as of Sep 4
NFLX
GrowthNETFLIX INC
Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services worldwide. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices.
Close · 3M
-14.36%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.550% → 5.530% (+2.980 pp)·stock up 11.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $82.67·now $78.25Fresh
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 2.550% → 5.440% (+2.890 pp)·stock up 10.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $80.81·now $78.25
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.580% → 2.490% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 11.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $81.72·now $78.25
AIEQ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.350% → 2.580% (+0.230 pp)·stock up 12.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $81.46·now $78.25Fresh
AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 2.350% → 2.520% (+0.170 pp)·stock up 15.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $79.59·now $78.25Fresh
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.350% → 2.510% (+0.160 pp)·stock up 16.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $80.14·now $78.25Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.370% → 2.300% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 6.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $78.24·now $78.25
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.230% → 2.320% (+0.090 pp)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $74.14·now $78.25Drifting
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.400% → 2.460% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 12.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $82.73·now $78.25Fresh
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.330% → 2.410% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 16.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $82.23·now $78.25Fresh
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.630% → 2.330% (-0.300 pp)·stock up 15.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $79.59·now $78.25
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.460% → 2.630% (+0.170 pp)·stock up 16.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $80.22·now $78.25Fresh
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.570% → 2.430% (-0.140 pp)·stock up 0.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $74.21·now $78.25
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 2.800% → 2.480% (-0.320 pp)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $74.14·now $78.25
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.800% → 2.530% (-0.270 pp)·stock down 2.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $73.69·now $78.25
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.800% → 2.550% (-0.250 pp)·stock down 5.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 3·entry $73.33·now $78.25
BUZZ · Weight increase · 4d
stock down 1.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $72.39·now $78.25Drifting
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.590% → 0.460% (-0.130 pp)·stock up 11.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 29·entry $81.05·now $78.25
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.000% → 0.570% (-0.430 pp)·stock up 15.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $79.59·now $78.25
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.050% → 0.950% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $78.16·now $78.25
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.950% → 1.020% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $74.14·now $78.25Drifting
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 3.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $71.71·now $78.25Drifting
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 26·entry $70.40·now $78.25Chased
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs exhibit mixed activity, with AIEQ and BUZZ showing both accumulation and decrease trends, while PQUS primarily shows decreasing weight in Netflix. This active trading by AI funds stands in contrast to the value-investing framework's determination that Netflix is 'Too Hard' to analyze due to unpredictable long-term cash flows, suggesting the AI strategies are based on different temporal or fundamental considerations.
- Circle of CompetenceThe streaming entertainment industry's dynamic nature, intense competition for content and subscribers, and variable content costs make long-term cash flow predictability difficult, failing the stability criterion.
- Economic MoatThis stage cannot be assessed as the company's business model falls outside the defined circle of competence, making any potential moat's durability too speculative.
- ManagementThis stage cannot be assessed as the company's business model falls outside the defined circle of competence, precluding a meaningful evaluation of management quality within this framework.
- Financial HealthThis stage cannot be assessed as the company's business model falls outside the defined circle of competence, rendering multi-year financial projections and owner earnings calculations unreliable.
- Margin of SafetyThis stage cannot be assessed as the company's business model falls outside the defined circle of competence, making any estimate of intrinsic value unreliable for a margin of safety analysis.
Applying a Buffett-style value investing framework to Netflix reveals the company falls outside the circle of competence, primarily due to the unpredictable and rapidly evolving nature of the streaming entertainment industry. The framework prioritizes businesses with stable unit economics and predictable long-term cash flows, which are challenging to ascertain for Netflix given intense content competition and variable costs. Consequently, the analysis deems the company 'Too Hard' to evaluate further, indicating a lack of investability within this specific framework regardless of its current price or market perception.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.