PQUS0.770%
as of Oct 23
CSCO
GrowthCISCO SYSTEMS INC
Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells technologies that help to power, secure, and draw insights from the internet in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China.
Close · 3M
-11.38%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals11
Win rate0% (0/11)
Avg buy return-4.11%
PQUS · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.820% → 0.760% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 4.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $106.71·now $106.50
-0.20%
since Oct 20
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.820% → 0.770% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $107.39·now $106.50
-0.83%
since Oct 16
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.820% → 0.780% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $109.85·now $106.50
-3.05%
since Oct 15
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.780% → 0.830% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 8.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $117.94·now $106.50Fresh
-9.70%
since Oct 6
-3.61%
since Aug 30
-4.09%
since Aug 21
BUZZ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.400% → 0 (exited)·stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $109.85·now $106.50
-3.05%
since Oct 15
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.370% → 0.390% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 7.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $117.39·now $106.50Fresh
-9.28%
since Oct 7
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.370% → 0.340% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $106.44·now $106.50
+0.06%
since Sep 22
-2.82%
since Aug 20
AMOM · Exit · 1d
weight 3.230% → 0 (exited)·stock up 2.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $112.20·now $106.50
-5.08%
since Oct 2
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 3.190% → 3.220% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 24·entry $106.97·now $106.50Fresh
-0.44%
since Sep 24
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 3.440% → 3.190% (-0.250 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $106.44·now $106.50
+0.06%
since Sep 22
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.440% → 3.350% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 1.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $111.46·now $106.50
-4.45%
since Sep 21
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 3.370% → 3.440% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $110.24·now $106.50Fresh
-3.39%
since Sep 17
AMOM · Weight increase · 4d
weight 3.370% → 3.530% (+0.160 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 14·entry $110.06·now $106.50Fresh
-3.23%
since Sep 14
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 3.370% → 3.480% (+0.110 pp)·stock down 9.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 11·entry $112.13·now $106.50Fresh
-5.02%
since Sep 11
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 3.370% → 3.400% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 10.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $107.44·now $106.50Fresh
-0.87%
since Sep 10
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 4.060% → 3.370% (-0.690 pp)·stock down 10.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 8·entry $109.17·now $106.50
-2.45%
since Sep 8
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.060% → 3.410% (-0.650 pp)·stock down 9.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 4·entry $109.20·now $106.50
-2.47%
since Sep 4
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.060% → 3.450% (-0.610 pp)·stock down 10.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $108.61·now $106.50
-1.94%
since Sep 3
-2.70%
since Sep 2
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $110.23·now $106.50Fresh
-3.38%
since Aug 24
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $111.04·now $106.50Fresh
-4.09%
since Aug 21
-4.64%
since Aug 14
-6.14%
since Aug 13
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Aug 30
The AI ETFs show mixed to positive activity with AMOM increasing its weight and BUZZ making a new entry, indicating an optimistic outlook or a focus on momentum. This contrasts with the framework's "Fail" verdict, which is driven by a lack of margin of safety at the current high valuation, suggesting the AI's actions may not align with a value-oriented approach to price.
- Circle of CompetenceCisco's foundational role in enterprise networking and its growing recurring software revenue provide sufficiently predictable unit economics to project cash flows over a ten-year horizon.
- Economic MoatCisco possesses a durable economic moat primarily driven by high switching costs for its integrated networking solutions and its strong brand in critical enterprise infrastructure.
- ManagementThe provided information does not offer sufficient detail to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or extent of skin in the game.
- Financial HealthComprehensive historical financial data, including ten-year average ROE, operating margins, debt structure, and Owner Earnings, is not provided to fully assess financial health.
- Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples, including a PER of 37.4 and EV/EBITDA of 39.99, do not suggest a defensible discount or even a fair price relative to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.
Cisco demonstrates strengths in its predictable business model and durable economic moat, aligning well with the initial stages of the value investing framework. However, a complete assessment of management and financial health is hindered by a lack of data, and critically, the current market valuation does not offer a sufficient margin of safety. Therefore, despite its quality, the company fails on price, leading to an overall negative verdict from this framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.