BUZZ1.260%
as of Oct 22
MCD
GrowthMCDONALD'S CORP
McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate.
Close · 3M
-13.16%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
AIEQ0.050%
as of Oct 26
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals13
Win rate38% (5/13)
Avg buy return-4.01%
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.380% → 1.260% (+0.880 pp)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $252.63·now $248.46Fresh
-1.65%
since Oct 22
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.370% → 1.170% (+0.800 pp)·stock down 1.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $246.25·now $248.46Fresh
+0.90%
since Oct 21
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.370% → 1.200% (+0.830 pp)·stock down 0.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $246.52·now $248.46Fresh
+0.79%
since Oct 20
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.360% → 1.200% (+0.840 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $242.97·now $248.46Drifting
+2.26%
since Oct 16
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.370% → 1.130% (+0.760 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $242.50·now $248.46Drifting
+2.46%
since Oct 15
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.370% → 0.400% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 5.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $238.31·now $248.46Drifting
+4.26%
since Oct 14
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.380% → 0.360% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 11.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 24·entry $237.02·now $248.46
+4.83%
since Sep 24
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.400% → 0.380% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 7.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $247.88·now $248.46
+0.23%
since Sep 21
BUZZ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.400% (new)·stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $248.48·now $248.46Fresh
-0.01%
since Sep 17
BUZZ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.210% → 0 (exited)·stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $273.46·now $248.46
-9.14%
since Jul 16
-12.06%
since Jun 10
-11.03%
since May 26
-12.57%
since May 21
PQUS · Exit · 1d
weight 0.920% → 0 (exited)·stock down 11.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $231.83·now $248.46
+7.17%
since Oct 1
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.200% → 0.950% (-0.250 pp)·stock down 0.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 15·entry $265.53·now $248.46
-6.43%
since Aug 15
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.900% → 1.180% (+0.280 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $270.64·now $248.46Fresh
-8.20%
since Jul 31
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.730% → 0.900% (+0.170 pp)·stock down 3.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 26·entry $270.67·now $248.46Fresh
-8.21%
since Jul 26
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.760% → 0.730% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 7.0% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $267.71·now $248.46
-7.19%
since Jul 17
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.780% → 0.760% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 12·entry $272.61·now $248.46
-8.86%
since Jul 12
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.760% → 0.790% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 19·entry $270.10·now $248.46Fresh
-8.01%
since Jun 19
-8.90%
since Jun 4
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 10.0% in the 30 days before
May 17·entry $282.47·now $248.46Fresh
-12.04%
since May 17
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Jul 12
The AI ETFs PQUS and AIEQ show a clear trend of decreasing their weight or making large negative changes in their McDonald's holdings. This activity aligns with the framework's "Fail" verdict, as the analysis indicates the company does not meet all the necessary criteria for a Buffett-style investment at the current time.
- Circle of CompetenceMcDonald's global franchise model and strong brand provide stable, predictable unit economics, allowing for reasonable long-term cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatMcDonald's benefits from an exceptionally strong global brand and significant scale advantages in its supply chain and real estate, creating a durable economic moat.
- ManagementThe provided financial snapshot does not offer sufficient detail to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline beyond a high ROE, or direct skin in the game.
- Financial HealthWhile the current ROE is exceptionally high at 95.13%, the lack of 10-year ROE history, operating margin trends, detailed debt metrics, and owner earnings prevents a comprehensive assessment of financial health.
- Margin of SafetyWithout a conservative estimate of intrinsic value, it is not possible to determine if the current market price offers a sufficient margin of safety.
While McDonald's operates within a clear circle of competence and possesses a strong economic moat, significant gaps in the provided financial data preclude a full assessment of its management discipline, long-term financial health, and crucially, whether the current price offers a margin of safety. Consequently, despite its robust business foundation, the company fails to meet all the stringent criteria required for a Buffett-style investment.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.