as of Oct 23
SNDK
GrowthSANDISK CORP.
Sandisk Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions using NAND flash technology in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company offers solid state drives for desktop and notebook PCs, gaming consoles, and set top boxes; and flash-based embedded storage products for mobile phones, tablets, notebook PCs and other portable and wearable devices, automotive applications, Internet of Things, industrial, and connected home applications, as well as removable cards, universal serial bus drives, and wafers and components. It sells its products to computer manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers, datacenters, private cloud customers, cloud service providers, resellers, distributors, and retailers through its sales personnel, dealers, distributors, retailers, and subsidiaries.
Close · 3M
-41.27%
Held by 7 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIUP · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 15.170% → 4.490% (-10.680 pp)·stock down 29.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $1238.03·now $1238.03
AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 15.170% → 14.660% (-0.510 pp)·stock down 30.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $1260.93·now $1238.03
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 15.170% → 15.080% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 27.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $1378.22·now $1238.03
AIUP · Sudden change · 1d
weight 14.680% → 15.170% (+0.490 pp)·stock down 23.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $1371.12·now $1238.03
AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 15.180% → 14.680% (-0.500 pp)·stock down 19.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $1299.30·now $1238.03
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 15.180% → 14.980% (-0.200 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $1394.83·now $1238.03
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $1482.33·now $1238.03Fresh
LQAI · Weight decrease · 7d
weight 4.240% → 3.390% (-0.850 pp)·stock down 19.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $1299.30·now $1238.03
LQAI · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 4.240% → 3.580% (-0.660 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $1394.83·now $1238.03
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.980% → 1.850% (-0.130 pp)·stock down 30.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $1260.93·now $1238.03
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.980% → 1.940% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 27.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $1378.22·now $1238.03
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.550% → 1.900% (-0.650 pp)·stock down 19.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $1299.30·now $1238.03
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.550% → 1.930% (-0.620 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $1394.83·now $1238.03
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.290% → 0.250% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 19.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $1299.30·now $1238.03
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.290% → 0.270% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $1394.83·now $1238.03
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.241% → 0.217% (-0.024 pp)·stock down 29.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $1238.03·now $1238.03
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.263% → 0.230% (-0.034 pp)·stock down 19.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $1299.30·now $1238.03
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.263% → 0.246% (-0.017 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $1394.83·now $1238.03
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Seven AI ETFs hold SNDK, led by AIUP at 4.49% and LQAI at 3.28%, but the recent flow is almost all trimming. AIUP cut roughly 10 points in a single day after carrying a position near 15%, and LQAI, BUZZ, AIVL and PQUS were reducing as well. That partly agrees with a Too Hard verdict, since the funds are treating the stock as a volatile cyclical trade rather than a predictable compounder, though they are still holding meaningful weights.
- Circle of CompetenceNAND flash is a cyclical commodity-like business where pricing swings with supply and AI-driven demand, and 175% revenue growth on a recently spun-off company shows earnings power that cannot be projected ten years out.
- Economic MoatNot scored because the framework stops at Stage 1 for this company.
- ManagementNot scored because the framework stops at Stage 1, and candour and capital allocation cannot be judged from the data provided.
- Financial HealthNot scored, though a 93% ROE and 175% growth look like peak-cycle readings rather than a stable ten-year record, and the spin-off leaves little history to average.
- Margin of SafetyNot scored, since a 15.9 PER at what may be peak-cycle earnings gives no reliable basis for estimating intrinsic value or a margin of safety.
Flash memory pricing is cyclical and the company has a short independent history, so ten-year cash flows sit outside the circle of competence. The headline ROE and growth figures probably reflect a cyclical peak rather than durable earning power. The framework declines to score moat, management, financials or price, and the answer is Too Hard whatever the price.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.