as of Jul 20
PYPL
GrowthPAYPAL HOLDINGS INC.
PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments for merchants and consumers worldwide. The company operates a two-sided network at scale that connects merchants and consumers that enables its customers to connect, transact, and send and receive payments through online and in person, as well as transfer and withdraw funds using various funding sources, such as bank accounts, PayPal or Venmo account balance, consumer credit and debit products, credit and debit cards, and cryptocurrencies, as well as other stored value products, including gift cards and eligible rewards. It provides payment solutions under the PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, Hyperwallet, Honey, and Paidy names.
Close · 3M
+23.09%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d
PayPal's weight within AIEQ experienced an initial steady period before a distinct stepped increase, growing from 1.57% to 1.94% over a short period. This gradual yet consistent accumulation reflects the fund's daily rebalancing mechanism as its IBM Watson NLP system processes evolving sentiment. The AI's models are likely identifying accumulating positive signals from news and social posts, correlating with PayPal’s 30-day price surge of 32.3% from a lower base. At $56.56, with a 25.08% return on equity and still sitting 28% below its 52-week high, the system appears to be adding to a position that balances recent positive momentum with underlying financial strength.
weight 1.610% → 1.940% (+0.330 pp)·stock up 29.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 19·entry $56.82·now $56.82Fresh
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
The daily rebalancing mechanism of AIEQ, driven by IBM Watson NLP's analysis of diverse textual data, likely identified a sustained positive shift for PYPL. Processing news, filings, and social posts across thousands of US equities, the AI model registered a strengthening narrative, prompting its increasing allocation within the fund's 140-180 stock portfolio. This upward adjustment in weight, from 1.53% to 1.92% over several trading days, correlates with PYPL’s significant 30-day return of +32.3%. The fund's hybrid fundamentals and sentiment approach likely prioritized these recent catalysts, signaling a potential turnaround for the payment processor which currently sits at 72% of its 52-week high.
weight 1.610% → 1.920% (+0.310 pp)·stock up 29.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $56.56·now $56.82Fresh
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
Trading at $45.47, PYPL is currently situated near the lower end of its 52-week range, representing 58% of its yearly high, despite a 30-day return of +2.5% following longer-term declines. This setup suggests that IBM Watson NLP, which powers AIEQ by ingesting vast amounts of unstructured data, likely detected a significant shift in sentiment or a re-evaluation of fundamentals around late June, signaling a potential turnaround for the beaten-down stock. Given PYPL's PER of 7.85 and ROE of 25.08%, these financial metrics could have been interpreted as highly attractive when combined with newly positive sentiment signals, prompting AIEQ's rapid initiation of a 1.49% position on July 1st. The subsequent increase to 1.56% on July 3rd, facilitated by AIEQ’s daily rebalancing and high-turnover approach, further confirms EquBot's risk overlay strengthening conviction in PYPL as a fundamentals- and sentiment-driven opportunity at this price level.
weight 0 → 1.560% (new)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 3·entry $45.09·now $56.82Chased
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
PYPL is currently trading at $44.07, positioning it near the lower end of its 52-week range, at 56% of its 52-week high, despite a -35.7% decline over the past year and flat short-term returns. This price level, following sustained declines, likely prompted IBM Watson's NLP engine to detect an accumulation of positive sentiment shifts or undervalued fundamental signals from its analysis of news, filings, and social posts. Given AIEQ's high-turnover, daily rebalancing approach, the algorithm identified PYPL's PER of 7.85 and ROE of 25.08% as appealing, suggesting a potential turn in its perceived value or market narrative. The fund's system then converted these combined fundamental and sentiment factors, integrated with EquBot's risk overlay, into a new 1.4900% portfolio allocation on July 1st, 2026, marking a significant fresh entry into the stock.
weight 0 → 1.490% (new)·stock down 2.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $44.07·now $56.82Chased
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
Currently trading at $56.56, PYPL has seen a 30-day return of +32.3% and a 90-day return of +25.6%, even while still down 25.8% over the past year and sitting at 72% of its 52-week high. This recent upward price momentum, following a period of underperformance, likely fueled a surge in positive sentiment across social media, blogs, and news, which BUZZ's NLP methodology is designed to detect. The fund’s algorithmic sentiment tracker, which ranks stocks by positive-sentiment intensity for its monthly index reconstitution, consequently began to reflect this accumulating favor. The consecutive weight increases for PYPL, climbing from 0.56% to 0.81% between July 10 and July 16, directly mirrors this intensifying positive market chatter picked up by its NLP processes. Financials reporting a PER of 9.86 and ROE of 25.08% offer a concrete basis that could reinforce positive perceptions among retail participants, making the stock a more appealing subject for favorable discussion and a candidate for increased allocation within the ETF’s ~75 US large/mid cap portfolio.
weight 0.590% → 0.810% (+0.220 pp)·stock up 33.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $56.73·now $56.82Fresh
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
PYPL’s current valuation, reflected in a PER of 8.02 and PBR of 2.7, alongside a 25.08% ROE, presents a financial profile that could fuel discussions on social media platforms, even with 5.79% revenue growth. With the stock trading at $47.37, currently at 61% of its 52-week high after a -37.1% one-year return, this specific setup appears to have generated increasing positive commentary that BUZZ’s NLP engine has identified. The observed consecutive weight increases in BUZZ, bringing PYPL to 0.5900% by 2026-07-13, directly reflects this building positive sentiment among retail-crowd sources tracked by the fund, aligning with the stock’s recent +4.8% 30-day return. This indicates BUZZ, as an algorithmic sentiment tracker, is responding to a perceived shift in public opinion toward a potential rebound for PYPL from its undervalued price point.
weight 0.550% → 0.590% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 17.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 13·entry $47.65·now $56.82Chased
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
VanEck's BUZZ, tracking sentiment through NLP across social media and news, likely adjusted its exposure to PYPL as the algorithmic sentiment tracker registered a sustained, albeit fluctuating, increase in positive discourse surrounding the company. The gradual accumulation from 0.5000% to 0.5500% observed over late June and early July reflects how the fund's monthly index reconstitution mechanism integrates a rising sentiment rank for PYPL, rather than a single event-driven trade. This upward trend in sentiment may be influenced by PYPL's valuation, as reflected in its current PER of 7.85, potentially drawing attention from the retail crowd whose signals BUZZ primarily captures. Holding approximately 75 US large/mid caps, BUZZ's inclusion and weighting adjustments for a stock like PYPL, currently trading at $45.09 and down 37.4% over the last year, highlight its role as a mirror of evolving retail interest in financially challenged but potentially undervalued companies.
weight 0.500% → 0.550% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $45.47·now $56.82Chased
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
PYPL displays a PER of 7.85 and a PBR of 2.7, alongside a 5.79% revenue growth and 25.08% ROE. For BUZZ, which operates as an algorithmic sentiment tracker monitoring retail-crowd signals via NLP, these financial fundamentals are not the direct drivers of its allocation decisions. The observed consecutive weight decrease in BUZZ for PYPL, specifically from 0.53% on June 29th to 0.51% on June 30th, suggests a decline in the positive sentiment intensity detected by its NLP methodology. This reduction in weight occurred while PYPL's price stood at $44.07, significantly below its 52-week high at 56% of that peak, after experiencing a 35.7% decline over the past year. The ETF's monthly index reconstitution, guided by social media, blog, and news analysis, reflects a shift in the perceived desirability of PYPL within the retail investment community, indicating a potential de-ranking for the stock ahead of the next rebalance.
weight 0.550% → 0.510% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before
Jun 30·entry $43.18·now $56.82
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
PYPL’s PER of 7.49 and PBR of 2.7, coupled with a 25.08% ROE, likely contributed to a narrative of potential value among online communities, which the BUZZ ETF, as an algorithmic sentiment tracker, is designed to detect. This perceived value emerged as PYPL traded at $44.38, near 57% of its 52-week high and after a 38.6% decline over the past year, potentially fueling a 'buy the dip' sentiment among social media users. Consequently, the NLP analysis driving BUZZ’s underlying index registered a consecutive weight increase for PYPL from 0.5000% to 0.5500% between June 22 and June 26, 2026, following a sharper reduction earlier that month. This gradual accumulation reflects the ETF’s design to passively hold stocks ranked by positive sentiment intensity, rather than making active, discretionary adjustments.
weight 0.500% → 0.550% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 1.2% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $44.29·now $56.82Chased
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
The weight history for PYPL in BUZZ shows a notable drop on June 18th, followed by a sequence of small, consecutive increases, moving from 0.49% to 0.53% over four trading days. This gradual upward cadence likely reflects a measured resurgence of positive sentiment detected by BUZZ’s NLP algorithm, which passively ranks stocks based on social media intensity. With PYPL trading at $44.29, near the lower end of its 52-week range and after a 37.5% one-year decline, the fund’s algorithmic sentiment tracker appears to be registering renewed retail crowd interest in the stock's perceived value. The company's 25.08% ROE and 7.49 PER could contribute to this sentiment shift, indicating a potential bargain for the type of crowd signals BUZZ aims to capture. These subtle, continuous adjustments align with the ETF's methodology of reflecting shifts in positive sentiment intensity derived from its broad scan of public discourse.
weight 0.500% → 0.530% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 4.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 25·entry $42.38·now $56.82Chased
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
The VanEck BUZZ ETF, which ranks stocks by positive-sentiment intensity using NLP across social media and news, significantly reduced its PayPal weight to 0.49% on June 18th. This notable decrease reflects a sharp decline in positive sentiment towards PYPL, as detected by the ETF's algorithmic selection method among its ~75 US large/mid caps. Such a move aligns with the fund's role as a retail-crowd signal, interpreting discussions that likely acknowledge recent performance, like the stock’s -6.7% 30-day return. As the ETF passively holds stocks based on its monthly index reconstitution, this adjustment indicates PYPL’s ranking for positive sentiment diminished considerably.
weight 0.750% → 0.490% (-0.260 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $42.51·now $56.82
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
Trading at $41.24, PYPL is currently positioned at 53% of its 52-week high, following a substantial 41.3% decline over the past year and a 17.8% drop in the last 30 days, placing it close to its 52-week low of $39.08. This steep price depreciation, coupled with its valuation at a PER of 7.14 and PBR of 2.7, appears to have triggered a positive shift in retail sentiment detected by BUZZ’s NLP methodology, which screens social media and news for increasing positive-sentiment intensity. The algorithmic sentiment tracker, designed to reflect retail-crowd signals, translated this elevated positive sentiment into a consecutive increase in PYPL's allocation within the portfolio, moving from 0.70% to 0.73% between June 8 and June 10 during its passive monthly rebalance. Even with recent price struggles, the company reports a 5.79% revenue growth and a 25.08% return on equity, fundamental factors that likely underscore the increasing positive sentiment observed in online discourse as the stock approaches its historical floor.
weight 0.700% → 0.730% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 9.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 10·entry $40.70·now $56.82Chased
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
PayPal's financial profile, featuring a PER of 9.86, PBR of 2.7, 5.79% revenue growth, and a strong 25.08% ROE, aligns with the LG-Qraft collaboration's AI ranking engine, which seeks large-cap names balancing broad exposure with some momentum. Between July 13 and July 17, LQAI consistently increased its allocation to PYPL from 0.28% to 0.36%, coinciding with the stock's recent +32.3% 30-day return. This upward adjustment suggests Qraft's AI, operating within LQAI's weekly rebalancing cycle, identified the company’s accumulating positive price action and underlying financial strength as reasons to elevate its weight. The AI likely interpreted PayPal's current price, at 72% of its 52-week high following a year of negative returns but showing recent recovery, as a continued opportunity within its core large-cap universe.
weight 0.290% → 0.360% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 29.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $56.56·now $56.82Fresh
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
PYPL's PER of 9.86 and PBR of 2.7, coupled with 5.79% revenue growth and a 25.08% return on equity, present a valuation profile for LQAI's AI-driven core large-cap selection that prioritizes name selection over heavy factor tilts. The consistent increase in weight from 0.28% to 0.35% between July 13th and July 16th, 2026, in LQAI's weekly rebalance, indicates the Qraft AI engine's updated ranking of PYPL. This adjustment aligns with PYPL's recent price momentum, as reflected by its +32.3% 30-day return and +25.6% 90-day return, suggesting the AI recognized an improving short-term trajectory for a stock currently trading at $56.56, or 72% of its 52-week high, despite its prior 1-year decline.
weight 0.290% → 0.350% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 33.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $56.73·now $56.82Fresh
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
Trading at $45.65, 58% of its 52-week high, PYPL's -38.0% one-year return, despite a modest +3.2% gain over the last 30 days, framed the context for LQAI's AI-driven weekly rebalancing. The Qraft selection engine, which applies its ranking to a US large-cap core universe without heavy factor tilt, likely re-evaluated PYPL's position. Possessing a PER of 7.85 and 5.79% revenue growth alongside a 25.08% ROE, the stock’s prior allocation was significantly reduced from 0.5900% to 0.2800% on July 7th. This sharp decrease suggests the AI's core large-cap methodology, positioned between broad and concentrated momentum styles, determined PYPL no longer met its updated criteria for the target portfolio weight, reflecting a revised quantitative outlook given the stock's protracted underperformance relative to its peer set.
weight 0.600% → 0.280% (-0.320 pp)·stock up 6.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $45.65·now $56.82
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
PYPL's PER of 7.85 and ROE of 25.08% present a profitable enterprise with a relatively low valuation, a profile that aligns with LQAI’s core large-cap, AI-driven selection approach, which seeks balanced exposure beyond pure momentum. Trading at $45.47, a level representing 58% of its 52-week high and down 35.1% over the last year, the stock appears to be valued lower following a sustained period of decline. The consecutive weight increases in LQAI on July 1st and 2nd, from 0.54% to 0.60%, coincide with the company's recent 30-day return of +2.5%, suggesting Qraft's AI is incrementally increasing exposure as it detects potential stabilization or a reversal for this undervalued asset within its US large-cap core universe. The AI-driven engine thus identifies PYPL as a candidate for gradual accumulation given its financial characteristics and current market position.
weight 0.540% → 0.600% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $45.47·now $56.82Chased
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
PYPL's valuation metrics, including a PER of 7.49 and a PBR of 2.7, alongside a 25.08% ROE and 5.79% revenue growth, align with LQAI's core large-cap selection criteria, which eschews heavy factor tilts. This profile of efficient capital use and modest growth, combined with the stock currently trading at $42.48, near its 52-week low of $39.08 and having experienced a -6.5% 30-day return, likely presents an attractive entry point for the Qraft AI. The detected pattern of consecutive weight increases on June 23rd and 24th, moving from 0.5300% to 0.5500%, suggests a strengthening positive signal from the AI's weekly rebalancing cycle. LQAI's AI-driven approach appears to be taking advantage of PYPL's depressed price level and seemingly undervalued fundamentals to incrementally increase its position within its ~100 US large-cap portfolio.
weight 0.530% → 0.550% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 4.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 24·entry $42.48·now $56.82Chased
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
While PYPL's 7.3 PER, 2.7 PBR, 25.08% ROE, and 5.79% revenue growth suggest specific financial strengths, LQAI's Qraft AI ranking system has been adjusting its allocation to the stock. The consecutive weight decreases from 0.55% on June 17 to 0.53% by June 22 in LQAI's portfolio align with PYPL's 30-day return of -6.7% and its current price of $42.34, placing it near its 52-week low. Operating as a core large-cap fund without heavy factor tilts, the Qraft AI managing LQAI likely re-evaluated PYPL's short-term prospects despite its fundamental figures. This consistent trimming indicates a response to the recent downward price movement, even as the stock trades at 54% of its 52-week high after a -42.4% 1-year return.
weight 0.560% → 0.530% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 22·entry $42.34·now $56.82
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
PYPL's PER of 7.36 and ROE of 25.08% initially suggested its suitability for LQAI's core large-cap selection, a strategy prioritizing balanced profitability and value without heavy factor tilts. Despite these metrics, the Qraft AI engine initiated a consecutive decrease in PYPL's weight, moving from 0.56% on June 16th to 0.54% by June 18th. This rebalancing within the weekly managed portfolio coincides with PYPL's recent price performance, showing a negative 8.0% return over 30 days and trading at $42.51, significantly below its 52-week high of $78.22. The AI's action indicates a dynamic reassessment of the stock's current appeal, potentially reacting to the observed price pressure impacting its overall ranking despite the underlying financial strength.
weight 0.560% → 0.540% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $42.51·now $56.82
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs (AIEQ, BUZZ, LQAI) show a recent trend of increasing their holdings in PayPal, indicating a positive outlook or accumulation strategy for them. This contrasts sharply with a Buffett-style framework, which finds the company's long-term earning power too unpredictable to confidently analyze, leading to a "Too Hard" verdict despite current valuation metrics.
- Circle of CompetenceThe digital payments industry faces continuous structural disruption and intense competition, making the long-term predictability of PayPal's unit economics and earning power genuinely difficult to project over a ten-year horizon.
- Economic MoatCannot assess this stage, as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- ManagementCannot assess this stage, as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Financial HealthCannot assess this stage, as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Margin of SafetyCannot assess this stage, as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
A Buffett-style analysis concludes that PayPal falls outside the circle of competence due to the unpredictable nature of the rapidly evolving digital payments industry and its intense competitive landscape. While the company's current financial metrics may appear attractive, the inability to reliably project future cash flows prevents a deeper assessment of its economic moat, management, or intrinsic value.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.