PLTR · PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. CLASS A

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Palantir Technologies Inc. builds and deploys software platforms for the intelligence community to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It provides Palantir Gotham integrates with other platforms for defense offerings which enables users to see, understand, and act in the modern battlespace; operations centers to the tactical edge; integrating data from domains and sensors in near real-time; and situational awareness and accelerating operational decision-making, as well as facilitates the hand-off between analysts and operational users, helping operators plan and execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. The company also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that helps organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.

Close · 3M

+21.82%

Held by 4 AI ETFs

AMOM3.270%

as of Sep 3

BUZZ3.060%

as of Sep 3

PQUS0.760%

as of Sep 1

LQAI0.140%

as of Sep 3

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals21

Win rate29% (6/21)

Avg buy return-0.21%

AMOMnow 3.270% of fund2 signals

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0 → 3.270% (new)·stock up 15.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 3·entry $182.53·now $174.33Fresh

-4.49%

since Sep 3

AMOM · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 3.070% (new)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $169.46·now $174.33Drifting

+2.87%

since Sep 2

BUZZnow 3.060% of fund12 signals

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 3.220% → 2.930% (-0.290 pp)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $169.46·now $174.33

+2.87%

since Sep 2

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 3.220% → 3.150% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 43.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $179.92·now $174.33

-3.11%

since Sep 1

BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d

weight 2.940% → 3.220% (+0.280 pp)·stock up 52.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $186.29·now $174.33Fresh

-6.42%

since Aug 28

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.940% → 3.130% (+0.190 pp)·stock up 51.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $185.93·now $174.33Fresh

-6.24%

since Aug 27

BUZZ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 4.110% → 2.990% (-1.120 pp)·stock up 39.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $173.96·now $174.33

+0.21%

since Aug 20

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 4.000% → 4.110% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 32.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $175.19·now $174.33Fresh

-0.49%

since Aug 19

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 4.130% → 4.000% (-0.130 pp)·stock up 30.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $172.55·now $174.33

+1.03%

since Aug 17

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 27.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $171.04·now $174.33

+1.92%

since Aug 12

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 38.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $175.23·now $174.33Fresh

-0.51%

since Aug 10

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 33.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $172.01·now $174.33Fresh

+1.35%

since Aug 7

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 17.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $155.92·now $174.33Chased

+11.81%

since Aug 6

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $125.65·now $174.33Chased

+38.74%

since Aug 3

PQUSnow 0.760% of fund5 signals

PQUS · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.700% → 0.760% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 52.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 30·entry $186.38·now $174.33Fresh

-6.47%

since Aug 30

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.700% → 0.750% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 52.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 29·entry $186.38·now $174.33Fresh

-6.47%

since Aug 29

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.730% → 0.700% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 51.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $185.93·now $174.33

-6.24%

since Aug 27

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 29.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 15·entry $172.55·now $174.33Fresh

+1.03%

since Aug 15

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 33.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 8·entry $175.23·now $174.33Fresh

-0.51%

since Aug 8

LQAInow 0.140% of fund4 signals

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.220% → 0.130% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $169.46·now $174.33

+2.87%

since Sep 2

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.200% → 0.220% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 51.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $185.93·now $174.33Fresh

-6.24%

since Aug 27

LQAI · Weight increase · 3d

stock up 38.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $175.23·now $174.33Fresh

-0.51%

since Aug 10

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 33.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $172.01·now $174.33Fresh

+1.35%

since Aug 7

AIUPno longer held6 signals

AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 4.750% → 4.270% (-0.480 pp)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $169.46·now $174.33

+2.87%

since Sep 2

AIUP · Accumulation · 6d

weight 4.550% → 4.750% (+0.200 pp)·stock up 51.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $186.38·now $174.33Fresh

-6.47%

since Aug 31

AIUP · Accumulation · 5d

weight 4.550% → 4.740% (+0.190 pp)·stock up 52.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $186.29·now $174.33Fresh

-6.42%

since Aug 28

AIUP · Weight increase · 2d

weight 4.470% → 4.720% (+0.250 pp)·stock up 51.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $185.93·now $174.33Fresh

-6.24%

since Aug 27

AIUP · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0 → 4.610% (new)·stock up 43.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $175.89·now $174.33Fresh

-0.89%

since Aug 24

AIUP · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 4.550% (new)·stock up 45.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $179.94·now $174.33Fresh

-3.12%

since Aug 21

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Aug 30

AI ETFs like AIUP, BUZZ, and PQUS are actively accumulating or entering positions in Palantir, indicating a positive sentiment and belief in its growth prospects. This contrasts sharply with a value-investing framework's verdict that the company is 'Too Hard' to evaluate due to the inherent unpredictability of its long-term cash flows.

Circle of CompetenceThe rapidly evolving nature of Palantir's advanced data analytics and AI software, coupled with its high revenue growth, makes long-term cash flow projections and stable unit economics genuinely unpredictable over a decade.
Economic MoatAssessment of an economic moat is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence for predictable long-term analysis.
ManagementAssessment of management's qualities is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence for predictable long-term analysis.
Financial HealthAssessment of financial health is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence for predictable long-term analysis.
Margin of SafetyAssessment of a margin of safety is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence for predictable long-term analysis.

This value-investing analysis concludes that Palantir Technologies is 'Too Hard' to evaluate, primarily failing the initial 'Circle of Competence' stage. The unpredictable nature of its unit economics over a ten-year horizon, given its rapid growth and position in a fast-evolving technology sector, prevents a reliable projection of future cash flows. Therefore, a deeper assessment of its moat, management, financial health, or margin of safety cannot be reliably conducted within this framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.