LQAI0.720%
as of Oct 22
XOM
DefensiveEXXONMOBIL HOLDINGS CORP
Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas.
Close · 3M
+30.01%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
PQUS0.390%
as of Oct 23
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals11
Win rate91% (10/11)
Avg buy return+11.26%
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.640% → 0.730% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 9.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $178.98·now $183.21Drifting
+2.36%
since Oct 16
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.660% → 0.710% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 4.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $177.01·now $183.21Drifting
+3.50%
since Oct 14
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.660% → 0.690% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 5.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $174.08·now $183.21Drifting
+5.24%
since Oct 13
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.250% → 0.650% (+0.400 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 30·entry $162.75·now $183.21Chased
+12.57%
since Sep 30
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.250% → 0.640% (+0.390 pp)·stock up 3.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $161.35·now $183.21Chased
+13.55%
since Sep 29
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.280% → 0.260% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $163.27·now $183.21
+12.21%
since Sep 17
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.270% → 0.250% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 3.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 4·entry $159.47·now $183.21
+14.89%
since Sep 4
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.250% → 0.270% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 6.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $164.55·now $183.21Chased
+11.34%
since Sep 1
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.250% (new)·stock up 9.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $154.84·now $183.21Chased
+18.32%
since Aug 6
LQAI · Exit · 1d
weight 0.100% → 0 (exited)·stock down 6.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $141.69·now $183.21
+29.30%
since Jul 7
+34.44%
since Jul 1
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.370% → 0.390% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 13.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $183.21·now $183.21Fresh
0.00%
since Oct 23
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.390% → 0.340% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 0.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 29·entry $160.95·now $183.21
+13.83%
since Aug 29
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.390% → 0.350% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 0.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $156.71·now $183.21
+16.91%
since Aug 28
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.410% → 0.370% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 9.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 15·entry $161.46·now $183.21
+13.47%
since Aug 15
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.450% → 0.470% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 14.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 25·entry $154.77·now $183.21Chased
+18.38%
since Jul 25
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.440% → 0.410% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 6.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 11·entry $144.51·now $183.21
+26.78%
since Jul 11
+22.65%
since May 30
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock up 6.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $164.55·now $183.21
+11.34%
since Sep 1
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 14.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $155.06·now $183.21Chased
+18.15%
since Aug 2
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.990% → 0 (exited)·stock down 8.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $136.28·now $183.21
+34.44%
since Jul 1
+30.01%
since Jun 14
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 4·entry $152.04·now $183.21Chased
+20.50%
since Jun 4
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Aug 16
The AI ETFs show mixed signals regarding ExxonMobil, with some initiating new positions and one decreasing its weight, implying varying views on its investment merits. This contrasts with the Buffett-style framework's 'Too Hard' verdict, which refrains from investment due to the fundamental unpredictability of the company's long-term earnings, irrespective of current price or perceived value.
- Circle of CompetenceThe company's earnings are highly sensitive to volatile global commodity prices for oil and natural gas, making ten-year cash flow projections genuinely unpredictable.
- Economic MoatAssessment of a durable economic moat is not pursued as the fundamental predictability of earnings required in Stage 1 was not met.
- ManagementEvaluation of management's qualities and capital allocation discipline is not conducted as the company's business model falls outside the circle of competence for predictable earnings.
- Financial HealthFinancial health metrics such as ROE, operating margins, debt levels, and owner earnings are not assessed due to the inherent unpredictability of the company's long-term earning power.
- Margin of SafetyA margin of safety cannot be established without a reliable basis for projecting future owner earnings and intrinsic value, which was deemed unpredictable in Stage 1.
Applying the Buffett-style framework, ExxonMobil is deemed 'Too Hard' for investment due to the fundamental unpredictability of its cash flows, which are heavily exposed to volatile global commodity prices. The inability to reliably project long-term earnings prevents any further assessment of management, financial health, or margin of safety within this framework. This makes it an unsuitable candidate for value investors prioritizing predictable earning power.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.