as of Oct 26
CVNA
GrowthCARVANA CO.-A
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It provides vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. The company also operates auction sites.
Close · 3M
-16.10%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.880% → 1.900% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 9.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 11·entry $59.51·now $57.81Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.930% → 1.880% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 13.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $63.20·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.930% → 1.900% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 16.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $62.76·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.910% → 1.930% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 14.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 3·entry $63.72·now $57.81Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.290% → 1.910% (-0.380 pp)·stock down 12.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $63.04·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.260% → 2.290% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 12.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 27·entry $60.47·now $57.81Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.360% → 2.260% (-0.100 pp)·stock down 15.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 24·entry $64.18·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.500% → 2.300% (-0.200 pp)·stock down 7.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 20·entry $67.18·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.500% → 2.320% (-0.180 pp)·stock down 7.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 18·entry $65.11·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.500% → 2.330% (-0.170 pp)·stock up 1.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $65.84·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.610% → 2.430% (-0.180 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 13·entry $70.87·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.610% → 2.490% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 11·entry $69.16·now $57.81
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0 → 2.560% (new)·stock up 5.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $73.43·now $57.81Fresh
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 2.550% (new)·stock up 9.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $72.18·now $57.81Fresh
LQAI · Exit · 1d
weight 0.520% → 0 (exited)·stock down 14.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $63.62·now $57.81
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.610% → 0.560% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 1.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $65.84·now $57.81
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.610% → 0.570% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 6.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 16·entry $65.40·now $57.81
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.630% → 0.590% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 11·entry $69.16·now $57.81
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.630% → 0.600% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $70.28·now $57.81
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.730% → 0.630% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 9.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $72.18·now $57.81
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETF AIEQ is actively holding and trading Carvana with a significant weight, indicating their models find it investable and are making tactical decisions. This contrasts with a Buffett-style framework's 'Too Hard' verdict, which declines to assess the company due to its unpredictable long-term earning power, although LQAI's exit aligns more with a cautious approach.
- Circle of CompetenceCarvana's business model in the highly cyclical and capital-intensive used car market presents unit economics too volatile for reliable ten-year cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatNot assessed as the business falls outside the circle of competence for long-term predictability.
- ManagementNot assessed as the business falls outside the circle of competence for long-term predictability.
- Financial HealthNot assessed as the business falls outside the circle of competence for long-term predictability.
- Margin of SafetyNot assessed as the business falls outside the circle of competence for long-term predictability.
Carvana is deemed 'Too Hard' to evaluate within this framework because its operations in the used automotive retail sector make long-term cash flow predictability challenging. The inherent volatility and capital intensity of the business push it outside the circle of competence, preventing further analysis of its economic moat, management, financial health, or margin of safety.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.