as of Oct 23
WMT
DefensiveWALMART INC.
Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club U.S. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; and ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites.
Close · 3M
-0.77%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.540% → 0.600% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 11.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $118.81·now $119.89Fresh
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.530% → 0.590% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 9.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $117.87·now $119.89Fresh
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.520% → 0.580% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 7.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $116.16·now $119.89Drifting
PQUS · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.520% → 0.550% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 4.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $110.56·now $119.89Drifting
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.520% → 0.540% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $108.16·now $119.89Chased
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.080% → 0.520% (-0.560 pp)·stock down 3.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $105.07·now $119.89
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.080% → 0.530% (-0.550 pp)·stock down 1.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $104.26·now $119.89
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $115.72·now $119.89Drifting
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.440% → 0.500% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 11.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $118.81·now $119.89Fresh
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.430% → 0.490% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 7.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $116.16·now $119.89Drifting
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.440% → 0.470% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 5.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $113.08·now $119.89Drifting
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.440% → 0.460% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $111.35·now $119.89Drifting
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.440% (new)·stock up 3.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $106.80·now $119.89Chased
BUZZ · Exit · 1d
weight 1.030% → 0 (exited)·stock up 9.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $117.87·now $119.89
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.860% → 1.030% (+0.170 pp)·stock up 7.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $116.16·now $119.89Drifting
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.860% → 0.930% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 4.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $110.56·now $119.89Drifting
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.860% → 0.900% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $108.16·now $119.89Chased
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.910% → 0.870% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 30·entry $103.92·now $119.89
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.870% → 0.910% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 5.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 28·entry $108.73·now $119.89Chased
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.880% → 0.900% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 3.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $110.53·now $119.89Drifting
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.910% → 0.880% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 3.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $107.44·now $119.89
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Several AI ETFs, including PQUS and AIEQ, show recent trends of decreasing their weight in Walmart, with AIEQ experiencing a sudden large reduction. This activity aligns with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, as both suggest a less favorable outlook on the company, particularly concerning its current valuation.
- Circle of CompetenceThe company's established position in consumer staples retail provides a predictable revenue base and stable unit economics suitable for long-term cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatWalmart benefits from a powerful scale-driven cost advantage and extensive distribution network, enabling it to offer competitive pricing and maintain market dominance.
- ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient detail to thoroughly assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or specific skin in the game.
- Financial HealthInsufficient historical data prevents a full assessment of 10-year average ROE consistency, operating margin trends, and owner earnings, while the high EV/EBITDA ratio warrants further investigation into debt levels and earnings quality.
- Margin of SafetyThe current valuation multiples, including a P/E of 40.61, PBR of 9.93, and EV/EBITDA of 81.63, indicate that the stock is trading at a significant premium, leaving no apparent margin of safety.
Walmart initially demonstrates strengths in its predictable business model and formidable economic moat, passing the initial framework stages. However, a complete assessment of financial health is hindered by a lack of comprehensive historical data, and crucially, the current market price presents no margin of safety based on its very high valuation multiples. Therefore, despite its inherent business quality, the company fails the overall framework due to its price and unverified financial details.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.