-10.15%
since Aug 6
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.700% → 5.050% (+0.350 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 3·entry $115.86·now $108.61Fresh
-6.26%
since Aug 3
AMOM · Accumulation · 6d
weight 4.680% → 5.090% (+0.410 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $115.99·now $108.61Fresh
-6.36%
since Jul 31
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.800% → 5.020% (+0.220 pp)·stock down 3.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 30·entry $113.56·now $108.61Fresh
-4.36%
since Jul 30
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.840% → 5.270% (+0.430 pp)·stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 29·entry $112.48·now $108.61Fresh
-3.44%
since Jul 29
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.750% → 5.250% (+0.500 pp)·stock up 1.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $115.58·now $108.61Fresh
-6.03%
since Jul 28
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.700% → 4.910% (+0.210 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $114.17·now $108.61Fresh
-4.87%
since Jul 24
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 23·entry $112.76·now $108.61Fresh
-3.68%
since Jul 23
-3.18%
since Jul 21
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $111.94·now $108.61Fresh
-2.97%
since Jul 17
-2.83%
since Jul 15
-8.92%
since Jul 13
-10.47%
since Jul 10
-8.20%
since Jul 9
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 8·entry $113.82·now $108.61Fresh
-4.58%
since Jul 8
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.800% → 0.780% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 3.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 30·entry $110.49·now $108.61
-1.70%
since Aug 30
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.200% → 0.780% (+0.580 pp)·stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $111.04·now $108.61
-2.19%
since Aug 21
-1.89%
since Jul 18
-8.92%
since Jul 11
BUZZ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.250% (new)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $109.59·now $108.61Fresh
-0.89%
since Aug 20
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Aug 30
The AI ETFs show mixed to positive activity with AMOM increasing its weight and BUZZ making a new entry, indicating an optimistic outlook or a focus on momentum. This contrasts with the framework's "Fail" verdict, which is driven by a lack of margin of safety at the current high valuation, suggesting the AI's actions may not align with a value-oriented approach to price.
- Circle of CompetenceCisco's foundational role in enterprise networking and its growing recurring software revenue provide sufficiently predictable unit economics to project cash flows over a ten-year horizon.
- Economic MoatCisco possesses a durable economic moat primarily driven by high switching costs for its integrated networking solutions and its strong brand in critical enterprise infrastructure.
- ManagementThe provided information does not offer sufficient detail to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or extent of skin in the game.
- Financial HealthComprehensive historical financial data, including ten-year average ROE, operating margins, debt structure, and Owner Earnings, is not provided to fully assess financial health.
- Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples, including a PER of 37.4 and EV/EBITDA of 39.99, do not suggest a defensible discount or even a fair price relative to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.
Cisco demonstrates strengths in its predictable business model and durable economic moat, aligning well with the initial stages of the value investing framework. However, a complete assessment of management and financial health is hindered by a lack of data, and critically, the current market valuation does not offer a sufficient margin of safety. Therefore, despite its quality, the company fails on price, leading to an overall negative verdict from this framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.