ORCL · ORACLE CORP · Top AI ETF

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Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services.

Close · 3M

-11.10%

Held by 2 AI ETFs

BUZZ2.890%

as of Sep 2

LQAI0.190%

as of Sep 2

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals14

Win rate100% (14/14)

Avg buy return+13.38%

BUZZnow 2.890% of fund19 signals

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.980% → 2.840% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $141.32·now $154.04

+9.00%

since Sep 1

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.860% → 2.820% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 20.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 25·entry $144.76·now $154.04

+6.41%

since Aug 25

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.910% → 2.860% (+0.950 pp)·stock up 22.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $146.47·now $154.04Drifting

+5.17%

since Aug 21

BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 1.910% → 2.800% (+0.890 pp)·stock up 12.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $142.07·now $154.04

+8.43%

since Aug 20

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.040% → 1.920% (-0.120 pp)·stock up 16.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $146.65·now $154.04

+5.04%

since Aug 17

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.780% → 2.060% (+0.280 pp)·stock up 7.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $151.05·now $154.04Fresh

+1.98%

since Aug 10

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.690% → 1.990% (+0.300 pp)·stock up 1.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $147.02·now $154.04Drifting

+4.77%

since Aug 7

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.700% → 2.000% (+0.300 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $143.47·now $154.04Drifting

+7.37%

since Aug 6

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.750% → 2.000% (+0.250 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $141.85·now $154.04Drifting

+8.59%

since Aug 3

BUZZ · Weight increase · 4d

weight 1.690% → 1.900% (+0.210 pp)·stock down 8.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $129.87·now $154.04Chased

+18.61%

since Jul 31

BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d

weight 1.690% → 1.850% (+0.160 pp)·stock down 13.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 30·entry $127.56·now $154.04Chased

+20.76%

since Jul 30

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.690% → 1.820% (+0.130 pp)·stock down 20.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 29·entry $117.74·now $154.04Chased

+30.83%

since Jul 29

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.750% → 1.690% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 27.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 24·entry $114.99·now $154.04

+33.96%

since Jul 24

BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d

weight 1.600% → 1.820% (+0.220 pp)·stock down 32.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 17·entry $126.41·now $154.04Chased

+21.86%

since Jul 17

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.600% → 1.760% (+0.160 pp)·stock down 35.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 16·entry $124.21·now $154.04Chased

+24.02%

since Jul 16

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

stock down 30.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 14·entry $127.94·now $154.04

+20.40%

since Jul 14

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 34.6% in the 30 days before

Jul 13·entry $131.54·now $154.04

+17.11%

since Jul 13

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 40.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $141.60·now $154.04Drifting

+8.79%

since Jul 7

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 7d

stock down 42.6% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $142.50·now $154.04

+8.10%

since Jul 1

LQAInow 0.190% of fund1 signal

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.100% → 0.190% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $143.47·now $154.04Drifting

+7.37%

since Aug 6

PQUSno longer held6 signals

PQUS · Exit · 1d

weight 0.230% → 0 (exited)·stock up 18.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $150.85·now $154.04

+2.11%

since Aug 28

PQUS · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.390% → 0.460% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 8.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 1·entry $141.85·now $154.04Drifting

+8.59%

since Aug 1

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.390% → 0.430% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 8.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $129.87·now $154.04Chased

+18.61%

since Jul 31

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.340% → 0.320% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 27.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 25·entry $119.90·now $154.04

+28.47%

since Jul 25

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 35.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 16·entry $124.21·now $154.04

+24.02%

since Jul 16

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 42.6% in the 30 days before

Jul 3·entry $143.76·now $154.04

+7.15%

since Jul 3

AIEQno longer held1 signal

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

stock down 42.6% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $142.50·now $154.04

+8.10%

since Jul 1

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Jun 14

The AI ETFs show a clear recent trend of decreasing their weight in ORCL across multiple funds, indicating a move away from the stock. This aligns with the 'Fail' verdict derived from the Buffett-style framework, primarily due to the lack of a margin of safety at Oracle's current elevated valuation multiples.

Circle of CompetenceOracle's long history in enterprise software and databases, with recurring revenue and high customer stickiness, allows for reasonably predictable cash flow projections over a decade despite the dynamic tech industry.
Economic MoatOracle benefits from a strong economic moat primarily driven by high switching costs for its deeply embedded enterprise database and application customers, reinforced by brand power and scale.
ManagementInsufficient data is provided to thoroughly assess management's candor in communications or their discipline in capital allocation, although significant insider ownership suggests skin in the game.
Financial HealthThe provided data, which includes only the most recent ROE and revenue growth, is insufficient to evaluate long-term ROE consistency, operating margin trends, manageable debt levels, or owner earnings.
Margin of SafetyWith a PER of 31.32 and an exceptionally high EV/EBITDA of 119.79, the current price does not offer a defensible discount to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value, thus failing the margin of safety criterion.

Oracle passes the initial screening for its predictable business model within the circle of competence and its durable economic moat built on high switching costs. However, a comprehensive analysis of management and financial health is hindered by insufficient data. Crucially, the company's high valuation multiples indicate no margin of safety for a value investor, leading to an overall 'Fail' verdict.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.