as of Oct 22
META
GrowthMETA PLATFORMS INC-CLASS A
Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL).
Close · 3M
+8.28%
Held by 4 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
LQAI · Weight decrease · 7d
weight 5.190% → 4.550% (-0.640 pp)·stock down 12.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $648.85·now $642.62
LQAI · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 5.190% → 4.800% (-0.390 pp)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $697.52·now $642.62
LQAI · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 5.190% → 4.820% (-0.370 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $694.25·now $642.62
LQAI · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 5.190% → 4.930% (-0.260 pp)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $705.44·now $642.62
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 5.190% → 4.980% (-0.210 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $709.33·now $642.62
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 14.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $762.50·now $642.62Fresh
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 3.260% → 3.000% (-0.260 pp)·stock down 12.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $648.85·now $642.62
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 3.260% → 3.080% (-0.180 pp)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $697.52·now $642.62
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.260% → 3.120% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $694.25·now $642.62
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 3.170% → 3.260% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $709.33·now $642.62Fresh
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
stock up 10.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $737.54·now $642.62Fresh
PQUS · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.170% → 1.990% (-0.180 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $694.25·now $642.62
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 14.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $762.50·now $642.62Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.940% → 0.880% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 17.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 25·now $642.62
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.020% → 0.960% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 18·entry $705.44·now $642.62
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.020% → 0.990% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $709.33·now $642.62
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 10.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $737.54·now $642.62Fresh
AIUP · Exit · 1d
weight 4.610% → 0 (exited)·stock down 17.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $642.62·now $642.62
AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 15.780% → 4.510% (-11.270 pp)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $697.52·now $642.62
AIUP · Accumulation · 5d
weight 14.800% → 15.170% (+0.370 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $694.25·now $642.62Fresh
AIUP · Accumulation · 5d
weight 14.960% → 15.370% (+0.410 pp)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $705.44·now $642.62Fresh
AIUP · Accumulation · 6d
weight 14.620% → 15.780% (+1.160 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $709.33·now $642.62Fresh
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs are mostly accumulating or holding: AIUP has been steadily adding and now holds 15.78%, and BUZZ has been increasing, while AIEQ, PQUS, and LQAI have been trimming slightly. This bullish tilt conflicts with a Buffett-style Fail on price, since the buying leans on momentum and growth rather than a discount to intrinsic value, though the trimming by several funds is closer to the framework's caution.
- Circle of CompetenceMeta's core advertising engine, with billions of daily users monetized through auctions, has shown predictable unit economics, though heavy AI and Reality Labs spending adds some uncertainty about long-run cash flows.
- Economic MoatNetwork effects across Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, plus unmatched scale in targeting data, give it a durable advantage likely to last a decade, despite regulatory and attention-competition risks.
- ManagementFounder control and large insider ownership provide skin in the game, but multi-billion-dollar bets on the metaverse and AI infrastructure raise real capital allocation questions that the data provided cannot resolve.
- Financial HealthA 29.73% ROE and 27.65% revenue growth point to excellent returns, but a 47.52 EV/EBITDA looks inconsistent with a PER of 27.59 and owner earnings are being squeezed by surging capex.
- Margin of SafetyAt a PBR of 7.66 and a roughly $1.9 trillion market cap, the price already assumes continued rapid growth and payoff from heavy AI spending, leaving no clear margin of safety.
Meta is a high-quality business within a reasonable circle of competence, with a real network-effect moat and excellent returns on equity. The framework fails it on margin of safety because the valuation is rich and capex-heavy AI ambitions cloud owner earnings and capital allocation. It would be worth revisiting at a meaningfully lower price or once spending returns become clearer.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.