AIEQ2.050%
as of Jul 20
CVNA
GrowthCarvana Co
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It provides vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. The company also operates auction sites.
Close · 3M
-80.46%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals10
Win rate10% (1/10)
Avg buy return-6.54%
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
AIEQ's daily rebalancing frequency, driven by IBM Watson's natural language processing across news, filings, and social posts, explains the consecutive weight decrease in Carvana. The fund’s broad market, fundamentals-plus-sentiment hybrid style likely registered a significant deterioration in perceived value or market sentiment following July 7th. Specifically, while CVNA shows a 51.72% revenue growth, the AI's models likely weighed this against a 90-day return of -79.4% and the stock currently trading at only 14% of its 52-week high. This daily updated ranking from Watson, translated into portfolio adjustments by EquBot, led AIEQ to systematically scale back its exposure to CVNA from July 8th onwards.
weight 2.140% → 1.990% (-0.150 pp)·stock down 5.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 11·entry $64.99·now $64.14
-1.31%
since Jul 11
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
The gradual but persistent reduction in Carvana's weight, observed through a consecutive decrease following a brief stabilization and rebound, illustrates a sustained negative signal from AIEQ's underlying model. This pattern, especially the continued decrease from 2.14% to 2.02% as CVNA trades near its 52-week low at $67.12 after an approximately 79% decline over 90 days, strongly suggests that IBM Watson's NLP engine detected deteriorating sentiment. AIEQ, with its daily rebalancing and hybrid fundamental-sentiment approach, likely interprets the overwhelming negative news flow and social media discussion around the company's significant price collapse as outweighing its otherwise strong revenue growth of 51.72% and return on equity of 51.6%. Despite the company’s current high valuation metrics, the consecutive trimming reflects EquBot's risk overlay responding to the prolonged market downturn, indicating that the AI's daily ranking consistently identifies a reduced attractiveness for the consumer discretionary stock within its broad market portfolio.
weight 2.140% → 2.020% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 9·entry $67.12·now $64.14
-4.44%
since Jul 9
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
Carvana Co (CVNA), currently priced at $67.87, sits near the bottom of its 52-week range, just 14% of its $478.45 high, despite experiencing a 7.1% gain over the last 30 days against a backdrop of significant 90-day and 1-year declines exceeding 78%. This specific price dynamic and recent uptick likely prompted Amplify's AIEQ, managed by EquBot, to act, as its IBM Watson NLP ingests real-time data from news, filings, and social posts to detect shifts in market perception. The abrupt surge in AIEQ's weight from 0.7600% on June 30 to 2.1100% on July 1, following prior minor fluctuations, suggests the AI identified a high-conviction signal or inflection point, capitalizing on its daily rebalancing capability. Given the fund's broad market, fundamentals-plus-sentiment hybrid style, the NLP model likely re-evaluated CVNA's underlying financials, such as its 51.72% Revenue Growth and 51.6% ROE, concluding that positive sentiment or fundamental developments were emerging around these figures at a low price point.
weight 0.750% → 2.110% (+1.360 pp)·stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $67.87·now $64.14Fresh
-5.50%
since Jul 1
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
Carvana (CVNA) currently trades at $62.35, at the very bottom of its 52-week range, having experienced a -82.8% 90-day return and sitting at only 13% of its $478.45 high. AIEQ’s strategy, leveraging IBM Watson NLP to process vast amounts of market data for sentiment and fundamentals, likely registered a dramatically deteriorating narrative around the consumer discretionary stock. While CVNA reported a 51.72% revenue growth and 51.6% ROE, the continuous and steep price decline suggested market sentiment was overwhelmingly negative, outweighing these fundamental figures in the AI's daily assessment. The observed consecutive weight decrease from 0.80% to 0.75% between June 26 and June 28, after prior reductions, indicates AIEQ's risk overlay translated persistent negative signals into a further reduction of exposure as the stock hovered near its 52-week low. This reflects the fund's high-turnover nature, rapidly adjusting positions based on updated sentiment and price momentum.
weight 0.820% → 0.750% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 14.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 28·entry $63.72·now $64.14
+0.66%
since Jun 28
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
AIEQ’s allocation to Carvana displayed a subtle, multi-day reduction from 0.83% to 0.76%, swiftly followed by a two-day increase back to 0.83%. This dynamic, short-term adjustment in weighting reflects the ETF's daily rebalancing mechanism and its reliance on IBM Watson NLP to process a vast array of information, potentially sensing a shift in sentiment around CVNA's deeply discounted share price of $62.86, which sits at just 13% of its 52-week high. The AI's capacity for a granular, continuous assessment across news, filings, and social posts likely identified new narratives or revised risk perceptions, leading to the re-accumulation despite the stock's significant recent returns decline, possibly factoring in the company's underlying fundamentals such as its 51.72% revenue growth and 51.6% ROE as potentially undervalued at current market levels.
weight 0.760% → 0.830% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 4.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 17·entry $62.86·now $64.14Drifting
+2.04%
since Jun 17
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
The pattern in AIEQ’s Carvana weighting displays a series of sequential, small decreases from June 11 through June 12, culminating in a more significant reduction on June 14. This systematic scaling back of exposure to CVNA, which currently trades at only 13% of its 52-week high after an 83% decline over 30 days, suggests that IBM Watson’s NLP engine likely identified a worsening sentiment or deteriorating fundamental signals. Given AIEQ’s daily rebalancing and high-turnover mandate, such sustained negative inputs from news and social posts would translate into a responsive unwinding of positions. The EquBot risk overlay, in combination with the sentiment analysis, likely prioritized the drastic price erosion and current market perception over CVNA’s historical revenue growth and returns on equity when determining its daily ranking for this stock.
weight 0.830% → 0.760% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 14·entry $68.90·now $64.14
-6.91%
since Jun 14
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
Amplify ETFs' AIEQ, known for its daily rebalancing across 140-180 US stocks, initiated a consecutive reduction in its Carvana position on June 11th and 12th. This swift adjustment indicates IBM Watson's natural language processing engine, which underpins the fund's stock selection, detected a change in CVNA's profile. As a fundamentals and sentiment hybrid, the system's analysis, informed by ingesting diverse data sources, likely weighed the company's current price at just 13% of its 52-week high. The AI's output probably flagged concerns by contrasting this significant decline with the previously high valuation multiples like its PER of 51.64, prompting the fund to decrease its exposure.
weight 0.830% → 0.810% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 12·entry $64.10·now $64.14
+0.06%
since Jun 12
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.750% → 0.800% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 82.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 7·entry $69.45·now $64.14Fresh
-7.65%
since Jun 7
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.850% → 0.750% (-0.100 pp)·stock down 82.5% in the 30 days before
Jun 4·entry $66.19·now $64.14
-3.10%
since Jun 4
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 81.9% in the 30 days before
May 28·entry $73.49·now $64.14Fresh
-12.72%
since May 28
-1.19%
since May 20
-2.85%
since May 17
-4.51%
since May 15
-7.75%
since May 14
BUZZ · Exit · 1d
The weight history for CVNA in BUZZ shows a distinct shift, moving from a stable 0.24% allocation to a complete 0.00% on July 16, indicating a sudden, full divestment rather than a gradual reduction. This abrupt removal aligns with BUZZ’s methodology of monthly index reconstitution, where its NLP-driven algorithm passively tracks and ranks stocks based on positive-sentiment intensity across social media, blogs, and news. Carvana’s current price of $67.34, reflecting a 78.9% decrease over 90 days and positioning it at merely 14% of its 52-week high, suggests a significant erosion of the positive public sentiment previously supporting its inclusion. As an algorithmic sentiment tracker closely tied to retail crowd signals, the prolonged and substantial price depreciation likely triggered a decline in the positive discourse required to maintain a stock within the fund's holdings.
weight 0.240% → 0 (exited)·stock up 2.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $70.66·now $64.14
-9.23%
since Jul 16
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
CVNA currently trades at $68.60, only 14% of its 52-week high of $478.45, reflecting declines of nearly 79% over both the past 90 days and one year, yet it recently posted a 5.7% gain in the last 30 days. This setup provides a specific backdrop for BUZZ, an algorithmic sentiment tracker that passively allocates based on positive-sentiment intensity gathered from social media and news. The detected consecutive weight increase for CVNA, moving from 0.21% to 0.23% between June 29 and July 1, directly reflects a measurable rise in positive online chatter surrounding the company. This suggests that while maintaining a PER of 50.85 and PBR of 26.68, CVNA's 51.72% revenue growth and 51.6% ROE, perhaps seen as indicators of potential recovery from its current low price, fueled this increased positive sentiment among the retail crowd, prompting the index's algorithmic adjustment.
weight 0.210% → 0.230% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $67.87·now $64.14Fresh
-5.50%
since Jul 1
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
CVNA's financial summary, including a PER of 50.59, PBR of 26.68, revenue growth of 51.72%, and ROE of 51.6%, often characterizes a growth stock capable of generating significant social media attention, a primary driver for BUZZ's algorithmic sentiment tracking. However, BUZZ, which ranks stocks by positive-sentiment intensity derived from NLP analysis of retail-driven platforms, registered a decline in this sentiment, leading to a reduction in its CVNA allocation from 0.30% to 0.21% between June 17 and June 18. This specific consecutive weight decrease occurred as CVNA was trading at $66.67, having suffered an 81.7% return over the prior 90 days and sitting near the bottom of its 52-week range. The ETF’s monthly rebalance, reflecting its nature as a retail-crowd signal, thus captured a deterioration in overall positive sentiment surrounding Carvana, despite its strong reported growth figures, corresponding with the stock's sustained price depreciation.
weight 0.340% → 0.210% (-0.130 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $66.56·now $64.14
-3.64%
since Jun 18
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
Carvana Co (CVNA) currently trades at $62.86, a significant decline representing just 13% of its 52-week high of $478.45, following a -83.9% 30-day return. Despite this severe downturn, BUZZ, which tracks sentiment through NLP analysis of social media and news, detected an increasing positive sentiment intensity surrounding CVNA. This positive sentiment led to consecutive weight increases for CVNA within the BUZZ portfolio, moving from 0.3200% to 0.3400% on two separate occasions in mid-June, reflecting the algorithmic assessment of crowd signals. The fund's reliance on aggregated retail-crowd sentiment means the detected shifts in positive opinion, rather than fundamental valuation metrics like its PER of 51.64, drove the rebalancing action for the company at this price level.
weight 0.310% → 0.340% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 4.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 16·entry $70.04·now $64.14Fresh
-8.42%
since Jun 16
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
Carvana's financial figures, including a PER of 51.64 and PBR of 26.68, coupled with 51.72% revenue growth and 51.6% ROE, suggest initial conditions ripe for generating positive online sentiment, aligning with BUZZ's algorithmic sentiment tracking. This prior enthusiasm has evidently faded, as the stock now trades at $68.90, representing an 81.7% decline over the past 30 days and only 14% of its 52-week high. The consecutive weight decrease for CVNA observed in BUZZ on June 11th and 12th directly reflects the NLP-driven sentiment tracker registering a sharp erosion of positive retail-crowd interest. As an ETF that passively holds based on sentiment intensity, these daily weight shifts during this period of significant price contraction illustrate the fund’s mechanism reflecting a broad retreat from the stock's prior popularity.
weight 0.340% → 0.310% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 12·entry $64.10·now $64.14
+0.06%
since Jun 12
BUZZ · Weight increase · 4d
Carvana, currently trading at $67.25, sits near its 52-week low of $63.35, having experienced an 83% decline over the last 30 days from its $478.45 peak. This dramatic price drop likely stimulated a detectable surge in positive sentiment across social media, blogs, and news, precisely the data sources the BUZZ NextGen AI US Sentiment Leaders Index monitors via NLP. As a consequence, the algorithmic sentiment tracker's ranking for CVNA improved, leading to a consecutive weight increase in the BUZZ ETF from 0.2900% on June 3rd to 0.3400% by June 9th. While carrying a PER of 51.64, the company's 51.72% revenue growth and 51.6% ROE may also contribute to this shift in crowd-driven interest in the stock at its current valuation level.
weight 0.290% → 0.340% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 10.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 9·entry $69.61·now $64.14Fresh
-7.86%
since Jun 9
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
The weight for Carvana in BUZZ exhibited a gradual increase, moving from 0.29% to 0.33% across four trading days in early June. This measured uptick aligns with BUZZ’s strategy of passively tracking positive sentiment intensity derived from social media and online discussions. Given Carvana's current price of $69.61, which reflects a substantial -82.9% 30-day return and positions the stock at 15% of its 52-week high, the sentiment tracker likely identified increasing retail interest in a potential rebound. Despite its elevated PER and PBR, Carvana's underlying 51.72% revenue growth and 51.6% return on equity might contribute to this burgeoning social media dialogue around the heavily discounted consumer discretionary stock. As such sentiment gathered momentum for the deeply price-reduced company, the algorithmic index tracker modestly increased its allocation.
weight 0.290% → 0.330% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 82.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 8·entry $69.45·now $64.14Fresh
-7.65%
since Jun 8
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.290% → 0.320% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 82.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 5·entry $66.51·now $64.14Fresh
-3.56%
since Jun 5
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.330% → 0.290% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 82.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 2·entry $65.60·now $64.14
-2.23%
since Jun 2
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
Carvana’s 51.72% revenue growth and 51.6% return on equity might initially appear compelling, yet its high PER of 48.31 and PBR of 26.68 indicate a valuation built on significant future expectations. BUZZ, as an algorithmic sentiment tracker for VanEck’s index, captures positive-sentiment intensity primarily from social media and news, reflecting a retail-crowd signal rather than active fundamental management. The consecutive weight decrease in BUZZ from 0.44% to 0.31% between May 20 and June 1 directly coincides with Carvana’s substantial price decline, which saw its 30-day return plummet by 83.6% to $65.60. This dramatic drop, bringing the stock to just 14% of its 52-week high, would significantly erode the overall positive sentiment detected by the ETF’s NLP engine, leading to its reduced weighting during the monthly index reconstitution.
weight 0.330% → 0.310% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 82.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 1·entry $71.00·now $64.14
-9.66%
since Jun 1
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 82.9% in the 30 days before
May 26·entry $70.15·now $64.14Fresh
-8.57%
since May 26
-0.39%
since May 21
-1.19%
since May 20
-7.75%
since May 14
-8.24%
since May 13
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Jul 12
The AI ETFs display mixed and volatile recent activity in Carvana, with AIEQ showing a large initial increase followed by a decreasing trend, while BUZZ registered a slight increase. This active trading by AI funds stands in contrast to the value investing framework's conclusion that Carvana is 'Too Hard' to reliably assess due to its unpredictable long-term unit economics.
- Circle of CompetenceThe online automotive retail industry, marked by rapid change and competitive flux, makes Carvana's long-term unit economics and cash flow predictability highly uncertain, placing it outside the circle of competence.
- Economic MoatThis stage is not assessed because the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- ManagementThis stage is not assessed because the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Financial HealthThis stage is not assessed because the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Margin of SafetyThis stage is not assessed because the company falls outside the circle of competence.
Carvana falls outside the framework's circle of competence due to the unpredictable long-term unit economics within the rapidly evolving online automotive retail industry. Consequently, a Buffett-style analysis cannot reliably project future cash flows, evaluate an economic moat, or establish a margin of safety for investment.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.