as of Oct 26
NFLX
GrowthNETFLIX INC
Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services worldwide. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices.
Close · 3M
-19.37%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.390% → 4.020% (-0.370 pp)·stock down 6.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $67.05·now $65.85
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.390% → 4.250% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 9.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $65.04·now $65.85
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.300% → 4.470% (+0.170 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $70.53·now $65.85Fresh
AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 4.160% → 4.390% (+0.230 pp)·stock down 7.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $70.30·now $65.85Fresh
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.160% → 4.270% (+0.110 pp)·stock down 5.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $71.57·now $65.85Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 4.850% → 4.160% (-0.690 pp)·stock down 18.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 3·entry $67.50·now $65.85
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.850% → 4.250% (-0.600 pp)·stock down 18.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $67.06·now $65.85
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.850% → 4.350% (-0.500 pp)·stock down 16.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $67.85·now $65.85
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.560% → 1.390% (-0.170 pp)·stock down 9.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $65.04·now $65.85
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.560% → 1.490% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $68.69·now $65.85
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.840% → 1.560% (+0.720 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $70.53·now $65.85Fresh
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.820% → 1.520% (+0.700 pp)·stock down 5.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $72.61·now $65.85Fresh
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.810% → 0.910% (+0.100 pp)·stock down 9.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $70.57·now $65.85Fresh
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.810% → 0.880% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 5.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $71.57·now $65.85Fresh
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.810% → 0.840% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 9.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $69.70·now $65.85Fresh
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.850% → 0.810% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 18.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $67.06·now $65.85
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.530% → 0.470% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 9.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $65.04·now $65.85
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.530% → 0.500% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $68.69·now $65.85
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.510% → 0.530% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 5.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $72.61·now $65.85Fresh
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
AIEQ is the largest holder at about 4.3% and has been accumulating again in the last two sessions (+0.11pp and +0.23pp) after a sharp trim of roughly 1.7pp across 1-3 October, while BUZZ (0.88%) is also nudging its weight up and PQUS holds a small 0.51% position. The AI funds are net buyers of a momentum-driven, well-liked name, which conflicts with a Buffett-style Fail on margin of safety, even though they agree the business itself is high quality. The volatile AIEQ weighting suggests a trading-oriented view rather than a long-term owner's stance.
- Circle of CompetenceSubscription streaming has recurring revenue, a mature global subscriber base and visible unit economics (price, members, content cost), so ten-year cash flows can be reasonably estimated despite content-hit risk.
- Economic MoatScale-driven content amortization over a huge paying base, a strong global brand and a data-informed recommendation engine give a moat, though it is narrower than a toll-bridge franchise because rivals with deep pockets and low switching costs compete for the same viewing hours.
- ManagementManagement candour and insider ownership cannot be judged from the data provided, though the shift from debt-funded growth to buybacks and profitability is a visible capital allocation sign worth verifying in shareholder letters and filings.
- Financial HealthA 47.96% ROE and 16% revenue growth far exceed the 15% bar, though a ten-year history with no year below 10% ROE, stable margins and positive owner earnings after content spending cannot be fully confirmed from the data given, and the earlier heavy debt use is a caution.
- Margin of SafetyAt 21.0 times earnings per the data, 16.1 times book and 26.17 times EBITDA, the price looks like a fair-to-full price for a very good business, which leaves little margin of safety against content-cost or competitive surprises.
Netflix passes the circle of competence and moat tests and looks strong on returns, but management quality is unverified from the data and the price offers no clear margin of safety. A great business at a full price fails this framework on valuation alone, so it would be one to watch for a better entry point rather than buy now.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.