as of Sep 1
WMT
DefensiveWALMART INC.
Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club U.S. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; and ecommerce websites, such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, flipkart.com, PhonePe and other sites.
Close · 3M
-16.03%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
as of Sep 4
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.210% → 1.070% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 29·entry $104.87·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.210% → 1.100% (-0.110 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $103.09·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.340% → 1.180% (-0.160 pp)·stock down 4.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 22·entry $106.49·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.540% → 1.320% (-0.220 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 16·entry $114.33·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.540% → 1.330% (-0.210 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 15·entry $114.33·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.520% → 1.540% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $115.72·now $107.14Fresh
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.650% → 1.560% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $110.71·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.560% → 1.650% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $111.20·now $107.14Fresh
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.060% → 1.560% (+0.500 pp)·stock down 8.0% in the 30 days before
Jul 26·entry $111.74·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.110% → 1.060% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 8.0% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $109.47·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.110% → 1.070% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 9.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 23·entry $108.40·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.110% → 1.080% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 5.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $114.24·now $107.14
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 4.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 10·entry $113.90·now $107.14Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.520% → 0.050% (-0.470 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $110.71·now $107.14
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.500% → 0.520% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 1.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 30·entry $111.10·now $107.14Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.520% → 0.500% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 4.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $114.95·now $107.14
BUZZ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.350% → 0 (exited)·stock down 5.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $103.84·now $107.14
BUZZ · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.350% → 0.410% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 0.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 29·entry $114.22·now $107.14Fresh
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.350% → 0.390% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $113.10·now $107.14Fresh
BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.380% → 0.350% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 5.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 21·entry $110.39·now $107.14
BUZZ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 4.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 13·entry $114.78·now $107.14Fresh
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Several AI ETFs, including PQUS and AIEQ, show recent trends of decreasing their weight in Walmart, with AIEQ experiencing a sudden large reduction. This activity aligns with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, as both suggest a less favorable outlook on the company, particularly concerning its current valuation.
- Circle of CompetenceThe company's established position in consumer staples retail provides a predictable revenue base and stable unit economics suitable for long-term cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatWalmart benefits from a powerful scale-driven cost advantage and extensive distribution network, enabling it to offer competitive pricing and maintain market dominance.
- ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient detail to thoroughly assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or specific skin in the game.
- Financial HealthInsufficient historical data prevents a full assessment of 10-year average ROE consistency, operating margin trends, and owner earnings, while the high EV/EBITDA ratio warrants further investigation into debt levels and earnings quality.
- Margin of SafetyThe current valuation multiples, including a P/E of 40.61, PBR of 9.93, and EV/EBITDA of 81.63, indicate that the stock is trading at a significant premium, leaving no apparent margin of safety.
Walmart initially demonstrates strengths in its predictable business model and formidable economic moat, passing the initial framework stages. However, a complete assessment of financial health is hindered by a lack of comprehensive historical data, and crucially, the current market price presents no margin of safety based on its very high valuation multiples. Therefore, despite its inherent business quality, the company fails the overall framework due to its price and unverified financial details.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.