Last refreshed: September 4, 2026 (US ET)
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TSLA

Growth

TESLA INC

Consumer Discretionary·Automobile Manufacturers

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale.

Close · 3M

-6.49%

TSLA · 3M

-6.49%

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Held by 3 AI ETFs

LQAI4.210%

as of Sep 3

BUZZ3.320%

as of Sep 3

PQUS1.750%

as of Sep 1

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals18
Win rate78% (14/18)
Avg buy return+2.81%
LQAInow 4.210% of fund9 signals

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 3.100% → 4.070% (+0.970 pp)·stock up 10.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $356.09·now $354.08Fresh

-0.56%
since Sep 1

LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 3.210% → 3.070% (-0.140 pp)·stock up 12.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $345.82·now $354.08

+2.39%
since Aug 26

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 3.210% → 3.110% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 13.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 25·entry $350.25·now $354.08

+1.09%
since Aug 25

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.930% → 3.100% (+0.170 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $351.12·now $354.08Fresh

+0.84%
since Aug 19

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.960% → 2.930% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 10.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $339.30·now $354.08

+4.36%
since Aug 17

LQAI · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 15.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $332.81·now $354.08Drifting

+6.39%
since Aug 11

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 18.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $330.88·now $354.08Drifting

+7.01%
since Aug 10

LQAI · Sudden change · 1d

stock down 18.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $319.53·now $354.08

+10.81%
since Aug 6

LQAI · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 18.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $322.08·now $354.08Drifting

+9.94%
since Aug 3
BUZZnow 3.320% of fund13 signals

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 3.320% → 3.250% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 9.1% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $357.01·now $354.08

-0.82%
since Sep 2

BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d

weight 3.130% → 3.320% (+0.190 pp)·stock up 18.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $367.95·now $354.08Fresh

-3.77%
since Aug 31

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 3.130% → 3.170% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 12.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $348.75·now $354.08Fresh

+1.53%
since Aug 28

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 3.250% → 3.130% (-0.120 pp)·stock up 12.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $345.82·now $354.08

+2.39%
since Aug 26

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 3.250% → 3.140% (-0.110 pp)·stock up 13.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 25·entry $350.25·now $354.08

+1.09%
since Aug 25

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.490% → 3.200% (+0.710 pp)·stock up 11.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $348.95·now $354.08Fresh

+1.47%
since Aug 24

BUZZ · Accumulation · 6d

weight 2.440% → 3.250% (+0.810 pp)·stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $362.86·now $354.08Fresh

-2.42%
since Aug 21

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.540% → 3.130% (+0.590 pp)·stock down 7.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $345.13·now $354.08Drifting

+2.59%
since Aug 20

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.530% → 2.620% (+0.090 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $351.12·now $354.08Fresh

+0.84%
since Aug 19

BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.500% → 2.560% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 8.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $336.87·now $354.08Drifting

+5.11%
since Aug 18

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.440% → 2.510% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 12.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $342.27·now $354.08Drifting

+3.45%
since Aug 14

BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 15.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $332.81·now $354.08Drifting

+6.39%
since Aug 11

BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 18.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $330.88·now $354.08Drifting

+7.01%
since Aug 10
PQUSnow 1.750% of fund5 signals

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.710% → 1.780% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 12.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 29·entry $367.95·now $354.08Fresh

-3.77%
since Aug 29

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.460% → 1.520% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 12.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 16·entry $339.30·now $354.08Drifting

+4.36%
since Aug 16

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 13.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $339.96·now $354.08Drifting

+4.15%
since Aug 13

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 19.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $328.58·now $354.08

+7.76%
since Aug 7

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 26.8% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $311.21·now $354.08

+13.78%
since Jul 31
AIEQno longer held1 signal

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

stock down 26.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $322.08·now $354.08

+9.94%
since Aug 2

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Aug 30

AI ETFs show mixed activity, with some like PQUS accumulating and others like BUZZ and LQAI decreasing weight, indicating active trading strategies. This dynamic trading behavior contrasts with the framework's conclusion that Tesla's business is too unpredictable for long-term value investing, suggesting a focus on short-term trends rather than enduring intrinsic value.

  • Circle of CompetenceThe company's rapidly evolving business lines, intense competition, and reliance on highly speculative future technologies make ten-year cash flow projections unreliable for this framework.
  • Economic MoatWithout predictable unit economics, it is not feasible to assess the durability or strength of any potential economic moat.
  • ManagementEvaluating management's capital allocation and candor becomes less relevant when the underlying business is deemed too unpredictable to value.
  • Financial HealthWhile some financial data is available, a comprehensive assessment of long-term financial health is not possible given the business's inherent unpredictability.
  • Margin of SafetyA fundamental margin of safety cannot be established without a reliable and conservative estimate of intrinsic value, which is precluded by the unpredictable business.

Tesla's business model, heavily reliant on rapidly evolving technology and subject to intense market dynamics, falls outside the circle of competence for this value investing framework. The inherent unpredictability of its long-term cash flows prevents a reliable assessment of its economic moat, management effectiveness, financial health, or a margin of safety. Therefore, the company is deemed 'Too Hard' to analyze using a Buffett-style approach.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.