MRVL · MARVELL TECHNOLOGY INC

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Marvell Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides data infrastructure semiconductor solutions and spanning the data center core to network edge in the United States, Argentina, China, India, Israel, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, and internationally. The company develops and scales system-on-a-chip architectures, integrating analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing functionality. It offers a portfolio of ethernet solutions, including spanning controllers, network adapters, physical transceivers, and switches; single or multiple core processors; and custom application specific integrated circuits, interconnects, fibre channel adapters, and processors.

Close · 3M

+27.10%

Held by 5 AI ETFs

AIEQ0.880%

as of Sep 4

BUZZ0.660%

as of Sep 2

AMOM0.500%

as of Sep 2

LQAI0.190%

as of Sep 2

PQUS0.040%

as of Sep 1

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals13

Win rate31% (4/13)

Avg buy return-0.60%

AIEQnow 0.880% of fund4 signals

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.900% (new)·stock up 8.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $210.39·now $208.83Fresh

-0.74%

since Sep 1

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 0.530% → 0 (exited)·stock down 31.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $193.78·now $208.83

+7.77%

since Aug 2

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 38.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 30·entry $183.30·now $208.83

+13.93%

since Jul 30

AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 25.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 23·entry $209.32·now $208.83Fresh

-0.23%

since Jul 23

BUZZnow 0.660% of fund12 signals

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.780% → 0.670% (-0.110 pp)·stock up 12.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $211.66·now $208.83

-1.34%

since Aug 31

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.780% → 0.690% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 18.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $216.62·now $208.83

-3.60%

since Aug 28

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.740% → 0.780% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 40.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $245.11·now $208.83Fresh

-14.80%

since Aug 26

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.140% → 0.740% (-0.400 pp)·stock up 18.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $229.29·now $208.83

-8.92%

since Aug 24

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.140% → 0.750% (-0.390 pp)·stock up 13.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $237.04·now $208.83

-11.90%

since Aug 21

BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 1.140% → 0.800% (-0.340 pp)·stock up 19.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $251.01·now $208.83

-16.80%

since Aug 20

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.910% → 1.050% (+0.140 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $212.31·now $208.83Fresh

-1.64%

since Aug 11

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.990% → 1.070% (+0.080 pp)·stock down 10.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $218.72·now $208.83Fresh

-4.52%

since Aug 7

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.910% → 0.990% (+0.080 pp)·stock down 31.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $187.56·now $208.83Chased

+11.34%

since Jul 31

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

stock down 41.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 29·entry $163.40·now $208.83

+27.80%

since Jul 29

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 34.6% in the 30 days before

Jul 28·entry $174.47·now $208.83

+19.69%

since Jul 28

BUZZ · Weight increase · 5d

stock down 25.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 23·entry $209.32·now $208.83Fresh

-0.23%

since Jul 23

AMOMnow 0.500% of fund1 signal

AMOM · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.500% (new)·stock down 5.5% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $206.48·now $208.83Fresh

+1.14%

since Sep 2

LQAInow 0.190% of fund9 signals

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.220% → 0.190% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 12.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $211.66·now $208.83

-1.34%

since Aug 31

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.230% → 0.210% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 18.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $229.29·now $208.83

-8.92%

since Aug 24

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.200% → 0.230% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 19.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $251.01·now $208.83Fresh

-16.80%

since Aug 20

LQAI · Sudden change · 1d

weight 1.580% → 0.200% (-1.380 pp)·stock down 9.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $210.54·now $208.83

-0.81%

since Aug 6

LQAI · Weight increase · 3d

weight 1.390% → 1.580% (+0.190 pp)·stock down 21.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $193.78·now $208.83Drifting

+7.77%

since Aug 3

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.390% → 1.550% (+0.160 pp)·stock down 31.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $187.56·now $208.83Chased

+11.34%

since Jul 31

LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d

stock down 41.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 29·entry $163.40·now $208.83

+27.80%

since Jul 29

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 34.6% in the 30 days before

Jul 28·entry $174.47·now $208.83

+19.69%

since Jul 28

LQAI · Weight increase · 5d

stock down 25.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 23·entry $209.32·now $208.83Fresh

-0.23%

since Jul 23

PQUSnow 0.040% of fund4 signals

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.160% → 0.120% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 13.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $237.04·now $208.83

-11.90%

since Aug 21

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.300% → 0.140% (-0.160 pp)·stock down 10.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $218.72·now $208.83

-4.52%

since Aug 7

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 31.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $187.56·now $208.83

+11.34%

since Jul 31

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 25.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 23·entry $209.32·now $208.83Fresh

-0.23%

since Jul 23

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Jun 28

AI ETFs show mixed activity with BUZZ and PQUS initiating or accumulating positions in Marvell Technology, while LQAI shows a decreasing trend. This contrasts with the framework's 'Too Hard' verdict, which indicates a traditional value investor would avoid the company due to the unpredictable nature of its semiconductor business and inability to project long-term cash flows, suggesting AI systems operate with different risk appetites or analytical horizons.

Circle of CompetenceThe semiconductor industry, characterized by rapid technological cycles and intense competition, makes long-term predictability of Marvell Technology's unit economics and cash flows highly uncertain, falling outside a conservative circle of competence.
Economic MoatEvaluation of an economic moat is not performed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion.
ManagementAssessment of management's capital allocation and integrity is not performed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion.
Financial HealthDetailed financial health analysis, including owner earnings and ROE durability, is not performed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion.
Margin of SafetyA margin of safety cannot be determined without a reliable estimate of intrinsic value, which is not possible as the company fails the circle of competence criterion.

The primary challenge for Marvell Technology within this framework is the inherent unpredictability of its semiconductor business within a ten-year horizon. This makes it impossible to reliably project future cash flows, leading to a 'Too Hard' assessment. Consequently, no further evaluation of its moat, management, financials, or margin of safety is performed, as the foundational predictability is absent.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.