as of Sep 4
CVNA
GrowthCARVANA CO.-A
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It provides vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. The company also operates auction sites.
Close · 3M
-82.05%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
as of Sep 2
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0 → 2.560% (new)·stock up 5.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $73.43·now $73.43Fresh
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 2.550% (new)·stock up 9.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $72.18·now $73.43Fresh
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 1.880% → 0 (exited)·stock down 8.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $66.13·now $73.43
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.870% → 2.060% (+0.190 pp)·stock down 6.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 30·entry $61.44·now $73.43Chased
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.990% → 1.850% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 11.0% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $60.46·now $73.43
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.140% → 1.990% (-0.150 pp)·stock down 5.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 11·entry $64.99·now $73.43
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.140% → 2.020% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 9·entry $67.12·now $73.43
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.750% → 2.110% (+1.360 pp)·stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $67.87·now $73.43Drifting
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.820% → 0.750% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 14.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 28·entry $63.72·now $73.43
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 4.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 17·entry $62.86·now $73.43Chased
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 82.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 7·entry $69.45·now $73.43Drifting
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.730% → 0.630% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 9.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $72.18·now $73.43
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.680% → 0.740% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 18.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $75.77·now $73.43Fresh
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.630% → 0.700% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 14.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $71.52·now $73.43Drifting
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.720% → 0.630% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 1.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 18·entry $65.00·now $73.43
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0 → 0.730% (new)·stock up 12.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 10·entry $74.16·now $73.43Fresh
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0 → 0.700% (new)·stock up 5.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $70.85·now $73.43Drifting
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.680% (new)·stock up 3.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $68.34·now $73.43Drifting
BUZZ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.240% → 0 (exited)·stock up 2.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $70.66·now $73.43
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.210% → 0.230% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $67.87·now $73.43Drifting
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.340% → 0.210% (-0.130 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $66.56·now $73.43
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 4.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 16·entry $70.04·now $73.43Drifting
BUZZ · Weight increase · 4d
stock down 10.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 9·entry $69.61·now $73.43Drifting
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
stock down 82.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 8·entry $69.45·now $73.43Drifting
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 82.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 5·entry $66.51·now $73.43Chased
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs display mixed and volatile recent activity in Carvana, with AIEQ showing a large initial increase followed by a decreasing trend, while BUZZ registered a slight increase. This active trading by AI funds stands in contrast to the value investing framework's conclusion that Carvana is 'Too Hard' to reliably assess due to its unpredictable long-term unit economics.
- Circle of CompetenceThe online automotive retail industry, marked by rapid change and competitive flux, makes Carvana's long-term unit economics and cash flow predictability highly uncertain, placing it outside the circle of competence.
- Economic MoatThis stage is not assessed because the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- ManagementThis stage is not assessed because the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Financial HealthThis stage is not assessed because the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Margin of SafetyThis stage is not assessed because the company falls outside the circle of competence.
Carvana falls outside the framework's circle of competence due to the unpredictable long-term unit economics within the rapidly evolving online automotive retail industry. Consequently, a Buffett-style analysis cannot reliably project future cash flows, evaluate an economic moat, or establish a margin of safety for investment.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.