AMOM8.990%
as of Sep 2
NVDA
GrowthNVIDIA CORP
NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company. The company operates through two segments, Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments. The Compute & Networking segment provides data center accelerated computing and networking platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software.
Close · 3M
+9.69%
Held by 5 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals10
Win rate90% (9/10)
Avg buy return+4.13%
AMOM · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 8.990% (new)·stock up 5.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $224.41·now $228.45Fresh
+1.80%
since Sep 2
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
weight 7.950% → 7.600% (-0.350 pp)·stock up 11.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 30·entry $220.78·now $228.45
+3.47%
since Aug 30
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
weight 7.360% → 7.950% (+0.590 pp)·stock up 11.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 29·entry $220.78·now $228.45
+3.47%
since Aug 29
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 7.520% → 7.670% (+0.150 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 22·entry $208.48·now $228.45Drifting
+9.58%
since Aug 22
+1.53%
since Aug 15
+5.01%
since Aug 8
LQAI · Sudden change · 1d
weight 6.420% → 5.330% (-1.090 pp)·stock up 5.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $217.44·now $228.45
+5.06%
since Sep 1
LQAI · Sudden change · 1d
weight 6.080% → 6.590% (+0.510 pp)·stock up 20.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $227.98·now $228.45
+0.21%
since Aug 27
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 6.280% → 6.090% (-0.190 pp)·stock up 0.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $208.48·now $228.45
+9.58%
since Aug 24
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 6.350% → 6.270% (-0.080 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $217.56·now $228.45
+5.01%
since Aug 19
+1.46%
since Aug 14
+1.95%
since Aug 12
+5.03%
since Aug 11
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.430% → 4.370% (+1.940 pp)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $228.45·now $228.45Fresh
0.00%
since Sep 3
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 2.430% → 4.320% (+1.890 pp)·stock up 5.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $217.44·now $228.45
+5.06%
since Sep 1
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.480% → 2.430% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 2.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $216.85·now $228.45
+5.35%
since Aug 20
+1.95%
since Aug 12
AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d
stock up 10.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 8·entry $217.55·now $228.45Drifting
+5.01%
since Aug 8
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.980% → 3.030% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 5.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $217.44·now $228.45Drifting
+5.06%
since Sep 1
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 3.340% → 2.880% (-0.460 pp)·stock up 0.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $208.48·now $228.45
+9.58%
since Aug 24
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 3.340% → 2.900% (-0.440 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $214.72·now $228.45
+6.39%
since Aug 21
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.340% → 2.960% (-0.380 pp)·stock up 2.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $216.85·now $228.45
+5.35%
since Aug 20
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 8.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 18·entry $219.74·now $228.45Drifting
+3.96%
since Aug 18
+5.03%
since Aug 11
+5.01%
since Aug 10
AIUP · Exit · 1d
weight 4.530% → 0 (exited)·stock up 8.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $213.05·now $228.45
+7.23%
since Aug 25
AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.610% → 4.530% (-0.080 pp)·stock up 0.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $208.48·now $228.45
+9.58%
since Aug 24
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.610% → 4.580% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $214.72·now $228.45
+6.39%
since Aug 21
AIUP · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.520% → 4.610% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $217.56·now $228.45Drifting
+5.01%
since Aug 19
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.460% → 4.590% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 8.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 18·entry $219.74·now $228.45Drifting
+3.96%
since Aug 18
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Aug 30
AI ETFs display active engagement with NVIDIA, with several holding significant weights and exhibiting frequent trading activity including both accumulation and decrease trends, and even one exit. This contrasts sharply with the framework's 'Too Hard' verdict, which prioritizes long-term predictability over exposure to dynamic, high-growth sectors.
- Circle of CompetenceNVIDIA operates in a rapidly evolving and technologically dynamic semiconductor industry, making long-term cash flow predictability beyond a few years genuinely unpredictable.
- Economic MoatThe assessment of an enduring economic moat is rendered moot by the difficulty in predicting long-term earning power within the circle of competence framework.
- ManagementInformation on management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game is not provided in the available data.
- Financial HealthWhile the reported ROE is very high, comprehensive 10-year data, operating margins, debt specifics, and owner earnings figures are not available for a full financial health assessment.
- Margin of SafetyThe inability to reliably project intrinsic value due to the unpredictable nature of the business prevents any meaningful assessment of a margin of safety.
NVIDIA's presence in a rapidly innovating industry, particularly AI semiconductors, makes it challenging to reliably project future cash flows for a Buffett-style analysis, resulting in a 'Too Hard' verdict. The framework requires stable and predictable unit economics, which are absent here despite strong current financial metrics and high growth. Consequently, further evaluation of economic moats, management quality, financial health, and margin of safety cannot be conducted with confidence.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.