AIEQ3.570%
as of Oct 26
UBER
DefensiveUBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment connects consumers with a range of transportation modalities, such as ridesharing, carsharing, micromobility, rentals, public transit, taxis, and other modalities; and offers riders in a variety of vehicle types, as well as financial partnerships products and advertising services.
Close · 3M
-8.44%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals7
Win rate0% (0/7)
Avg buy return-9.77%
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 3.720% → 3.560% (-0.160 pp)·stock down 0.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $69.07·now $66.70
-3.43%
since Oct 22
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.720% → 3.630% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 3.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $67.62·now $66.70
-1.36%
since Oct 21
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.720% → 3.650% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $71.27·now $66.70
-6.41%
since Oct 15
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 3.570% → 3.710% (+0.140 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 11·entry $71.50·now $66.70Fresh
-6.71%
since Oct 11
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.640% → 3.570% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $70.24·now $66.70
-5.04%
since Oct 8
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.650% → 3.600% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 10.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 3·entry $69.48·now $66.70
-4.00%
since Oct 3
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.670% → 3.650% (+1.980 pp)·stock down 9.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $67.88·now $66.70
-1.74%
since Oct 1
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.770% → 1.720% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 9.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 20·entry $70.84·now $66.70
-5.84%
since Sep 20
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.770% → 1.730% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 9.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 18·entry $70.50·now $66.70
-5.39%
since Sep 18
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.770% → 1.740% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 5.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $70.87·now $66.70
-5.88%
since Sep 17
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.810% → 1.730% (-0.080 pp)·stock down 7.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $72.56·now $66.70
-8.08%
since Sep 10
-11.35%
since Sep 1
-15.38%
since Aug 28
-15.02%
since Aug 26
-15.36%
since Aug 21
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.870% → 0.800% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 3.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $67.62·now $66.70
-1.36%
since Oct 21
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.870% → 0.830% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $68.94·now $66.70
-3.25%
since Oct 20
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.720% → 0.870% (+0.150 pp)·stock down 0.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $70.35·now $66.70Fresh
-5.19%
since Oct 16
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.770% → 0.830% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $71.27·now $66.70Fresh
-6.41%
since Oct 15
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.740% → 0.720% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 9.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $67.88·now $66.70
-1.74%
since Oct 1
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.720% → 0.740% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 12.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $69.36·now $66.70Fresh
-3.84%
since Sep 29
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.770% → 0.720% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 11.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $69.89·now $66.70
-4.56%
since Sep 22
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.770% → 0.740% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 9.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $70.84·now $66.70
-5.84%
since Sep 21
-6.16%
since Sep 9
-8.79%
since Sep 8
-8.79%
since Sep 7
-13.32%
since Aug 27
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.380% → 0.360% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $68.94·now $66.70
-3.25%
since Oct 20
-11.83%
since Aug 29
-15.88%
since Aug 22
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Oct 11
AIEQ is the main holder at 3.71% and has been accumulating, with a sudden +1.98pp jump on October 1 followed by small trims and a small re-add on October 11, while BUZZ and PQUS hold small positions with minor adjustments. This conflicts with the Buffett-style Fail, because the AI funds are treating Uber as a growth and momentum position while the framework's ten-year ROE and owner earnings test is not satisfied by such a short record of profitability.
- Circle of CompetenceUber's core mobility and delivery marketplaces now show fairly stable unit economics with consistent take rates and positive free cash flow, though the long-term threat from autonomous vehicles adds some uncertainty to a ten-year projection.
- Economic MoatTwo-sided network effects and scale in rider and driver density give Uber a real but contestable moat, since drivers and riders multi-home and regulation and autonomous entrants could erode it.
- ManagementThe financials alone cannot show candour or insider ownership, though the pivot from heavy losses to disciplined buybacks and cash generation is a positive sign that would need checking against shareholder letters and insider holdings.
- Financial HealthThe 35.73% ROE is likely inflated by one-off tax benefits and a small equity base after years of accumulated losses, so it fails the ten-year average of 15% with no year below 10%, and the history of negative owner earnings and a heavily indebted balance sheet means the record is too short to trust.
- Margin of SafetyA PER of 14.61 on 16.68% revenue growth looks reasonable for a network-effect business, but the PER is probably flattered by tax items and a 6.28 price-to-book offers little asset-based cushion, so the margin of safety is modest rather than wide.
Uber has a credible network-effect moat, a business that has become predictable enough to model, and an apparently cheap earnings multiple. However, the profitability history is too short and distorted to meet the durable-returns test, and management quality cannot be confirmed from the data given, so the framework would watch rather than buy until several more years of clean owner earnings are on record.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.