as of Oct 23
PANW
GrowthPALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. provides cybersecurity solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. It offers Prisma Access, a secure access service edge solution; Strata Cloud Manager, a network security management solution; and Prisma AIRS to protect customers' entire AI ecosystem. It provides a comprehensive cloud native application protection platform; and Code to Cloud platform, as well as offers VM-Series and CN-Series virtual firewalls for inline network security on multi- and hybrid-cloud environments.
Close · 3M
+33.74%
Held by 4 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIUP · Weight increase · 3d
weight 4.170% → 4.680% (+0.510 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $380.55·now $380.55Fresh
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.170% → 4.610% (+0.440 pp)·stock down 9.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $354.92·now $380.55Drifting
AIUP · Sudden change · 1d
weight 4.170% → 4.560% (+0.390 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $347.25·now $380.55
AIUP · Weight decrease · 7d
weight 5.000% → 4.170% (-0.830 pp)·stock down 8.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $340.28·now $380.55
AIUP · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 5.000% → 4.240% (-0.760 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $346.95·now $380.55
AIUP · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 5.000% → 4.270% (-0.730 pp)·stock down 8.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $342.00·now $380.55
AIUP · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 5.000% → 4.390% (-0.610 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $370.27·now $380.55
AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 5.000% → 4.430% (-0.570 pp)·stock down 0.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $375.04·now $380.55
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 5.000% → 4.490% (-0.510 pp)·stock up 6.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $397.03·now $380.55
AIUP · Sudden change · 1d
weight 5.000% → 4.540% (-0.460 pp)·stock up 22.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $403.83·now $380.55
AIUP · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.680% → 5.000% (+0.320 pp)·stock up 23.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $418.78·now $380.55Fresh
AIUP · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.590% → 4.790% (+0.200 pp)·stock up 18.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $398.50·now $380.55Fresh
AIUP · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.570% → 4.760% (+0.190 pp)·stock up 20.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $405.57·now $380.55Fresh
AIUP · Accumulation · 6d
weight 4.540% → 4.940% (+0.400 pp)·stock up 26.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $419.91·now $380.55Fresh
AIUP · Accumulation · 5d
weight 4.730% → 4.760% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 22.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $406.76·now $380.55Fresh
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 12.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $393.30·now $380.55Fresh
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.900% → 2.780% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 0.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $375.04·now $380.55
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.900% → 2.820% (-0.080 pp)·stock up 6.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $397.03·now $380.55
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.790% → 2.900% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 23.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $418.78·now $380.55Fresh
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.810% → 2.870% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 26.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $419.91·now $380.55Fresh
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 12.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $393.30·now $380.55Fresh
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.200% → 0.180% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 8.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $342.00·now $380.55
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
AIUP, the largest holder at 4.27%, accumulated through early October, peaking near 5.0% on October 9, and then cut its weight on each of the next five trading days by about 0.5 to 0.7 points. AMOM trimmed slightly from 2.90% to 2.78% over the same stretch, while QRFT, LQAI, and AIEQ hold small positions. The trimming fits a cautious Buffett-style read, but the AIs appear to be managing momentum and position size rather than judging intrinsic value, so the agreement is partial and probably coincidental.
- Circle of CompetenceCybersecurity is a fast-moving field where threats, product categories, and platform winners keep shifting, and PANW's recent growth leans on acquisitions and platform bundling, so ten-year unit economics are hard to project.
- Economic MoatSkipped because the company failed the circle of competence stage, though switching costs in enterprise security platforms are real.
- ManagementSkipped because the company failed the circle of competence stage, and candour and capital allocation cannot be judged from the data provided.
- Financial HealthSkipped under the Too Hard verdict, though a 1.68% ROE sits far below the 15% hurdle and would be a concern if scored.
- Margin of SafetySkipped under the Too Hard verdict, though a PER near 999, a PBR of 9.84, and EV/EBITDA of 74 leave no visible margin of safety.
Cybersecurity is a changing field in which it is hard to forecast ten-year cash flows, so PANW falls outside a conservative circle of competence and the framework declines to score it further. The valuation, at roughly 999 times earnings with a 1.68% ROE, would also make a margin of safety very hard to find. This is an educational interpretation, not investment advice.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.