as of Oct 16
WDC
GrowthWESTERN DIGITAL CORP
Western Digital Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions based on hard disk drive (HDD) technology in the United States, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers internal HDDs, data center drives, data center platforms, external drives, portable drives, NAS for home and office, and accessories. It sells its data storage devices and solutions through its computer manufacturers, sales personnel, dealers, distributors, and retailers.
Close · 3M
-47.41%
Held by 5 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.770% → 1.700% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 21.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $332.00·now $343.67
AMOM · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 2.000% → 1.770% (-0.230 pp)·stock down 10.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $380.71·now $343.67
AMOM · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 2.000% → 1.790% (-0.210 pp)·stock down 13.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $386.94·now $343.67
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.000% → 1.800% (-0.200 pp)·stock down 13.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $397.28·now $343.67
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.000% → 1.810% (-0.190 pp)·stock down 18.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $393.31·now $343.67
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.000% → 1.830% (-0.170 pp)·stock down 15.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $405.42·now $343.67
AMOM · Sudden change · 1d
weight 2.200% → 1.900% (-0.300 pp)·stock down 7.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $415.29·now $343.67
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.450% → 0.500% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 18.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $378.51·now $343.67Fresh
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.450% → 0.490% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 18.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $364.32·now $343.67Fresh
BUZZ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.460% (new)·stock down 14.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $356.45·now $343.67Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.324% → 0.294% (-0.029 pp)·stock down 23.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $343.67·now $343.67
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.287% → 0.324% (+0.037 pp)·stock down 18.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $378.51·now $343.67Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.287% → 0.313% (+0.025 pp)·stock down 18.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $364.32·now $343.67Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 0.347% → 0.287% (-0.059 pp)·stock down 21.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $332.00·now $343.67
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.346% → 0.308% (-0.038 pp)·stock down 14.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $356.45·now $343.67
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.346% → 0.318% (-0.029 pp)·stock down 11.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $364.10·now $343.67
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.347% → 0.331% (-0.016 pp)·stock down 10.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $380.71·now $343.67
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.391% → 0.346% (-0.045 pp)·stock down 18.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $393.31·now $343.67
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.391% → 0.359% (-0.033 pp)·stock down 15.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $405.42·now $343.67
AIVL · Weight increase · 4d
stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $448.17·now $343.67Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 18·entry $441.36·now $343.67Fresh
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.180% → 0.150% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 12.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $411.04·now $343.67
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs are mostly accumulating or holding WDC: BUZZ made a new entry on 2026-10-15 and kept adding through 2026-10-21, while AMOM and AIVL have been trimming on and off, and six funds hold it overall. That momentum-driven buying conflicts with a Too Hard verdict, since the framework declines to underwrite a cyclical hardware maker whose earnings are surging and whose future cash flows are hard to predict. The trimming by AMOM and AIVL is closer to the framework's caution, though it looks like position management rather than a judgment about predictability.
- Circle of CompetenceWestern Digital's hard drive earnings swing sharply with data-center demand cycles, NAND-style pricing, and customer concentration, and a 43% revenue jump with a $132.8B market cap points to an AI-storage boom whose ten-year unit economics cannot be reliably projected.
- Economic MoatSkipped because the business failed the circle of competence stage.
- ManagementSkipped because the business failed the circle of competence stage, and candor and capital allocation cannot be judged from the data provided.
- Financial HealthSkipped under the framework, though the 113.77% ROE is inflated by a small equity base (PBR of 22.45) and is not evidence of a steady ten-year record.
- Margin of SafetySkipped, though a 30.85x EV/EBITDA on what may be peak-cycle earnings leaves little visible margin of safety.
Storage hardware is a cyclical, fast-changing industry where ten-year owner earnings cannot be projected with confidence, so the company falls outside the circle of competence and the framework declines to score the remaining stages. The headline figures (13x earnings, 113% ROE, 43% growth) look attractive but are likely cyclical or distorted by a thin equity base, which is the kind of apparent bargain the framework treats with caution.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.