ORCL · ORACLE CORP · Top AI ETF

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Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services.

Close · 3M

-34.51%

Held by 3 AI ETFs

BUZZ3.090%

as of Oct 22

LQAI0.660%

as of Oct 22

AIEQ0.050%

as of Oct 26

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals11

Win rate0% (0/11)

Avg buy return-15.48%

BUZZnow 3.090% of fund25 signals

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.860% → 3.140% (+1.280 pp)·stock down 14.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $128.23·now $126.16Fresh

-1.61%

since Oct 16

BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 1.860% → 3.100% (+1.240 pp)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before

Oct 15·entry $134.47·now $126.16

-6.18%

since Oct 15

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.840% → 1.880% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before

Oct 2·entry $142.30·now $126.16Fresh

-11.34%

since Oct 2

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 7d

weight 2.060% → 1.770% (-0.290 pp)·stock down 12.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 28·entry $132.60·now $126.16

-4.86%

since Sep 28

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 7d

weight 2.810% → 1.790% (-1.020 pp)·stock down 7.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 25·entry $137.10·now $126.16

-7.98%

since Sep 25

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 6d

weight 2.810% → 1.810% (-1.000 pp)·stock down 3.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 24·entry $139.54·now $126.16

-9.59%

since Sep 24

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 5d

weight 2.810% → 1.890% (-0.920 pp)·stock up 1.5% in the 30 days before

Sep 23·entry $144.56·now $126.16

-12.73%

since Sep 23

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 2.810% → 1.920% (-0.890 pp)·stock up 1.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 22·entry $149.20·now $126.16

-15.44%

since Sep 22

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.810% → 1.940% (-0.870 pp)·stock up 4.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 21·entry $148.56·now $126.16

-15.08%

since Sep 21

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.810% → 2.000% (-0.810 pp)·stock up 2.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 18·entry $147.61·now $126.16

-14.53%

since Sep 18

BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 2.810% → 2.060% (-0.750 pp)·stock up 5.5% in the 30 days before

Sep 17·entry $150.59·now $126.16

-16.22%

since Sep 17

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 3.090% → 2.760% (-0.330 pp)·stock down 6.8% in the 30 days before

Sep 15·entry $140.35·now $126.16

-10.11%

since Sep 15

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 3.090% → 2.800% (-0.290 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 14·entry $144.79·now $126.16

-12.87%

since Sep 14

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.840% → 2.900% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before

Sep 11·entry $150.28·now $126.16Fresh

-16.05%

since Sep 11

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.930% → 2.990% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before

Sep 10·entry $152.94·now $126.16Fresh

-17.51%

since Sep 10

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.980% → 3.090% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 7.0% in the 30 days before

Sep 9·entry $161.63·now $126.16Fresh

-21.95%

since Sep 9

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 10.5% in the 30 days before

Sep 8·entry $162.52·now $126.16Fresh

-22.37%

since Sep 8

BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d

stock up 10.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 7·entry $162.52·now $126.16Fresh

-22.37%

since Sep 7

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 6.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 3·entry $154.04·now $126.16Fresh

-18.10%

since Sep 3

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $141.32·now $126.16

-10.73%

since Sep 1

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 20.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 25·entry $144.76·now $126.16

-12.85%

since Aug 25

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 22.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $146.47·now $126.16Fresh

-13.87%

since Aug 21

BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d

stock up 12.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $142.07·now $126.16

-11.20%

since Aug 20

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 16.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $146.65·now $126.16

-13.97%

since Aug 17

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 7.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $151.05·now $126.16Fresh

-16.48%

since Aug 10

LQAInow 0.660% of fund3 signals

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.680% → 0.660% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 13.2% in the 30 days before

Oct 22·entry $125.54·now $126.16

+0.49%

since Oct 22

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.730% → 0.690% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 16.0% in the 30 days before

Oct 8·entry $135.69·now $126.16

-7.02%

since Oct 8

LQAI · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.170% → 0.710% (+0.540 pp)·stock down 8.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 29·entry $137.79·now $126.16

-8.44%

since Sep 29

AIEQnow 0.050% of fund1 signal

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 1·entry $138.07·now $126.16Fresh

-8.63%

since Oct 1

PQUSno longer held1 signal

PQUS · Exit · 1d

stock up 18.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $150.85·now $126.16

-16.37%

since Aug 28

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Jun 14

The AI ETFs show a clear recent trend of decreasing their weight in ORCL across multiple funds, indicating a move away from the stock. This aligns with the 'Fail' verdict derived from the Buffett-style framework, primarily due to the lack of a margin of safety at Oracle's current elevated valuation multiples.

Circle of CompetenceOracle's long history in enterprise software and databases, with recurring revenue and high customer stickiness, allows for reasonably predictable cash flow projections over a decade despite the dynamic tech industry.
Economic MoatOracle benefits from a strong economic moat primarily driven by high switching costs for its deeply embedded enterprise database and application customers, reinforced by brand power and scale.
ManagementInsufficient data is provided to thoroughly assess management's candor in communications or their discipline in capital allocation, although significant insider ownership suggests skin in the game.
Financial HealthThe provided data, which includes only the most recent ROE and revenue growth, is insufficient to evaluate long-term ROE consistency, operating margin trends, manageable debt levels, or owner earnings.
Margin of SafetyWith a PER of 31.32 and an exceptionally high EV/EBITDA of 119.79, the current price does not offer a defensible discount to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value, thus failing the margin of safety criterion.

Oracle passes the initial screening for its predictable business model within the circle of competence and its durable economic moat built on high switching costs. However, a comprehensive analysis of management and financial health is hindered by insufficient data. Crucially, the company's high valuation multiples indicate no margin of safety for a value investor, leading to an overall 'Fail' verdict.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.