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NKE

Growth

NIKE INC B

Consumer Discretionary·Apparel, Accessories & Luxury GoodsYield: High (3-5%)

NIKE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and sells athletic and casual footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories, and services for men, women, and kids in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Greater China, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company offers its products under the NIKE, Jordan, Jumpman, Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell trademarks. It also provides a line of performance equipment and accessories, including bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment, and other equipment for sports activities, as well as various plastic products to other manufacturers; distributes and licenses casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories; and markets apparel with licensed college and professional team and league logos.

Close · 3M

-17.48%

NKE · 3M

-17.48%

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Held by 2 AI ETFs

BUZZ3.680%

as of Oct 22

LQAI0.600%

as of Oct 22

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals11
Win rate55% (6/11)
Avg buy return-0.93%
BUZZnow 3.680% of fund19 signals

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.110% → 3.680% (+1.570 pp)·stock up 6.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 22·entry $38.32·now $37.30Fresh

-2.66%
since Oct 22

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.100% → 3.450% (+1.350 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before

Oct 21·entry $37.53·now $37.30Fresh

-0.61%
since Oct 21

BUZZ · Accumulation · 6d

weight 2.030% → 3.550% (+1.520 pp)·stock up 4.9% in the 30 days before

Oct 20·entry $37.88·now $37.30Fresh

-1.53%
since Oct 20

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.050% → 3.520% (+1.470 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 19·entry $37.21·now $37.30Fresh

+0.24%
since Oct 19

BUZZ · Accumulation · 6d

weight 1.990% → 3.550% (+1.560 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $37.13·now $37.30Fresh

+0.46%
since Oct 16

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.990% → 3.350% (+1.360 pp)·stock up 3.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 15·entry $37.14·now $37.30Fresh

+0.43%
since Oct 15

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.960% → 2.200% (+0.240 pp)·stock down 2.5% in the 30 days before

Oct 14·entry $35.30·now $37.30Drifting

+5.67%
since Oct 14

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.030% → 2.110% (+0.080 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before

Oct 13·entry $35.33·now $37.30Drifting

+5.58%
since Oct 13

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 2.130% → 1.960% (-0.170 pp)·stock down 11.4% in the 30 days before

Oct 2·entry $33.87·now $37.30

+10.13%
since Oct 2

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.130% → 2.060% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 7.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 1·entry $35.15·now $37.30

+6.12%
since Oct 1

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.130% → 2.070% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 9.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 30·entry $35.40·now $37.30

+5.37%
since Sep 30

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.170% → 2.030% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 11.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 22·entry $36.10·now $37.30

+3.32%
since Sep 22

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.170% → 2.060% (-0.110 pp)·stock down 10.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 21·entry $36.10·now $37.30

+3.32%
since Sep 21

BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.420% → 2.170% (+1.750 pp)·stock down 9.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 17·entry $36.36·now $37.30

+2.59%
since Sep 17

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 8.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 3·entry $38.77·now $37.30

-3.79%
since Sep 3

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

stock down 11.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $38.44·now $37.30

-2.97%
since Aug 27

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 10.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $38.59·now $37.30

-3.34%
since Aug 26

BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d

stock down 4.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $40.21·now $37.30

-7.24%
since Aug 20

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $41.05·now $37.30Fresh

-9.14%
since Aug 19
LQAInow 0.600% of fund7 signals

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.540% → 0.580% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $37.13·now $37.30Fresh

+0.46%
since Oct 16

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.590% → 0.540% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 9.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 30·entry $35.40·now $37.30

+5.37%
since Sep 30

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.590% → 0.570% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 10.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 21·entry $36.10·now $37.30

+3.32%
since Sep 21

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.610% → 0.590% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 8.5% in the 30 days before

Sep 16·entry $35.78·now $37.30

+4.25%
since Sep 16

LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.630% → 0.600% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 11.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 9·entry $37.35·now $37.30

-0.13%
since Sep 9

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 8.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 8·entry $38.10·now $37.30

-2.10%
since Sep 8

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 10.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $38.59·now $37.30

-3.34%
since Aug 26
AIVLno longer held3 signals

AIVL · Exit · 1d

stock down 7.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $38.24·now $37.30

-2.46%
since Sep 2

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 10.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $38.59·now $37.30

-3.34%
since Aug 26

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $41.05·now $37.30Fresh

-9.14%
since Aug 19

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of May 4

Several AI ETFs exhibit mixed but overall decreasing engagement with Nike; AIEQ has exited entirely, while AIVL and BUZZ show recent weight decrease trends. This activity generally aligns with the framework's "Fail" verdict, which is driven by concerns over valuation and incomplete financial health data.

  • Circle of CompetenceNike's strong global brand and consistent demand for athletic footwear and apparel allow for reasonable long-term projections of its earning power within the circle of competence.
  • Economic MoatNike possesses a powerful and enduring brand, built over decades, which provides significant pricing power and customer loyalty, serving as a durable economic moat.
  • ManagementInsufficient data is provided to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or their personal stake in the company.
  • Financial HealthCrucial historical financial data, including the 10-year average ROE, operating margin trends, and owner earnings consistency, are missing for a thorough long-term assessment, and the extremely high EV/EBITDA ratio raises significant financial health concerns.
  • Margin of SafetyThe current valuation multiples (P/E of 29.22, P/B of 6.88, and EV/EBITDA of 64.05) appear excessively high given the negative revenue growth, indicating no defensible margin of safety.

Nike operates within a predictable market and possesses a strong brand moat, which are positive attributes under this framework. However, critical historical financial health data is not provided, and the current valuation multiples, especially the high EV/EBITDA paired with negative revenue growth, indicate no discernible margin of safety, leading to an overall "Fail" verdict.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.