SMCI · SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC

Back to holdings

Super Micro Computer, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells server and storage solutions based on modular and open-standard architecture in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company provides liquid and air-cooled AI servers for training and inferencing with integrated graphics processing units (GPUs) or PCIe based architectures; SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin, and BigTwin blade and multi-node systems; SuperStorage systems; Hyper, CloudDC, and WIO and rackmount systems; embedded (5G/IoT/Edge) systems; and MicroCloud server systems. It also offers workstations and networking devices; and modular server subsystems and accessories, including server boards, chassis, power supplies, and other accessories.

Close · 3M

+30.23%

Held by 3 AI ETFs

BUZZ2.930%

as of Sep 2

AMOM1.210%

as of Sep 2

AIEQ1.120%

as of Sep 4

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals17

Win rate76% (13/17)

Avg buy return+13.78%

BUZZnow 2.930% of fund18 signals

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.960% → 2.920% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 31.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $37.28·now $37.87

+1.58%

since Aug 31

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 4.090% → 2.870% (-1.220 pp)·stock up 19.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $36.50·now $37.87

+3.75%

since Aug 20

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 3.410% → 4.090% (+0.680 pp)·stock up 57.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $37.41·now $37.87Fresh

+1.23%

since Aug 18

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 3.300% → 4.050% (+0.750 pp)·stock up 58.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $38.28·now $37.87Fresh

-1.07%

since Aug 17

BUZZ · Accumulation · 6d

weight 3.270% → 4.200% (+0.930 pp)·stock up 61.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $39.84·now $37.87Fresh

-4.94%

since Aug 14

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 3.350% → 4.130% (+0.780 pp)·stock up 45.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $39.16·now $37.87Fresh

-3.29%

since Aug 13

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 3.250% → 4.040% (+0.790 pp)·stock up 36.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $37.61·now $37.87Fresh

+0.69%

since Aug 12

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 3.200% → 3.470% (+0.270 pp)·stock up 14.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $31.60·now $37.87Chased

+19.84%

since Aug 11

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 3.400% → 3.470% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 11.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $31.46·now $37.87Chased

+20.38%

since Aug 10

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 3.270% → 3.410% (+0.140 pp)·stock up 10.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $31.13·now $37.87Chased

+21.65%

since Aug 7

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 3.200% → 3.350% (+0.150 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $28.40·now $37.87Chased

+33.35%

since Jul 31

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 3.570% → 3.200% (-0.370 pp)·stock down 8.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 29·entry $25.70·now $37.87

+47.35%

since Jul 29

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 7.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 28·entry $28.45·now $37.87

+33.11%

since Jul 28

BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before

Jul 23·entry $31.20·now $37.87Chased

+21.38%

since Jul 23

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 13.8% in the 30 days before

Jul 22·entry $30.56·now $37.87Chased

+23.92%

since Jul 22

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 14.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 20·entry $23.83·now $37.87

+58.92%

since Jul 20

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 11.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 15·entry $26.89·now $37.87

+40.83%

since Jul 15

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 4d

stock down 44.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $26.25·now $37.87

+44.27%

since Jul 7

AMOMnow 1.210% of fund1 signal

AMOM · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 1.210% (new)·stock up 16.8% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $37.00·now $37.87Drifting

+2.35%

since Sep 2

AIEQnow 1.120% of fund8 signals

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.560% → 1.110% (+0.550 pp)·stock up 28.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $36.71·now $37.87

+3.16%

since Sep 1

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.470% → 0.590% (+0.120 pp)·stock up 61.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 15·entry $38.28·now $37.87Fresh

-1.07%

since Aug 15

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.430% → 0.470% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 10.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 8·entry $31.46·now $37.87Chased

+20.38%

since Aug 8

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.230% → 0.430% (+0.200 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $28.64·now $37.87Chased

+32.23%

since Aug 2

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.270% → 0.230% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 5.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 30·entry $27.73·now $37.87

+36.57%

since Jul 30

AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 24·entry $30.10·now $37.87Chased

+25.81%

since Jul 24

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before

Jul 23·entry $31.20·now $37.87Chased

+21.38%

since Jul 23

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 17.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 19·entry $23.83·now $37.87

+58.92%

since Jul 19

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Aug 9

AI ETFs like AIEQ and BUZZ have shown mixed activity, with recent trends indicating both increases and decreases in SMCI's weight. This contrasts with a Buffett-style framework, which deems the company too complex to reliably forecast, suggesting these AI funds are operating on different investment principles or shorter time horizons.

Circle of CompetenceThe rapid evolution of technology in the server and storage industry makes projecting Super Micro Computer's unit economics and cash flows with reasonable certainty over a ten-year period exceptionally challenging.
Economic MoatAn assessment of durable competitive advantages is not applicable as the business falls outside the circle of competence.
ManagementAn evaluation of management quality and capital allocation is not applicable as the business falls outside the circle of competence.
Financial HealthA detailed analysis of financial health indicators is not applicable as the business falls outside the circle of competence.
Margin of SafetyA determination of margin of safety is not applicable as intrinsic value cannot be reliably estimated for this business.

Super Micro Computer operates in an industry with highly unpredictable unit economics due to rapid technological change, rendering it outside the framework's circle of competence. Consequently, a traditional value investing analysis cannot reliably project future cash flows or assess an intrinsic value. Therefore, the company is classified as 'Too Hard' to evaluate using this specific investment approach.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.